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TX A&M Commerce vs Stephen F. Austin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 74-76
36-39 38-37
Position#363
Record3-23
FormWLLLL
Points / game63.5
Allowed / game77.2
TX A&M Commerce
USA
vs
Stephen F. Austin 🏆
USA
Position#244
Record13-13
FormLWWWW
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stephen F. Austin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTRGV
#186
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A14/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
L
73-131
73
131
-58
H18/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
58-61 OT
58
61
-3
A26/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A28/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H04/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A08/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
51-67
51
67
-16
A11/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-26
28-31
33-33
40-98
36-33
32-43
27-23
25-29
34-44
38-35
27-23
45-27
27-41
39-37
37-33
28-48
27-22
24-45
26-35
29-30
138.0Avg total
63.5Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)63.577.2140.7-13.612%
Season at home (11)65.377.4142.6-12.127%
Season away (15)62.377.0139.3-14.70%
Last 10 (10)63.574.5138.0-11.010%
Last 5 (5)61.868.2130.0-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)62.874.8137.6-12.012%
vs Similar (4)69.086.8155.8-17.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H14/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A18/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A20/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
54-57 OT
54
57
-3
H25/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H28/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H01/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
A04/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H08/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H11/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-31
33-35
33-39
28-34
26-43
33-36
20-22
29-27
44-34
35-38
24-41
38-26
29-35
45-39
43-26
35-38
32-28
53-47
40-31
30-37
140.1Avg total
69.5Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)66.866.2133.0+0.750%
Season at home (14)70.364.0134.3+6.357%
Season away (12)62.868.7131.5-5.842%
Last 10 (10)69.570.6140.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)76.671.8148.4+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)61.266.4127.6-5.227%
vs Similar (6)68.273.5141.7-5.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)80.064.4144.4+15.6100%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: -9.5-9.52nd half: +0.2+0.2
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: -9.5-9.52nd half: +0.2+0.2
TX A&M CommerceStephen F. Austin
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTRGV
#186
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A14/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H18/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A26/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H04/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A08/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
W
27-22
27
22
+5
A11/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H15/02
NCAA
61.4Avg total
30.1Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.335.964.2-7.527%-
Last 30 at home (13)28.435.163.5-6.723%-
Last 30 away (17)28.336.564.8-8.229%-
Last 10 (10)30.131.361.4-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)28.830.859.6-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)28.436.264.7-7.831%-
vs Similar (4)27.833.561.2-5.80%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H14/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A18/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A20/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
20-22
20
22
-2
H25/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H28/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
24-41
24
41
-17
H01/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H08/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H11/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A15/02
NCAA
64.7Avg total
31.7Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.530.761.2-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.428.861.2+3.665%-
Last 30 away (13)27.933.361.2-5.431%-
Last 10 (10)31.733.064.7-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)33.632.265.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)27.431.058.4-3.633%-
vs Similar (6)28.333.061.3-4.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)37.028.865.8+8.289%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
TX A&M Commerce wins
1
Stephen F. Austin wins
DateGameScore
28/01/25Stephen F. Austin v TX A&M Commerce79-72
TX A&M Commercelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25HLamar55-65
11/02/25AMcNeese State51-67
08/02/25ANicholls State65-81
04/02/25HTexas A&M-CC66-78
01/02/25HNorthwestern St.72-50
28/01/25AStephen F. Austin72-79
26/01/25ALamar58-61 OT
20/01/25HSE Louisiana68-76
18/01/25HNew Orleans73-131
14/01/25AUTRGV55-57
Stephen F. Austinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25ANorthwestern St.70-68
11/02/25HUTRGV85-75
08/02/25HTexas A&M-CC78-64
04/02/25ANew Orleans88-85 OT
01/02/25HLamar62-67
28/01/25HTX A&M Commerce79-72
25/01/25HNorthwestern St.54-57 OT
20/01/25AMcNeese State59-79
18/01/25ANicholls State61-73
14/01/25HSE Louisiana59-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL12%
HomeLLWLL27%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %12%27%0%
Points / game63.565.362.3
Allowed / game77.277.477.0
Point differential-13.6-12.1-14.7
Avg total140.7142.6139.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW50%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayWLLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %50%57%42%
Points / game66.870.362.8
Allowed / game66.264.068.7
Point differential+0.7+6.3-5.8
Avg total133.0134.3131.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)25% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %12%14%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State2721678%76.664.6+12.0
2 SE Louisiana27171063%73.169.6+3.6
3 Lamar26161062%71.666.7+4.8
4 Texas A&M-CC27161159%77.668.7+8.9
5 Nicholls State26151158%74.069.9+4.1
6 UTRGV26141254%77.172.3+4.7
7 Stephen F. Austin26131350%66.866.2+0.7
8 Incarnate Word26121446%74.369.6+4.7
9 Northwestern St.26121446%69.068.6+0.3
10 Houston Christian26111542%67.570.9-3.4
11 New Orleans2642215%69.882.7-12.8
12 TX A&M Commerce2632312%63.577.2-13.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TX A&M Commerce363874
Stephen F. Austin393776
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