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Split vs Mega Soccerbet Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 74-65
24-30 18-10 18-17 14-8
Position#11
Record6-15
FormWWLWL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game79.1
Split 🏆
vs
Position#6
Record14-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game72.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 22
Domestic2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Soccerbet winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#4
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H10/02
Croatian Cup
Zadar
#1
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H13/02
Croatian Cup
Gorica
#4
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H25/02
Premijer liga
Cibona
#9
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A28/02
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A02/03
Premijer liga
Osijek
#9
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H04/03
Premijer liga
Alkar
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
A06/03
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H08/03
ABA League
Osijek
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H12/03
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#5
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A15/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
25-18
21-17
19-28
19-24
15-13
16-20
20-22
19-22
31-19
19-15
18-16
17-19
19-17
19-19
21-19
14-21
17-17
19-14
26-20
21-20
23-20
21-22
21-19
22-23
17-17
27-20
23-24
17-18
15-15
17-21
11-17
27-23
21-22
24-22
16-17
20-18
25-33
11-16
15-14
157.9Avg total
79.8Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)72.379.1151.4-6.829%
Season at home (10)77.582.0159.5-4.530%
Season away (11)67.676.5144.1-8.827%
Last 10 (10)79.878.1157.9+1.770%
Last 5 (5)78.880.2159.0-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.980.6154.4-6.733%
vs Similar (9)84.383.6167.9+0.844%
vs Weaker (11)87.567.9155.5+19.691%
This opponent (Mega Soccerbet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega SoccerbetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#8
W
92-91 OT
92
91
+1
A25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H02/01
ABA League
Igokea
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H10/01
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A17/01
ABA League
Cibona
#9
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H24/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A01/02
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#5
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H07/02
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H28/02
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A07/03
ABA League
Primorska
#15
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H13/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
12-23
20-17
20-19
29-28
20-20
21-24
18-21
24-26
17-25
21-17
22-18
21-21
20-19
25-21
24-22
20-17
17-20
19-20
16-14
24-28
22-21
20-25
19-18
25-24
14-27
22-16
29-22
28-13
18-22
16-25
24-24
21-23
11-18
20-16
19-19
–
–
–
–
154.3Avg total
77.8Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.672.5149.1+4.167%
Season at home (11)76.673.0149.6+3.673%
Season away (10)76.671.9148.5+4.760%
Last 10 (10)77.876.5154.3+1.360%
Last 5 (5)70.468.2138.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.186.0167.1-4.914%
vs Similar (7)84.480.4164.9+4.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)81.968.5150.4+13.488%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.6+1.6
SplitMega Soccerbet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#4
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H10/02
Croatian Cup
Zadar
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H13/02
Croatian Cup
Gorica
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H25/02
Premijer liga
Cibona
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A28/02
ABA League
Cibona
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A02/03
Premijer liga
Osijek
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H04/03
Premijer liga
Alkar
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A06/03
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H08/03
ABA League
Osijek
#9
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H12/03
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#5
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A15/03
ABA League
81.3Avg total
41.4Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.340.681.9+0.745%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.838.981.8+3.953%-
Last 30 away (12)39.142.982.0-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)41.439.981.3+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.883.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.340.676.9-4.211%-
vs Similar (9)41.942.284.1-0.344%-
vs Weaker (10)44.638.883.4+5.870%-
This opponent (Mega Soccerbet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega SoccerbetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#8
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H02/01
ABA League
Igokea
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H10/01
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A17/01
ABA League
Cibona
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H24/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A01/02
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H07/02
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H28/02
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/03
ABA League
84.6Avg total
40.9Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)45.140.685.6+4.561%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.039.784.7+5.360%-
Last 30 away (13)45.241.586.7+3.662%-
Last 10 (9)40.943.784.6-2.833%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.682.6-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.142.986.0+0.357%-
vs Similar (7)46.042.688.6+3.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.638.484.0+7.164%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.515.4
50.5%
52.4%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.4
34.4%
36.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.116.3
81.1%
75.0%16.3
They take 54.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Soccerbettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Soccerbet: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.9
52.9%
52.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.1
37.9%
36.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.016.2
77.1%
75.0%16.2
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
LWLWWWWWLW
Mega Soccerbet
WLWWLWWLLW
#11
League position
#6
-13.8
Net rating
-0.3
99.8
Offensive rating
109.3
113.6
Defensive rating
109.6
51.0%
Effective FG%
54.5%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
21.6%
Turnover %
17.7%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.4%
3-point %
37.9%
66.0%
Assist %
65.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 109.3Defence113.6 · 109.6Shooting51.0% · 54.5%3-point %34.4% · 37.9%Ball care21.6% · 17.7%Off. rebounds22.5% · 28.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Split   ■ Mega Soccerbet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Split wins
1
Mega Soccerbet wins
DateGameScore
06/12/20Mega Soccerbet v Split91-75
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/21AMornar Bar71-81
12/03/21HOsijek88-84
08/03/21HCrvena zvezda60-71
06/03/21AAlkar89-84
04/03/21HOsijek86-81
02/03/21ACibona76-72
28/02/21ACibona76-74
25/02/21HGorica87-72
13/02/21HZadar70-79
10/02/21HDubrava95-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/21HPrimorska20-0
07/03/21AKK Krka Novo mesto71-76
28/02/21HBorac Mozzart86-84
07/02/21HMornar Bar90-89
01/02/21ACrvena zvezda85-92
24/01/21HCibona72-71
17/01/21AZadar90-83
10/01/21HIgokea84-86
02/01/21HCedevita Olimpija88-93
25/12/20AFMP Beograd92-91 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
ABA League 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeLWLLL30%
AwayLLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %29%30%27%
Points / game72.377.567.6
Allowed / game79.182.076.5
Point differential-6.8-4.5-8.8
Avg total151.4159.5144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Mega Soccerbet
ABA League 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeLWWWW73%
AwayLWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%73%60%
Points / game76.676.676.6
Allowed / game72.573.071.9
Point differential+4.1+3.6+4.7
Avg total149.1149.6148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%18%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)62% (8)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1917289%77.562.8+14.6
2 Buducnost1916384%78.871.6+7.3
3 Mornar Bar2117481%78.169.6+8.5
4 Igokea2016480%74.568.8+5.7
5 Cedevita Olimpija1915479%82.273.1+9.2
6 Mega Soccerbet2114767%76.672.5+4.1
7 FMP Beograd1971237%77.379.7-2.4
8 Partizan2071335%76.777.0-0.3
9 Cibona2071335%69.374.4-5.0
10 Zadar1961332%68.671.9-3.4
11 KK Krka Novo mesto2061430%68.674.8-6.2
12 Split2161529%72.379.1-6.8
13 Borac Mozzart1951426%75.879.2-3.4
14 Primorska210210%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split2418181474
Mega Soccerbet301017865
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