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Real Madrid vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 93-57
27-9 25-13 19-21 22-14
Position#3
Record5-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#9
Record4-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game81.4
SpainACBRound 8
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Real Madrid v Murcia
08 Nov 2026
MAD90
MUR71
03 May 2026
MAD131
MUR123
09 Mar 2025
MAD80
MUR75
10 Jun 2024
MAD79
MUR63
08 Jun 2024
MAD84
MUR76
15 Feb 2024
MAD84
MUR79
15 Oct 2023
MAD106
MUR92
20 Nov 2022
MAD93
MUR57
11 May 2022
MAD90
MUR69
02 Feb 2021
MAD98
MUR87
23 Dec 2018
MAD80
MUR74
10 Dec 2017
MAD87
MUR85
16 Oct 2016
MAD93
MUR86
31 May 2016
MAD93
MUR72
27 May 2016
MAD107
MUR103
06 Dec 2015
MAD101
MUR80
16 Nov 2014
MAD90
MUR65
15 Mar 2014
MAD102
MUR65
03 Mar 2013
MAD86
MUR69
29 Apr 2012
MAD80
MUR79
25 Oct 2009
MAD73
MUR66
14 Dec 2008
MAD70
MUR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
96-79
96
79
+17
90avg 77
H16/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
87-89
87
89
-2
85avg 77
H19/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
72-56
72
56
+16
78avg 77
H21/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
82-88
82
88
-6
76avg 77
A23/10
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
91-95
91
95
-4
84avg 77
H27/10
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
91-69
91
69
+22
95avg 77
H30/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
83-77
83
77
+6
85avg 77
A03/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
89-94
89
94
-5
77avg 77
A06/11
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
92avg 77
H10/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
90-72
90
72
+18
91avg 77
H17/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
22-25
24-15
27-14
21-20
17-17
24-26
25-26
25-10
14-20
15-14
18-12
19-14
14-23
25-18
24-33
24-18
21-23
19-27
27-27
26-12
26-18
13-22
26-17
23-20
24-30
20-11
16-16
13-20
23-28
22-23
31-23
26-19
28-24
15-20
25-22
26-20
27-17
17-15
20-20
167.9Avg total
87.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.781.1169.9+7.671%
Season at home (3)93.375.7169.0+17.7100%
Season away (4)85.285.2170.5+0.050%
Last 10 (10)87.580.4167.9+7.160%
Last 5 (5)89.479.4168.8+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)79.575.9155.4+3.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.777.4165.1+10.289%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Breogan
#10
L
70-84
70
84
-14
55avg 72
H29/09
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
81-64
81
64
+17
68avg 72
A01/10
ACB
Tofas
#27
W
75-72
75
72
+3
51avg 72
H04/10
Champions League
Granada
#16
L
82-89
82
89
-7
no box
H09/10
ACB
Szombathely
#31
L
94-104
94
104
-10
no box
A12/10
Champions League
Valencia
#8
W
75-74
75
74
+1
68avg 72
A16/10
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
96-83
96
83
+13
85avg 72
H22/10
ACB
Strasbourg
#10
W
80-78
80
78
+2
73avg 72
H26/10
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#15
L
89-100
89
100
-11
76avg 72
A30/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
88-76
88
76
+12
86avg 72
H05/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
17-17
17-18
19-27
29-17
12-14
18-14
22-19
13-14
19-26
24-16
19-16
19-25
21-22
20-16
22-26
19-32
30-29
23-21
22-22
26-22
14-23
15-15
20-14
23-25
24-21
28-17
21-20
29-16
19-20
15-23
17-19
10-24
23-28
23-25
33-23
17-22
28-13
18-25
25-16
165.4Avg total
83.0Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.081.4164.4+1.657%
Season at home (4)84.083.0167.0+1.050%
Season away (3)81.779.3161.0+2.367%
Last 10 (10)83.082.4165.4+0.660%
Last 5 (5)85.682.2167.8+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)83.589.5173.0-6.025%
vs Similar (16)82.183.2165.3-1.150%
vs Weaker (9)86.084.4170.4+1.633%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
Real MadridMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H16/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H19/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H21/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A23/10
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H27/10
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H30/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A03/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A06/11
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H10/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H17/11
Euroleague
84.5Avg total
44.2Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.336.878.1+4.473%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.835.678.3+7.288%-
