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Stoja vs Mladost Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 68-94
19-28 18-21 15-24 16-21
Position#13
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game93.8
vs
Mladost 🏆
Croatia
Position#11
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game93.0
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 6· Stoja Sports Complex
Other2023-24
Meetings · Stoja v Mladost
11 Nov 2023
STOJ68
MLAD94
22 Apr 2023
STOJ98
MLAD72
11 Mar 2023
STOJ89
MLAD85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stoja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mladost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStoja
Date
Competition
Mladost
#8
W
98-72
98
72
+26
no box
H22/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
95-75
95
75
+20
no box
H26/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
79-91
79
91
-12
no box
A29/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
105-98
105
98
+7
no box
H11/05
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
78-121
78
121
-43
no box
A14/05
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
70-97
70
97
-27
60avg 72
A08/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
117-122 OT
117
122
-5
no box
H14/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
69-75
69
75
-6
60avg 72
A21/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 72
H28/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 72
A05/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
25-19
26-15
18-20
27-14
28-29
19-15
21-17
22-23
18-25
23-21
16-22
27-26
26-22
22-29
30-21
25-37
13-29
19-25
21-30
22-21
16-25
17-30
15-21
22-16
23-25
25-26
12-15
16-21
16-24
22-11
15-19
21-33
15-25
28-17
16-15
28-30
22-23
20-15
23-17
181.0Avg total
88.4Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.893.8179.6-8.020%
Season at home (2)98.5106.0204.5-7.50%
Season away (3)77.385.7163.0-8.333%
Last 10 (10)88.492.6181.0-4.240%
Last 5 (5)85.893.8179.6-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)85.696.6182.1-11.025%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.379.9161.1+1.457%
vs Weaker (7)87.981.9169.7+6.071%
This opponent (Mladost) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Stoja
#9
L
72-98
72
98
-26
no box
A22/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
111-99
111
99
+12
no box
H26/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
A29/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
74-92
74
92
-18
no box
H11/05
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
104-74
104
74
+30
no box
A13/05
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
90-74
90
74
+16
77avg 71
A07/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
72-97
72
97
-25
63avg 71
H14/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
87-107
87
107
-20
76avg 71
A21/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
82-89
82
89
-7
70avg 71
H27/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
76-98
76
98
-22
67avg 71
H04/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
19-25
15-26
20-18
31-26
29-20
25-30
26-23
25-14
17-26
16-20
16-24
20-29
19-15
22-23
13-25
35-25
19-16
20-15
30-18
18-21
25-15
21-21
26-17
23-30
14-23
21-26
14-18
25-36
20-30
21-16
21-25
19-22
28-15
12-29
23-23
30-23
17-22
14-25
15-28
175.4Avg total
84.2Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.493.0174.4-11.620%
Season at home (3)76.794.7171.3-18.00%
Season away (2)88.590.5179.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)84.291.2175.4-7.030%
Last 5 (5)81.493.0174.4-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.291.3166.6-16.10%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.489.6174.0-5.225%
vs Weaker (9)95.978.3174.2+17.6100%
This opponent (Stoja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
StojaMladost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#8
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H22/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H26/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A29/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H11/05
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
38-66
38
66
-28
A14/05
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A08/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H14/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A21/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
H28/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A05/11
Prva Liga
92.6Avg total
44.1Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.146.189.2-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.743.787.4+0.036%-
Last 30 away (16)42.548.290.8-5.825%-
Last 10 (10)44.148.592.6-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.248.688.8-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)43.149.892.8-6.725%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.741.682.3-0.929%-
vs Weaker (7)45.442.487.9+3.043%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stoja
#9
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A22/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H26/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A29/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H11/05
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A13/05
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A07/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H14/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
45-66
45
66
-21
A21/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H27/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H04/11
Prva Liga
91.3Avg total
45.1Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.343.387.5+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.543.387.9+1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)44.043.287.2+0.867%-
Last 10 (10)45.146.291.3-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.847.491.2-3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.945.885.7-5.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.845.288.9-1.450%-
vs Weaker (9)49.338.287.6+11.1100%-
This opponent (Stoja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stojatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stoja: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.024.5
52.1%
52.9%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.05.2
37.5%
32.9%15.8
🏀 Free throws16.812.8
76.1%
71.2%12.8
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 14.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 23% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.424.4
51.5%
52.9%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.2
31.3%
32.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.412.0
69.0%
71.2%12.0
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/5 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stoja
WLLLLLWLWW
Mladost
LLLLWWLLWL
#13
League position
#11
-12.7
Net rating
-11.8
100.7
Offensive rating
101.0
113.4
Defensive rating
112.8
53.1%
Effective FG%
50.0%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.7%
20.7%
Turnover %
21.8%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.5%
3-point %
31.3%
58.0%
Assist %
54.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 101.0Defence113.4 · 112.8Shooting53.1% · 50.0%3-point %37.5% · 31.3%Ball care20.7% · 21.8%Off. rebounds25.2% · 34.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Stoja   ■ Mladost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Stoja wins
1
Mladost wins
DateGameScore
22/04/23Stoja v Mladost98-72
18/03/23Mladost v Stoja84-70
11/03/23Stoja v Mladost89-85
11/12/22Mladost v Stoja82-95
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23AHermes93-85
28/10/23HOsijek80-90
21/10/23ACrikvenica69-75
14/10/23HJazine117-122 OT
08/10/23AKK Zagreb70-97
14/05/23AHermes78-121
11/05/23HJazine105-98
29/04/23ASamobor79-91
26/04/23HSonik Puntamika95-75
22/04/23HMladost98-72
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HKastela76-98
27/10/23HSamobor82-89
21/10/23AHermes87-107
14/10/23HOsijek72-97
07/10/23ACrikvenica90-74
13/05/23ASonik Puntamika104-74
11/05/23HHermes74-92
29/04/23AJazine74-84
26/04/23HSamobor111-99
22/04/23AStoja72-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stoja
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game85.898.577.3
Allowed / game93.8106.085.7
Point differential-8.0-7.5-8.3
Avg total179.6204.5163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %20%50%0%
Mladost
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%0%50%
Points / game81.476.788.5
Allowed / game93.094.790.5
Point differential-11.6-18.0-2.0
Avg total174.4171.3179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner660100%95.574.7+20.8
2 Osijek65183%87.375.0+12.3
3 KK Zagreb54180%83.065.8+17.2
4 Gorica64267%80.573.7+6.8
5 Omis64267%78.774.0+4.7
6 Kastela63350%85.875.8+10.0
7 Hermes63350%86.389.0-2.7
8 Samobor63350%75.883.0-7.2
9 Jazine52340%88.496.2-7.8
10 Stoja51420%85.893.8-8.0
11 Marsonia51420%77.085.2-8.2
12 Mladost51420%81.493.0-11.6
13 Podstrana51420%72.488.2-15.8
14 Crikvenica61517%70.787.0-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stoja1918151668
Mladost2821242194
← all games of the day
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