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Split vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 08 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 60-71
17-18 15-15 17-21 11-17
Position#11
Record6-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game79.4
Split
vs
Crvena zvezda 🏆
Position#1
Record14-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game62.9
EuropeABA LeagueRound 20
Domestic2020
Meetings · Split v Crvena zvezda
06 Oct 2024
SPL85
CZV78
07 Apr 2024
SPL73
CZV92
02 Jan 2023
SPL63
CZV72
02 Jan 2022
SPL62
CZV66
08 Mar 2021
SPL60
CZV71
29 Sep 2012
SPL87
CZV81
20 Jan 2009
SPL62
CZV67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Igokea
#4
L
68-87
68
87
-19
58avg 65
A01/02
ABA League
Zadar
#1
W
82-62
82
62
+20
no box
H06/02
Premijer liga
Zadar
#10
L
76-89
76
89
-13
76avg 65
H07/02
ABA League
Dubrava
#4
W
95-83
95
83
+12
no box
H10/02
Croatian Cup
Zadar
#1
L
70-79
70
79
-9
no box
H13/02
Croatian Cup
Gorica
#4
W
87-72
87
72
+15
no box
H25/02
Premijer liga
Cibona
#9
W
76-74
76
74
+2
no box
A28/02
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
76-72
76
72
+4
no box
A02/03
Premijer liga
Osijek
#9
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
H04/03
Premijer liga
Alkar
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
no box
A06/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
14-27
20-18
17-21
20-14
17-10
18-17
27-21
15-22
17-26
15-21
29-20
30-20
25-18
21-17
19-28
19-24
15-13
16-20
20-22
19-22
31-19
19-15
18-16
17-19
19-17
19-19
21-19
14-21
17-17
19-14
26-20
21-20
23-20
21-22
21-19
22-23
17-17
27-20
23-24
158.8Avg total
80.5Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)73.179.4152.5-6.432%
Season at home (9)79.483.2162.7-3.833%
Season away (10)67.376.0143.3-8.730%
Last 10 (10)80.578.3158.8+2.270%
Last 5 (5)82.876.6159.4+6.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.783.7163.3-4.044%
vs Similar (9)84.383.6167.9+0.844%
vs Weaker (11)88.370.4158.6+17.982%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Radnicki
#8
W
108-47
108
47
+61
no box
H11/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#3
W
79-78
79
78
+1
no box
A13/02
Korac cup
Mega Basket
#2
W
73-60
73
60
+13
no box
A14/02
Korac cup
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
83-63
83
63
+20
85avg 69
H17/02
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
75-76
75
76
-1
67avg 69
H19/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
62-75
62
75
-13
55avg 69
A23/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
67-87
67
87
-20
54avg 69
A26/02
Euroleague
Primorska
#15
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H27/02
ABA League
Bayern
#5
L
76-78
76
78
-2
68avg 69
H02/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#12
L
79-94
79
94
-15
no box
A05/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
27-12
30-13
29-9
22-27
18-19
15-12
24-20
19-21
17-19
17-8
20-12
23-16
15-17
23-14
22-16
16-22
20-26
20-13
19-15
26-22
18-18
14-20
4-15
16-21
11-27
21-18
19-21
–
–
–
–
10-15
25-16
22-19
19-28
19-30
29-23
19-22
12-19
138.0Avg total
72.2Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.762.9140.6+14.888%
Season at home (8)75.060.1135.1+14.988%
Season away (8)80.465.8146.1+14.688%
Last 10 (10)72.265.8138.0+6.450%
Last 5 (5)60.866.8127.6-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.881.7153.5-9.914%
vs Similar (4)76.878.8155.5-2.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)76.567.5143.9+9.082%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
SplitCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#4
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A01/02
ABA League
Zadar
#1
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H06/02
Premijer liga
Zadar
#10
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H07/02
ABA League
Dubrava
#4
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H10/02
Croatian Cup
Zadar
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H13/02
Croatian Cup
Gorica
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H25/02
Premijer liga
Cibona
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A28/02
ABA League
Cibona
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A02/03
Premijer liga
Osijek
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H04/03
Premijer liga
Alkar
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A06/03
Premijer liga
77.9Avg total
38.9Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.141.183.2+1.048%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.339.583.8+4.859%-