Last 30 away (14)39.638.377.9+1.357%-
Last 10 (10)44.240.384.5+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)48.441.690.0+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)38.336.174.4+2.264%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.137.480.4+5.778%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H29/09
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A01/10
ACB
Tofas
#27
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H04/10
Champions League
Granada
#16
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H09/10
ACB
Szombathely
#31
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A12/10
Champions League
Valencia
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A16/10
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H22/10
ACB
Strasbourg
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H26/10
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#15
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A30/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H05/11
ACB
84.1Avg total
40.9Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.542.383.8-0.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.240.181.3+1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)41.744.986.6-3.221%-
Last 10 (10)40.943.284.1-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.885.4-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)44.243.287.5+1.050%-
vs Similar (16)39.944.083.9-4.131%-
vs Weaker (9)41.840.081.8+1.833%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.7
54.6%
52.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.4
37.2%
34.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.617.6
81.5%
73.9%17.6
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.018.4
46.0%
52.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.8
32.0%
34.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.819.0
79.8%
73.9%19.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWLWWLLWLW
Murcia
WLWWWLLWWL
#3
League position
#9
+11.0
Net rating
+1.3
117.1
Offensive rating
107.0
106.1
Defensive rating
105.7
55.1%
Effective FG%
46.8%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.8%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.2%
3-point %
32.0%
67.4%
Assist %
48.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.1 · 107.0Defence106.1 · 105.7Shooting55.1% · 46.8%3-point %37.2% · 32.0%Ball care17.6% · 16.8%Off. rebounds33.8% · 35.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Real Madrid wins
0
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
11/05/22Real Madrid v Murcia90-69
19/12/21Murcia v Real Madrid71-80
07/03/21Murcia v Real Madrid58-74
02/02/21Real Madrid v Murcia98-87
02/05/19Murcia v Real Madrid80-82
23/12/18Real Madrid v Murcia80-74
12/05/18Murcia v Real Madrid61-63
10/12/17Real Madrid v Murcia87-85 OT
05/02/17Murcia v Real Madrid61-89
16/10/16Real Madrid v Murcia93-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/22HAlba Berlin90-72
10/11/22HAnadolu Efes94-85
06/11/22ABasket Zaragoza89-94
03/11/22AOlimpia Milano83-77
30/10/22HFuenlabrada91-69
27/10/22HVirtus Bologna91-95
23/10/22ABaskonia82-88
21/10/22HCrvena zvezda72-56
19/10/22HOlympiacos87-89
16/10/22HJoventut Badalona96-79
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/22HJoventut Badalona88-76
30/10/22ABasquet Girona89-100
26/10/22HStrasbourg80-78
22/10/22HManresa96-83
16/10/22AValencia75-74
12/10/22ASzombathely94-104
09/10/22HGranada82-89
04/10/22HTofas75-72
01/10/22ABasket Zaragoza81-64
29/09/22HBreogan70-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game88.793.385.2
Allowed / game81.175.785.2
Point differential+7.6+17.7+0.0
Avg total169.9169.0170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game83.084.081.7
Allowed / game81.483.079.3
Point differential+1.6+1.0+2.3
Avg total164.4167.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife87188%81.869.4+12.4
2 Barcelona76186%84.372.9+11.4
3 Gran Canaria86275%79.671.1+8.5
4 Real Madrid75271%88.781.1+7.6
5 Baskonia75271%89.985.9+4.0
6 Unicaja85362%81.973.6+8.2
7 Breogan74357%79.474.9+4.6
8 Murcia74357%83.081.4+1.6
9 Granada74357%84.687.3-2.7
10 Valencia84450%84.086.0-2.0
11 Joventut Badalona73443%82.383.0-0.7
12 Bilbao73443%74.078.6-4.6
13 Fuenlabrada73443%77.484.1-6.7
14 Basket Zaragoza82625%79.083.6-4.6
15 Obradoiro CAB82625%80.285.4-5.1
16 Basquet Girona82625%74.280.2-6.0
17 Manresa71614%81.194.9-13.7
18 Real Betis81712%76.688.6-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2725192293
Murcia913211457
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