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Stjarnan vs IR Reykjavik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 101-83
30-22 25-25 19-19 27-17
Position#2
Record15-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game98.5
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Position#7
Record11-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game92.2
IcelandPremier leaguePremier League - Quarter-finals· Mathus Gardabaejar hollin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Stjarnan v IR Reykjavik
29 Oct 2026
STJA102
IR R96
24 Oct 2025
STJA91
IR R93
11 Apr 2025
STJA87
IR R89
03 Apr 2025
STJA101
IR R83
17 Oct 2024
STJA117
IR R88
26 Jan 2023
STJA94
IR R76
30 Oct 2022
STJA97
IR R73
07 Oct 2021
STJA113
IR R102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
IR Reykjavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#5
W
100-88
100
88
+12
101avg 91
A19/01
Icelandic Cup
Haukar
#12
W
99-75
99
75
+24
100avg 91
H23/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
108-87
108
87
+21
114avg 91
A30/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
74avg 91
H02/02
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
86-83
86
83
+3
78avg 91
A13/02
Premier league
Thorl
#9
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
78avg 91
A28/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
116-76
116
76
+40
111avg 91
H07/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
98-107
98
107
-9
85avg 91
A14/03
Premier league
KR Basket
#2
L
91-94
91
94
-3
80avg 91
A19/03
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#3
L
103-110
103
110
-7
86avg 91
H27/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
26-22
28-17
19-25
22-19
26-29
26-13
25-14
20-20
28-15
29-19
31-33
20-21
17-25
20-24
25-20
18-17
28-30
19-19
21-17
26-23
18-18
23-19
11-18
24-19
33-20
34-21
25-16
23-30
25-31
21-23
29-23
25-25
28-27
19-21
19-21
32-22
22-23
24-33
25-32
187.8Avg total
97.4Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)98.588.5187.0+9.968%
Season at home (11)101.687.2188.8+14.582%
Season away (11)95.389.9185.2+5.455%
Last 10 (10)97.490.4187.8+7.050%
Last 5 (5)99.896.2196.0+3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)92.5101.5194.0-9.050%
vs Similar (8)91.591.5183.0+0.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)99.586.6186.1+12.879%
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IR ReykjavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReykjavik
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#1
L
88-98
88
98
-10
76avg 81
A09/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
103-101 OT
103
101
+2
92avg 81
H16/01
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
95-94
95
94
+1
91avg 81
A24/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
75-94
75
94
-19
68avg 81
H30/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
90-81
90
81
+9
84avg 81
A06/02
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
91-95
91
95
-4
78avg 81
H14/02
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
87-90
87
90
-3
80avg 81
A01/03
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
97-96
97
96
+1
87avg 81
H06/03
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
84-83
84
83
+1
85avg 81
H14/03
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
91-80
91
80
+11
91avg 81
A27/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
16-27
21-30
29-21
22-24
16-26
32-14
18-24
32-24
16-27
28-24
19-19
14-23
19-26
28-20
14-25
29-21
20-21
20-22
21-17
20-29
31-22
20-22
20-22
27-22
24-29
19-20
17-19
23-31
25-13
24-25
25-27
22-18
17-16
30-26
15-23
21-17
28-23
23-18
19-22
181.3Avg total
90.1Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)88.592.2180.7-3.850%
Season at home (11)87.291.5178.6-4.345%
Season away (11)89.793.0182.7-3.355%
Last 10 (10)90.191.2181.3-1.160%
Last 5 (5)90.088.8178.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)89.894.3184.1-4.540%
vs Similar (12)87.889.2177.1-1.467%
vs Weaker (3)88.787.0175.7+1.733%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.2-2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.2-2.2
StjarnanIR Reykjavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#5
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A19/01
Icelandic Cup
Haukar
#12
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H23/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A30/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H02/02
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/02
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A28/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H07/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A14/03
Premier league
KR Basket
#2
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A19/03
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#3
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H27/03
Premier league
94.8Avg total
48.8Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.944.894.7+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.343.093.3+7.364%-