Last 30 away (12)38.943.482.3-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.077.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.079.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.440.980.3-1.433%-
vs Similar (9)41.942.284.1-0.344%-
vs Weaker (10)44.140.084.1+4.160%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radnicki
#8
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H11/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A13/02
Korac cup
Mega Basket
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A14/02
Korac cup
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H17/02
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H19/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A23/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A26/02
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H02/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#12
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A05/03
Euroleague
79.7Avg total
39.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.740.881.4-0.152%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.537.177.7+3.467%-
Last 30 away (14)40.844.785.5-3.936%-
Last 10 (9)39.240.479.7-1.244%-
Last 5 (5)38.044.082.0-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.943.081.9-4.136%-
vs Similar (4)40.538.579.0+2.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.440.282.6+2.260%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.415.9
50.6%
52.4%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.8
36.2%
36.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.717.4
80.2%
75.0%17.4
They take 55.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.216.8
49.1%
52.4%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.410.4
40.9%
36.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws14.211.4
80.3%
75.0%11.4
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
WWWWWLWLWL
Crvena zvezda
LLWLLLWWWW
#11
League position
#1
-13.9
Net rating
-5.1
104.1
Offensive rating
111.7
118.0
Defensive rating
116.8
52.2%
Effective FG%
54.4%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
60.3%
20.1%
Turnover %
16.8%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.2%
3-point %
40.9%
64.8%
Assist %
59.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 111.7Defence118.0 · 116.8Shooting52.2% · 54.4%3-point %36.2% · 40.9%Ball care20.1% · 16.8%Off. rebounds24.9% · 28.7%Free throws0.39 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Split   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Split wins
4
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
15/11/20Crvena zvezda v Split78-76
18/12/12Crvena zvezda v Split94-67
29/09/12Split v Crvena zvezda87-81
20/01/09Split v Crvena zvezda62-67
25/10/08Crvena zvezda v Split83-71
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/21AAlkar89-84
04/03/21HOsijek86-81
02/03/21ACibona76-72
28/02/21ACibona76-74
25/02/21HGorica87-72
13/02/21HZadar70-79
10/02/21HDubrava95-83
07/02/21HZadar76-89
06/02/21HZadar82-62
01/02/21AIgokea68-87
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/21AOlympiacos79-94
02/03/21HBayern76-78
27/02/21HPrimorska20-0
26/02/21ABaskonia67-87
23/02/21AZalgiris Kaunas62-75
19/02/21HZenit Petersburg75-76
17/02/21HBorac Mozzart83-63
14/02/21AMega Basket73-60
13/02/21APartizan79-78
11/02/21HRadnicki108-47

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
ABA League 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW32%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayWLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %32%33%30%
Points / game73.179.467.3
Allowed / game79.483.276.0
Point differential-6.4-3.8-8.7
Avg total152.5162.7143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWWWLW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %88%88%88%
Points / game77.775.080.4
Allowed / game62.960.165.8
Point differential+14.8+14.9+14.6
Avg total140.6135.1146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%62%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1614288%77.762.9+14.8
2 Cedevita Olimpija1815383%82.972.9+10.0
3 Buducnost1714382%79.272.1+7.1
4 Mornar Bar2016480%78.069.5+8.4
5 Igokea1915479%74.468.7+5.6
6 Mega Soccerbet2013765%79.576.1+3.4
7 Cibona1871139%69.673.7-4.2
8 Partizan1971237%77.477.3+0.1
9 Zadar1761135%69.371.5-2.2
10 FMP Beograd1861233%77.480.7-3.3
11 KK Krka Novo mesto1961332%68.373.8-5.5
12 Split1961332%73.179.4-6.4
13 Borac Mozzart1841422%74.879.5-4.7
14 Primorska200200%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split1715171160
Crvena zvezda1815211771
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