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St. John's (N.Y.) vs Syracuse Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 16 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 85-69
Projected total 154.0
Scheduled
Position#22
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game62.3
St. John's (N.Y.)
USA
Vs
92%
■ ST. 92%■ SYRA 8%
Pythia win probability
Syracuse
USA
Position#148
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game63.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · St. John's (N.Y.) v Syracuse
15 Nov 2026
ST. v SYRA
upcoming
22 Nov 2022
ST. 76
SYRA69
Sections
Game preview & prediction

St. John's (N.Y.) hosts Syracuse on 15 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model favouring St. John's (N.Y.) at 92% to win, a reflection of their undefeated 3-0 season record, 90.7 points scored per game and only 62.3 points allowed, placing them 22nd in the league, while Syracuse sits at 2-1 with 85.3 points per game and 63.3 allowed, 148th. St. John's (N.Y.) has won all three of its home games, averaging 90.7 points and conceding 62.3, and has won four of its last five, including a 90-59 victory over Colgate, a 104-65 win over Iona and a 78-63 win over Monmouth. Syracuse's road record is 0-1, with an 80-83 loss to Indiana, and their last five games include two wins and three losses, notably a 102-49 triumph over Central Connecticut State and a 74-58 win over New Haven Chargers. The only previous meeting was a 76-69 win for St. John's (N.Y.) in 2022. Pythia projects a 85-69 score, 154 total points, a -13.0 spread with a 60% chance St. John's (N.Y.) covers, a 150.5 total with a 58% over probability, and a 2% chance of overtime. The game will end with St. John's (N.Y.) securing a decisive victory.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. John's (N.Y.) win
91.6%fair 1.09
Best odds1.11
Implied85.9%
Edge+5.7pp
Syracuse win
8.4%fair 11.85
Best odds7.25
Implied14.1%
Edge-5.7pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 07:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. John's (N.Y.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#89
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A07/03
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H12/03
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H13/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
72-52
72
52
+20
H14/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
79-53
79
53
+26
H20/03
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A22/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A27/03
NCAA
Monmouth
#329
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H02/11
NCAA
Iona
#263
W
104-65
104
65
+39
H08/11
NCAA
Colgate
#368
W
90-59
90
59
+31
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-27
42-38
48-27
37-45
38-30
40-38
40-27
32-25
47-28
32-25
34-26
33-39
40-39
35-41
45-29
33-34
54-23
50-42
49-32
41-27
144.2Avg total
80.0Scored
64.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.762.3153.0+28.3100%
Season at home (3)90.762.3153.0+28.3100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.064.2144.2+15.890%
Last 5 (5)82.866.4149.2+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.080.0155.0-5.00%
vs Similar (11)72.365.5137.8+6.782%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.368.9153.2+15.494%
This opponent (Syracuse) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SyracuseUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H14/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
64-101
64
101
-37
A17/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H21/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A04/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
69-71 OT
69
71
-2
H07/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A10/03
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#291
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H03/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#247
W
102-49
102
49
+53
H06/11
NCAA
Indiana
#49
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-39
44-39
24-40
40-61
28-33
36-44
46-42
37-46
21-39
41-38
31-28
34-37
38-39
31-47
39-17
35-41
47-23
55-26
38-34
42-49
151.4Avg total
74.6Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.363.3148.7+22.067%
Season at home (2)88.053.5141.5+34.5100%
Season away (1)80.083.0163.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)74.676.8151.4-2.230%
Last 5 (5)78.869.4148.2+9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)66.779.4146.1-12.614%
vs Similar (11)81.874.6156.5+7.264%
vs Weaker (5)84.468.6153.0+15.880%
This opponent (St. John's (N.Y.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 145.5
Over 145.5
69.8%
@ 1.44+5.9pp
Under 145.5
30.2%
@ 2.55-5.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Under
Betano
2.55
Over/Under 150.5 · main line
Over 150.5
58.3%
@ 1.88+7.9pp
Under 150.5
41.7%
@ 1.95-7.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.88
Marathon Be
1.85
Betano
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Under
Betano
1.95
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.88
SBO
1.81
BetVictor
1.80
Over/Under 155.5
Over 155.5
46.0%
@ 2.35+6.7pp
Under 155.5
54.0%
@ 1.52-6.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Under
Betano
1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

