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Strasbourg vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-70
18-15 19-17 21-22 24-16
Position#10
Record3-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#9
Record3-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 5
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Strasbourg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StrasbourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStrasbourg
Date
Competition
Tofas
#27
W
94-89 OT
94
89
+5
no box
H12/10
Champions League
Limoges
#15
L
71-73
71
73
-2
63avg 79
H15/10
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
69-85
69
85
-16
57avg 79
A22/10
LNB
Murcia
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
67avg 79
A26/10
Champions League
Monaco
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
68avg 79
H30/10
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
L
69-74
69
74
-5
60avg 79
A06/11
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#18
W
80-76
80
76
+4
73avg 79
H19/11
LNB
Tofas
#27
W
79-75
79
75
+4
73avg 79
A22/11
Champions League
Nanterre
#14
W
81-71
81
71
+10
94avg 79
A26/11
LNB
Le Portel
#12
W
80-74
80
74
+6
74avg 79
H02/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
17-22
18-27
22-14
14-22
13-16
28-19
16-16
22-17
15-27
18-23
14-18
16-29
20-19
23-15
19-17
17-22
25-22
18-21
15-22
15-17
21-13
22-20
11-24
25-10
15-22
19-15
21-29
22-20
14-25
17-16
26-14
21-15
19-15
22-16
19-25
26-17
18-21
18-14
18-22
156.0Avg total
77.6Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.080.5163.5+2.575%
Season at home (2)87.583.5171.0+4.0100%
Season away (2)78.577.5156.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)77.678.4156.0-0.850%
Last 5 (5)77.874.0151.8+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.591.0171.5-10.50%
vs Similar ◀ (21)81.782.5164.2-0.938%
vs Weaker (7)86.378.0164.3+8.371%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Szombathely
#31
L
94-104
94
104
-10
no box
A12/10
Champions League
Valencia
#8
W
75-74
75
74
+1
68avg 71
A16/10
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
96-83
96
83
+13
85avg 71
H22/10
ACB
Strasbourg
#10
W
80-78
80
78
+2
73avg 71
H26/10
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#15
L
89-100
89
100
-11
76avg 71
A30/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
88-76
88
76
+12
86avg 71
H05/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
57-93
57
93
-36
42avg 71
A20/11
ACB
Szombathely
#31
W
81-74
81
74
+7
75avg 71
H23/11
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
80-84
80
84
-4
65avg 71
H27/11
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
73-102
73
102
-29
60avg 71
A04/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-32
30-29
23-21
22-22
26-22
14-23
15-15
20-14
23-25
24-21
28-17
21-20
29-16
19-20
15-23
17-19
10-24
23-28
23-25
33-23
17-22
28-13
18-25
25-16
9-27
13-25
21-19
14-22
13-19
25-16
20-22
23-17
16-21
19-27
18-15
27-21
12-29
18-20
21-36
22-17
168.1Avg total
81.3Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.582.0164.5+0.575%
Season at home (3)78.774.7153.3+4.0100%
Season away (1)94.0104.0198.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)81.386.8168.1-5.550%
Last 5 (5)75.885.8161.6-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.890.0164.8-15.220%
vs Similar ◀ (17)82.682.5165.1+0.153%
vs Weaker (8)87.083.6170.6+3.438%
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
StrasbourgMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StrasbourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#27
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H12/10
Champions League
Limoges
#15
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H15/10
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A22/10
LNB
Murcia
#9
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A26/10
Champions League
Monaco
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H30/10
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A06/11
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#18
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H19/11
LNB
Tofas
#27
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A22/11
Champions League
Nanterre
#14
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A26/11
LNB
Le Portel
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H02/12
LNB
75.8Avg total
37.4Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.281.3+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.738.579.2+2.254%-
Last 30 away (17)41.441.582.9-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.475.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.235.074.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.545.085.5-4.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)40.740.080.7+0.752%-
vs Weaker (7)42.339.681.9+2.757%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szombathely
#31
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A12/10
Champions League
Valencia
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A16/10
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H22/10
ACB
Strasbourg
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H26/10
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#15