Last 30 away (16)49.646.395.9+3.369%-
Last 10 (10)48.846.094.8+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)51.247.698.8+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.549.594.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (8)48.848.297.0+0.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)50.842.693.4+8.274%-
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IR ReykjavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A09/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H16/01
Premier league
Thorl
#9
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A24/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H30/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A06/02
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H14/02
Premier league
Valur
#5
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A01/03
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H06/03
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H14/03
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A27/03
Premier league
90.3Avg total
44.4Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.545.890.3-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.345.689.9-1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)44.646.090.6-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)44.445.990.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)47.644.091.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)43.946.190.0-2.347%-
vs Similar (12)44.445.690.0-1.250%-
vs Weaker (3)47.745.092.7+2.767%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 96.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.923.6
52.6%
53.7%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.911.5
36.1%
34.4%34.5
🏀 Free throws19.314.5
75.1%
75.6%14.5
They take 76.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
IR Reykjaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

IR Reykjavik: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.4
49.4%
53.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.211.3
40.1%
34.4%33.9
🏀 Free throws18.514.6
78.9%
75.6%14.6
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stjarnan
LLLWLWLWWW
IR Reykjavik
WWWLLWLWWL
#2
League position
#7
+7.8
Net rating
-1.4
113.8
Offensive rating
113.7
106.0
Defensive rating
115.1
53.2%
Effective FG%
53.7%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
15.9%
Turnover %
15.8%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.1%
3-point %
40.1%
55.8%
Assist %
58.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 113.7Defence106.0 · 115.1Shooting53.2% · 53.7%3-point %36.1% · 40.1%Ball care15.9% · 15.8%Off. rebounds33.2% · 29.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Stjarnan   ■ IR Reykjavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Stjarnan wins
2
IR Reykjavik wins
DateGameScore
16/01/25IR Reykjavik v Stjarnan103-101 OT
17/10/24Stjarnan v IR Reykjavik117-88
26/01/23Stjarnan v IR Reykjavik94-76
30/10/22Stjarnan v IR Reykjavik97-73
21/10/22IR Reykjavik v Stjarnan80-92
17/01/22IR Reykjavik v Stjarnan88-77
07/10/21Stjarnan v IR Reykjavik113-102 OT
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25HNjardvik103-110
19/03/25AKR Basket91-94
14/03/25AKeflavik98-107
07/03/25HAlftanes116-76
28/02/25AThorl91-94 OT
13/02/25AHottur86-83
02/02/25HTindastoll82-90
30/01/25AGrindavik108-87
23/01/25HHaukar99-75
19/01/25AAlftanes100-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25AHaukar91-80
14/03/25HHottur84-83
06/03/25HKR Basket97-96
01/03/25AValur87-90
14/02/25HNjardvik91-95
06/02/25AKeflavik90-81
30/01/25HAlftanes75-94
24/01/25AThorl95-94
16/01/25HStjarnan103-101 OT
09/01/25ATindastoll88-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL68%
HomeWWLWL82%
AwayLWWLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %68%82%55%
Points / game98.5101.695.3
Allowed / game88.587.289.9
Point differential+9.9+14.5+5.4
Avg total187.0188.8185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%45%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (1)33% (6)
Overtime %9%0%18%
IR Reykjavik
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeWLLWW45%
AwayLWWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%45%55%
Points / game88.587.289.7
Allowed / game92.291.593.0
Point differential-3.8-4.3-3.3
Avg total180.7178.6182.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)67% (6)80% (5)
Overtime %9%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tindastoll2317674%96.987.7+9.1
2 Stjarnan2215768%98.588.5+9.9
3 Njardvik2315865%95.091.3+3.7
4 Valur2314961%88.686.3+2.3
5 Grindavik23121152%93.691.7+1.9
6 Alftanes23121152%91.792.2-0.5
7 IR Reykjavik22111150%88.592.2-3.8
8 KR Basket22101245%92.993.7-0.8
9 Keflavik23101343%97.196.8+0.3
10 Thorl2291341%92.696.6-4.0
11 Hottur2261627%85.692.8-7.1
12 Haukar2241818%85.897.5-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stjarnan30251927101
IR Reykjavik2225191783
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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