St. John's (N.Y.) total 77.5
Over 77.5
77.5%
@ 1.35+10.6pp
Under 77.5
22.5%
@ 2.72-10.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Under
Betano
2.72
St. John's (N.Y.) total 81.5 · main line
Over 81.5
63.7%
@ 1.86+13.0pp
Under 81.5
36.3%
@ 1.93-13.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.80
St. John's (N.Y.) total 85.5
Over 85.5
47.8%
@ 2.45+10.8pp
Under 85.5
52.2%
@ 1.44-10.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Under
Betano
1.44
Syracuse total 64.5
Over 64.5
67.1%
@ 1.34-0.5pp
Under 64.5
32.9%
@ 2.80+0.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Under
Betano
2.80
Syracuse total 68.5 · main line
Over 68.5
51.7%
@ 1.83+0.7pp
Under 68.5
48.3%
@ 1.93-0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.83
Bet365
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Syracuse total 72.5
Over 72.5
36.1%
@ 2.42-1.2pp
Under 72.5
63.9%
@ 1.44+1.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.42
Under
Betano
1.44

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread St. John's (N.Y.) -16
ST. -16
49.4%
@ 2.50+11.9pp
SYRA +16
50.6%
@ 1.50-11.9pp
Best 5 market prices
ST.
Bet365
2.50
SYRA
Bet365
1.50
Spread St. John's (N.Y.) -13 · main line
ST. -13
60.4%
@ 1.92+11.2pp
SYRA +13
39.6%
@ 1.86-11.2pp
Best 5 market prices
ST.
Bet365
1.92
Marathon Be
1.86
SYRA
Marathon Be
1.86
Bet365
1.80
Spread St. John's (N.Y.) -10
ST. -10
70.6%
@ 1.57+11.7pp
SYRA +10
29.4%
@ 2.25-11.7pp
Best 5 market prices
ST.
Bet365
1.57
SYRA
Bet365
2.25

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-9+0+9+171st half1st half: +13.7+13.71st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: -3.3-3.3
-17-9+0+9+171st half1st half: +13.7+13.71st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: -3.3-3.3
St. John's (N.Y.)Syracuse
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. John's (N.Y.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#89
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A07/03
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H12/03
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H13/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H14/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H20/03
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A22/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A27/03
NCAA
Monmouth
#329
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H02/11
NCAA
Iona
#263
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H08/11
NCAA
Colgate
#368
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H12/11
NCAA
71.3Avg total
42.5Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 72
Last 30 (30)40.232.872.9+7.477%50%
Last 30 at home (17)42.230.973.1+11.276%53%
Last 30 away (13)37.535.272.7+2.477%46%
Last 10 (10)42.528.871.3+13.7100%60%
Last 5 (5)44.429.874.2+14.6100%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.039.079.0+1.0100%100%
vs Similar (11)36.530.867.4+5.773%18%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.433.676.0+8.878%67%
This opponent (Syracuse) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SyracuseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A17/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H21/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A28/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A04/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H07/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A10/03
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#291
W
39-17
39
17
+22
H03/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#247
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H06/11
NCAA
Indiana
#49
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A09/11
NCAA
68.1Avg total
34.7Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 72
Last 30 (30)35.933.569.4+2.357%37%
Last 30 at home (17)36.530.867.3+5.871%24%
Last 30 away (13)35.037.272.2-2.238%54%
Last 10 (10)34.733.468.1+1.350%30%
Last 5 (5)38.628.266.8+10.480%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)31.637.168.7-5.614%50%
vs Similar (11)39.132.571.5+6.691%27%
vs Weaker (5)40.825.866.6+15.0100%20%
This opponent (St. John's (N.Y.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
ST. win
no forecast
@ 1.19
SYRA win
no forecast
@ 4.85
1st half Spread St. John's (N.Y.) -7.5 · main line
ST. -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
SYRA +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half Over/Under 72 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.84
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
St. John's (N.Y.) 1st half total 39.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.95
Syracuse 1st half total 32.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 70.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.62
Under
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Over/Under 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.05
Under
no forecast
@ 1.75
1st half Spread St. John's (N.Y.) -8.5
ST. -8.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
SYRA +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.75
1st half Spread St. John's (N.Y.) -6.5
ST. -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.72
SYRA +6.5
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half Spread St. John's (N.Y.) -9.5
ST. -9.5
no forecast
@ 2.18
SYRA +9.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
1st half Spread St. John's (N.Y.) -5.5
ST. -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
SYRA +5.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
1st half Over/Under 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.45
Under
no forecast
@ 2.55
1st half Over/Under 75.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.35
Under
no forecast
@ 1.52
1st half Spread St. John's (N.Y.) -10.5
ST. -10.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
SYRA +10.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
1st half Spread St. John's (N.Y.) -4.5
ST. -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
SYRA +4.5
no forecast
@ 2.47
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
ST.
no forecast
@ 1.22
Draw
no forecast
@ 23.00
SYRA
no forecast
@ 4.80

