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California Baptist vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 77-48
33-19 44-29
Position#184
Record11-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game67.7
Allowed / game64.5
vs
Position#183
Record10-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · California Baptist v Tarleton
28 Feb 2026
CALI82
TARL67
05 Feb 2026
CALI56
TARL55
13 Mar 2025
CALI55
TARL51
06 Mar 2025
CALI68
TARL48
11 Jan 2024
CALI77
TARL63
21 Jan 2023
CALI77
TARL48
16 Jan 2021
CALI73
TARL67
15 Jan 2021
CALI83
TARL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California Baptist winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

California BaptistUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#165
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H08/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#298
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A11/12
NCAA
Sonoma State
#423
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H19/12
NCAA
Portland State
#283
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H23/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A30/12
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A31/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H06/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A08/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H12/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-15
33-37
34-36
42-37
40-32
48-35
32-32
40-42
27-31
32-42
33-37
32-34
26-29
46-29
27-20
43-41
33-31
34-40
39-29
40-45
138.6Avg total
71.2Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)67.764.5132.3+3.258%
Season at home (12)69.263.2132.3+6.067%
Season away (7)65.366.9132.1-1.643%
Last 10 (10)71.267.4138.6+3.860%
Last 5 (5)70.667.0137.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.767.7131.3-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)62.668.1130.7-5.530%
vs Weaker (16)71.162.2133.3+8.988%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCF Knights
#148
L
49-75
49
75
-26
A11/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A18/12
NCAA
Huston Tillotson
#570
W
114-56
114
56
+58
H22/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H30/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A31/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A07/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H12/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H14/01
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
47-67
47
67
-20
A20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-30
22-45
38-37
29-44
52-24
62-32
31-16
39-47
28-29
35-40
36-35
32-30
24-44
44-31
37-24
36-39
28-27
44-36
22-24
25-43
136.8Avg total
69.1Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)72.167.2139.3+4.853%
Season at home (9)81.061.1142.1+19.989%
Season away (10)64.072.7136.7-8.720%
Last 10 (10)69.167.7136.8+1.450%
Last 5 (5)65.666.6132.2-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)60.771.1131.9-10.40%
vs Similar ◀ (9)63.971.7135.6-7.833%
vs Weaker (13)74.859.8134.6+15.192%
This opponent (California Baptist) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -1.9-1.9
California BaptistTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
California BaptistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#165
W
31-15
31
15
+16
H08/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#298
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A11/12
NCAA
Sonoma State
#423
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H19/12
NCAA
Portland State
#283
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H23/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A30/12
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A31/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H06/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
W
27-20
27
20
+7
A08/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H12/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H15/01
NCAA
61.4Avg total
32.2Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.029.559.5+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.829.861.6+1.956%-
Last 30 away (12)27.329.056.3-1.725%-
Last 10 (10)32.229.261.4+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)31.629.260.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.029.758.7-0.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)27.332.359.6-5.010%-
vs Weaker (16)31.827.759.5+4.162%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCF Knights
#148
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A11/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A18/12
NCAA
Huston Tillotson
#570
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H22/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
31-16
31
16
+15
H30/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A31/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H06/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A07/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H12/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H14/01
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A20/01
NCAA
61.3Avg total
32.3Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.729.363.0+4.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.727.963.6+7.967%-
Last 30 away (15)31.630.762.3+0.940%-
Last 10 (10)32.329.061.3+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)29.430.860.2-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)28.634.463.0-5.90%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)30.732.363.0-1.733%-
vs Weaker (13)37.324.962.2+12.492%-
This opponent (California Baptist) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
California Baptist wins
0
Tarleton wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/23HGrand Canyon79-74
12/01/23HUtah Valley State67-71
08/01/23ANew Mexico State70-61
06/01/23HUtah Tech72-58
31/12/22ASeattle65-71
30/12/22AGrand Canyon59-73
23/12/22HPortland State72-74
19/12/22HSonoma State88-67
11/12/22ASan Diego Toreros76-73
08/12/22HWeber State64-52
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/23ASeattle47-67
14/01/23HAbilene Christian72-63
12/01/23HChicago State73-63
07/01/23ASam Houston St.68-75
06/01/23HSouthern Utah68-65
31/12/22AAbilene Christian63-69
30/12/22HUT Arlington70-63
22/12/22HHuston Tillotson114-56
18/12/22AAir Force67-81
11/12/22AUCF Knights49-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California Baptist
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW58%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %58%67%43%
Points / game67.769.265.3
Allowed / game64.563.266.9
Point differential+3.2+6.0-1.6
Avg total132.3132.3132.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %11%8%14%
Tarleton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL53%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %53%89%20%
Points / game72.181.064.0
Allowed / game67.261.172.7
Point differential+4.8+19.9-8.7
Avg total139.3142.1136.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%56%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State2116576%77.067.3+9.6
2 Southern Utah2013765%84.374.5+9.8
3 California Baptist1911858%67.764.5+3.2
4 Tarleton1910953%72.167.2+4.8
5 Abilene Christian20101050%75.768.7+7.0
6 Utah Tech20101050%75.772.4+3.2
7 UT Arlington2171433%66.266.7-0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
California Baptist334477
Tarleton192948
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