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Stjarnan vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 116-76
24-19 33-20 34-21 25-16
Position#2
Record14-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game97.3
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Position#6
Record10-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game90.6
IcelandPremier leagueRound 20· Mathus Gardabaejar hollin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Stjarnan v Alftanes
30 Mar 2027
STJA v ALFT
upcoming
19 Dec 2025
STJA108
ALFT104
15 Dec 2025
STJA94
ALFT74
07 Mar 2025
STJA116
ALFT76
01 Dec 2023
STJA84
ALFT90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alftanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
W
100-90
100
90
+10
90avg 90
A19/12
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
72avg 90
A05/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
94-86
94
86
+8
86avg 90
H10/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
101-103 OT
101
103
-2
88avg 90
A16/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#5
W
100-88
100
88
+12
101avg 90
A19/01
Icelandic Cup
Haukar
#12
W
99-75
99
75
+24
100avg 90
H23/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
108-87
108
87
+21
114avg 90
A30/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
74avg 90
H02/02
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
86-83
86
83
+3
78avg 90
A13/02
Premier league
Thorl
#9
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
78avg 90
A28/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
29-23
26-24
23-20
18-19
31-23
13-23
17-18
20-17
30-24
18-19
26-26
24-22
26-16
14-32
24-18
27-24
26-22
28-17
19-25
22-19
26-29
26-13
25-14
20-20
28-15
29-19
31-33
20-21
17-25
20-24
25-20
18-17
28-30
19-19
21-17
26-23
18-18
23-19
11-18
181.9Avg total
94.0Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)97.387.1184.4+10.274%
Season at home (9)99.985.9185.8+14.089%
Season away (10)95.088.2183.2+6.860%
Last 10 (10)94.087.9181.9+6.160%
Last 5 (5)93.285.8179.0+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)88.796.0184.7-7.333%
vs Similar (8)87.287.6174.9-0.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)97.786.9184.6+10.878%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Hottur
#11
L
89-92
89
92
-3
83avg 80
H19/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
89-87
89
87
+2
80avg 80
A02/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
75-81
75
81
-6
60avg 80
H09/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
81-87
81
87
-6
66avg 80
A16/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
88-100
88
100
-12
76avg 80
H19/01
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#8
W
111-100
111
100
+11
109avg 80
H23/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
94-75
94
75
+19
84avg 80
A30/01
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
107-90
107
90
+17
101avg 80
H06/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
94-92
94
92
+2
87avg 80
A12/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
102-89
102
89
+13
104avg 80
H28/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-8
26-34
19-23
16-27
22-23
21-20
30-20
16-24
20-17
20-19
16-20
19-25
23-25
23-21
18-17
17-24
24-27
22-26
17-28
25-19
36-30
18-22
27-16
30-32
23-14
26-19
20-28
25-14
23-22
27-29
27-22
30-17
30-20
24-26
16-18
24-28
27-13
20-34
29-27
26-15
182.3Avg total
93.0Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)91.390.6181.9+0.753%
Season at home (10)94.593.5188.0+1.050%
Season away (9)87.887.3175.1+0.456%
Last 10 (10)93.089.3182.3+3.760%
Last 5 (5)101.689.2190.8+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)84.491.6176.0-7.133%
vs Similar (16)87.987.2175.1+0.650%
vs Weaker (4)96.289.8186.0+6.575%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
StjarnanAlftanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A19/12
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A05/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H10/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A16/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#5
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A19/01
Icelandic Cup
Haukar
#12
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H23/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A30/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H02/02
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/02
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A28/02
Premier league
90.6Avg total
47.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.744.292.9+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.543.291.7+5.350%-
Last 30 away (16)48.945.194.0+3.869%-
Last 10 (10)47.643.090.6+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)44.643.488.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.048.393.3-3.30%-
vs Similar (8)45.847.593.2-1.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)50.341.992.2+8.478%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hottur
#11
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H19/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A02/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H09/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A16/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H19/01
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#8
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H23/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A30/01
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H06/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A12/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H28/02
Premier league
93.2Avg total
48.3Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.844.790.5+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.544.890.3+0.653%-
Last 30 away (13)46.244.590.7+1.646%-
Last 10 (10)48.344.993.2+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)50.845.896.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)46.947.194.0-0.244%-
vs Similar (16)43.044.487.4-1.444%-
vs Weaker (4)51.244.896.0+6.575%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.920.6
49.2%
53.7%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.011.6
36.2%
34.4%34.8
🏀 Free throws21.216.8
79.2%
75.6%16.8
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.625.3
55.5%
53.7%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.28.0
37.7%
34.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws26.317.6
66.9%
75.6%17.6
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stjarnan
LWLWWWLWLW
Alftanes
WWWWWLLLWL
#2
League position
#6
+6.6
Net rating
+5.2
111.7
Offensive rating
115.9
105.1
Defensive rating
110.7
51.4%
Effective FG%
55.8%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
16.6%
Turnover %
14.3%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.39
36.2%
3-point %
37.7%
61.5%
Assist %
53.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 115.9Defence105.1 · 110.7Shooting51.4% · 55.8%3-point %36.2% · 37.7%Ball care16.6% · 14.3%Off. rebounds32.4% · 29.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Stjarnan   ■ Alftanes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Stjarnan wins
2
Alftanes wins
DateGameScore
19/01/25Alftanes v Stjarnan88-100
06/12/24Alftanes v Stjarnan77-97
14/03/24Alftanes v Stjarnan86-77
01/12/23Stjarnan v Alftanes84-90 OT
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25AThorl91-94 OT
13/02/25AHottur86-83
02/02/25HTindastoll82-90
30/01/25AGrindavik108-87
23/01/25HHaukar99-75
19/01/25AAlftanes100-88
16/01/25AIR Reykjavik101-103 OT
10/01/25HKR Basket94-86
05/01/25AValur79-83
19/12/24ANjardvik100-90
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25HTindastoll102-89
12/02/25AGrindavik94-92
06/02/25HHaukar107-90
30/01/25AIR Reykjavik94-75
23/01/25HKR Basket111-100
19/01/25HStjarnan88-100
16/01/25AValur81-87
09/01/25HNjardvik75-81
02/01/25AKeflavik89-87
19/12/24HHottur89-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL74%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayLLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %74%89%60%
Points / game97.399.995.0
Allowed / game87.185.988.2
Point differential+10.2+14.0+6.8
Avg total184.4185.8183.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%44%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (1)33% (6)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Alftanes
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW53%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %53%50%56%
Points / game91.394.587.8
Allowed / game90.693.587.3
Point differential+0.7+1.0+0.4
Avg total181.9188.0175.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%30%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)33% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tindastoll2015575%97.887.8+10.0
2 Stjarnan1914574%97.387.1+10.2
3 Njardvik1913668%93.288.9+4.2
4 Valur2012860%88.586.4+2.1
5 Grindavik1910953%93.590.5+3.0
6 Alftanes1910953%91.390.6+0.7
7 KR Basket2091145%92.994.5-1.6
8 Thorl2091145%91.494.9-3.5
9 IR Reykjavik2091145%88.593.3-4.8
10 Keflavik2081240%96.096.0+0.0
11 Hottur2051525%85.193.1-8.0
12 Haukar2041620%86.097.6-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stjarnan24333425116
Alftanes1920211676
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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