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
ST. win + total 150.5
🔒 Pro
SYRA win + total 150.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ST. leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
St. John's (N.Y.) over 76.580.4%1.32
Betano
1.32		----+11.9pp
St. John's (N.Y.) -1070.6%1.57
Bet365
1.57		----+11.7pp
St. John's (N.Y.) over 79.571.0%1.52
Betano
1.52		----+11.3pp
Over 143.574.0%1.39
Betano
1.39		----+7.6pp
Syracuse over 63.570.7%1.31
Betano
1.31		----+1.4pp
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■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
🔒 18 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
St. John's (N.Y.) wins
0
Syracuse wins
DateGameScore
23/11/22St. John's (N.Y.) v Syracuse76-69 OT
St. John's (N.Y.)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HColgate90-59
08/11/26HIona104-65
02/11/26HMonmouth78-63
27/03/26ADuke75-80
22/03/26AKansas67-65
20/03/26HNorthern Iowa79-53
14/03/26HUconn72-52
13/03/26HSeton Hall78-68
12/03/26HProvidence85-72
07/03/26ASeton Hall72-65
Syracuselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26AIndiana80-83
06/11/26HCentral Connecticut State102-49
03/11/26HNew Haven Chargers74-58
10/03/26ASMU Mustangs69-86
07/03/26HPittsburgh69-71 OT
04/03/26ALouisville62-77
28/02/26AWake Forest83-88
21/02/26HNorth Carolina64-77
17/02/26ADuke64-101
14/02/26HSMU Mustangs79-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. John's (N.Y.)
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game90.790.7-
Allowed / game62.362.3-
Point differential+28.3+28.3-
Avg total153.0153.0-
Over 150.533%33%-
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Syracuse
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game85.388.080.0
Allowed / game63.353.583.0
Point differential+22.0+34.5-3.0
Avg total148.7141.5163.0
Over 150.567%50%100%
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xavier440100%88.555.8+32.8
2 St. John's (N.Y.)330100%90.762.3+28.3
3 Uconn440100%84.558.0+26.5
4 DePaul440100%77.058.0+19.0
5 Georgetown440100%83.572.0+11.5
6 Villanova43175%86.565.2+21.2
7 Providence43175%71.557.8+13.8
8 Seton Hall43175%69.261.5+7.8
9 Marquette32167%80.353.0+27.3
10 Creighton32167%80.368.3+12.0
11 Butler42250%85.075.2+9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisville220100%95.563.5+32.0
2 SMU Mustangs440100%92.067.5+24.5
3 Boston College330100%76.353.0+23.3
4 Notre Dame440100%87.564.2+23.2
5 Virginia550100%91.869.6+22.2
6 Virginia Tech440100%89.867.8+22.0
7 NC State440100%83.862.2+21.5
8 Pittsburgh440100%83.264.5+18.8
9 Georgia Tech440100%82.570.8+11.8
10 California54180%85.874.8+11.0
11 Duke43175%90.057.0+33.0
12 Miami (FL)43175%83.259.2+24.0
13 Wake Forest43175%76.262.8+13.5
14 North Carolina43175%83.870.8+13.0
15 Stanford43175%78.569.2+9.2
16 Clemson43175%84.276.8+7.5
17 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
18 Florida State42250%79.080.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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