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A30/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H05/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
22-52
22
52
-30
A20/11
ACB
Szombathely
#31
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H23/11
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H27/11
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A04/12
ACB
84.6Avg total
38.7Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.743.082.7-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.239.479.6+0.953%-
Last 30 away (13)39.047.886.8-8.88%-
Last 10 (10)38.745.984.6-7.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.043.877.8-9.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.043.879.8-7.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.244.184.2-3.935%-
vs Weaker (8)41.040.281.2+0.825%-
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Strasbourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Strasbourg: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.7
50.1%
51.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.6
30.4%
35.2%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.312.9
70.5%
74.3%12.9
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.3
49.7%
51.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.97.9
29.4%
35.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.718.0
79.3%
74.3%18.0
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Strasbourg
WWWWLLLLLW
Murcia
LLWLWLWWWL
#10
League position
#9
-3.3
Net rating
-7.2
103.0
Offensive rating
105.0
106.3
Defensive rating
112.2
48.4%
Effective FG%
47.4%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.7%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.4%
3-point %
29.4%
61.5%
Assist %
47.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 105.0Defence106.3 · 112.2Shooting48.4% · 47.4%3-point %30.4% · 29.4%Ball care18.7% · 17.7%Off. rebounds34.1% · 33.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Strasbourg   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Strasbourg wins
1
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
26/10/22Murcia v Strasbourg80-78
Strasbourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/22HLe Portel80-74
26/11/22ANanterre81-71
22/11/22ATofas79-75
19/11/22HFos-sur-Mer80-76
06/11/22AJL Bourg69-74
30/10/22HMonaco75-87
26/10/22AMurcia78-80
22/10/22AGravelines-Dunkerque69-85
15/10/22HLimoges71-73
12/10/22HTofas94-89 OT
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/22ABaskonia73-102
27/11/22HObradoiro CAB80-84
23/11/22HSzombathely81-74
20/11/22AReal Madrid57-93
05/11/22HJoventut Badalona88-76
30/10/22ABasquet Girona89-100
26/10/22HStrasbourg80-78
22/10/22HManresa96-83
16/10/22AValencia75-74
12/10/22ASzombathely94-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Strasbourg
Champions League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game83.087.578.5
Allowed / game80.583.577.5
Point differential+2.5+4.0+1.0
Avg total163.5171.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %25%50%0%
Murcia
Champions League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game82.578.794.0
Allowed / game82.074.7104.0
Point differential+0.5+4.0-10.0
Avg total164.5153.3198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja660100%91.368.0+23.3
2 Benfica87188%82.974.8+8.1
3 Bonn54180%81.875.4+6.4
4 Hapoel Holon54180%86.080.8+5.2
5 Tenerife43175%87.070.5+16.5
6 Ludwigsburg43175%83.069.0+14.0
7 Bilbao43175%78.571.0+7.5
8 Strasbourg43175%83.080.5+2.5
9 Hapoel Jerusalem43175%75.274.5+0.8
10 Murcia43175%82.582.0+0.5
11 Chemnitz32167%89.076.3+12.7
12 FMP Beograd32167%83.376.0+7.3
13 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
14 Manresa53260%84.078.0+6.0
15 Galatasaray53260%84.879.4+5.4
16 Tofas74357%79.072.9+6.1
17 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
18 Rytas42250%82.578.5+4.0
19 Igokea42250%80.577.5+3.0
20 Darussafaka42250%73.572.0+1.5
21 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
22 Bahcesehir Kol.42250%75.076.5-1.5
23 Peristeri42250%77.280.5-3.2
24 Bamberg21150%85.090.5-5.5
25 Dijon42250%74.081.2-7.2
26 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
27 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
28 Limoges52340%71.869.0+2.8
29 AEK Athens52340%75.675.2+0.4
30 Oostende52340%77.279.0-1.8
31 Karsiyaka52340%79.082.0-3.0
32 Reggiana52340%74.077.8-3.8
33 Bakken Bears62433%74.381.2-6.8
34 PAOK41325%73.874.2-0.5
35 Sassari41325%76.585.2-8.8
36 Nymburk41325%71.880.8-9.0
37 Bnei Herzliya41325%70.087.2-17.2
38 Szombathely51420%76.684.6-8.0
39 Legia51420%72.281.0-8.8
40 VEF Riga51420%66.078.4-12.4
41 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
42 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
43 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
44 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
45 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
46 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
47 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
48 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
49 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
51 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
52 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Strasbourg1819212482
Murcia1517221670
← all games of the day
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