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Incarnate Word vs Stephen F. Austin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 63-61
34-32 29-29
Position#190
Record13-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game69.3
vs
Position#244
Record14-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game66.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Incarnate Word v Stephen F. Austin
11 Jan 2027
INCA v STEP
upcoming
02 Mar 2026
INCA68
STEP76
22 Feb 2025
INCA63
STEP61
16 Jan 2021
INCA65
STEP83
22 Feb 2020
INCA56
STEP80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Incarnate Word winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stephen F. Austin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H18/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H20/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A25/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
74-58
74
58
+16
A28/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H01/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A04/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H08/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
55-69
55
69
-14
A15/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-33
37-36
37-33
41-52
32-43
31-43
38-20
36-38
34-36
40-28
33-30
32-37
26-28
40-43
39-36
36-29
19-33
36-36
31-36
35-24
137.3Avg total
67.9Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)74.069.3143.3+4.748%
Season at home (14)81.467.1148.4+14.364%
Season away (13)66.171.6137.7-5.531%
Last 10 (10)67.969.4137.3-1.540%
Last 5 (5)65.466.4131.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)57.172.1129.3-15.00%
vs Similar (10)71.577.9149.4-6.410%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.263.7144.8+17.592%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#122
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A18/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A20/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
54-57 OT
54
57
-3
H25/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H28/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H01/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
A04/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H08/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H11/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A15/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-39
28-34
26-43
33-36
20-22
29-27
44-34
35-38
24-41
38-26
29-35
45-39
43-26
35-38
32-28
53-47
40-31
30-37
39-36
37-38
142.6Avg total
71.2Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)67.266.4133.6+0.752%
Season at home (14)70.364.0134.3+6.357%
Season away (13)63.869.1132.9-5.246%
Last 10 (10)71.271.4142.6-0.260%
Last 5 (5)79.473.2152.6+6.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)61.266.4127.6-5.227%
vs Similar (6)68.273.5141.7-5.350%
vs Weaker (9)78.866.0144.8+12.8100%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +0.3+0.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +0.3+0.3
Incarnate WordStephen F. Austin
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H18/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H20/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A25/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
38-20
38
20
+18
A28/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H01/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A04/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H08/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A15/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A18/02
NCAA
64.3Avg total
31.5Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.533.067.5+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.032.670.6+5.456%-
Last 30 away (14)30.533.463.9-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)31.532.864.3-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)29.632.662.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)25.732.358.0-6.614%-
vs Similar (10)32.637.670.2-5.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.229.669.8+10.783%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#122
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A18/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A20/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
20-22
20
22
-2
H25/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H28/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
24-41
24
41
-17
H01/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H08/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H11/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A15/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A18/02
NCAA
66.5Avg total
33.0Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.330.861.1-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.728.460.1+3.362%-
Last 30 away (14)28.733.562.2-4.836%-
Last 10 (10)33.033.566.5-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.631.267.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)27.431.058.4-3.633%-
vs Similar (6)28.333.061.3-4.733%-
vs Weaker (9)36.428.965.3+7.689%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Incarnate Word wins
3
Stephen F. Austin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/25AUTRGV66-60
15/02/25ATexas A&M-CC55-69
11/02/25HNew Orleans75-65
08/02/25HSE Louisiana66-71
04/02/25AMcNeese State65-67
01/02/25HHouston Christian74-64
28/01/25ANew Orleans74-58
25/01/25ASE Louisiana63-86
20/01/25HUTRGV78-85
18/01/25HTexas A&M-CC63-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/25ATX A&M Commerce76-74
15/02/25ANorthwestern St.70-68
11/02/25HUTRGV85-75
08/02/25HTexas A&M-CC78-64
04/02/25ANew Orleans88-85 OT
01/02/25HLamar62-67
28/01/25HTX A&M Commerce79-72
25/01/25HNorthwestern St.54-57 OT
20/01/25AMcNeese State59-79
18/01/25ANicholls State61-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Incarnate Word
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW48%
HomeLLWLW64%
AwayLWLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %48%64%31%
Points / game74.081.466.1
Allowed / game69.367.171.6
Point differential+4.7+14.3-5.5
Avg total143.3148.4137.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%57%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)33% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW52%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayLLWWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %52%57%46%
Points / game67.270.363.8
Allowed / game66.464.069.1
Point differential+0.7+6.3-5.2
Avg total133.6134.3132.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)25% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %11%14%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State2822679%76.464.3+12.1
2 Lamar28181064%71.566.4+5.1
3 SE Louisiana28181064%73.569.4+4.1
4 Nicholls State28171161%74.970.1+4.7
5 Texas A&M-CC29171259%76.568.6+7.9
6 Stephen F. Austin27141352%67.266.4+0.7
7 UTRGV28141450%76.772.9+3.9
8 Incarnate Word27131448%74.069.3+4.7
9 Northwestern St.27121544%68.868.9-0.0
10 Houston Christian28111739%67.070.6-3.6
11 New Orleans2742315%69.582.5-13.0
12 TX A&M Commerce2832511%64.077.3-13.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Incarnate Word342963
Stephen F. Austin322961
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