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Valencia vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 74-75
22-26 23-14 15-15 14-20
Position#8
Record2-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Murcia 🏆
Spain
Position#9
Record1-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game79.0
SpainACBRound 4
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Valencia v Murcia
18 Oct 2026
VAL116
MUR93
08 Mar 2026
VAL110
MUR84
05 Apr 2025
VAL71
MUR86
25 May 2024
VAL77
MUR84
18 May 2024
VAL86
MUR96
24 Mar 2024
VAL83
MUR82
16 Oct 2022
VAL74
MUR75
18 Feb 2022
VAL83
MUR86
26 Sep 2021
VAL86
MUR91
20 Dec 2020
VAL89
MUR78
10 Mar 2019
VAL89
MUR65
01 Apr 2018
VAL73
MUR84
14 May 2017
VAL67
MUR70
22 Dec 2015
VAL65
MUR54
24 Jan 2015
VAL81
MUR63
14 Dec 2013
VAL88
MUR86
26 Jan 2013
VAL94
MUR96
24 Mar 2012
VAL87
MUR80
29 Dec 2009
VAL72
MUR67
26 Apr 2009
VAL83
MUR63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
84-70
84
70
+14
81avg 79
H10/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
89-85
89
85
+4
91avg 79
A14/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
79-80
79
80
-1
72avg 79
H24/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
83avg 79
A28/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
59-76
59
76
-17
45avg 79
H30/05
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
83-78
83
78
+5
80avg 79
A30/09
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
101-97 OT
101
97
+4
no box
H02/10
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
61avg 79
H06/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
L
65-71
65
71
-6
55avg 79
A09/10
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
76-77
76
77
-1
71avg 79
H14/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
22-17
22-9
22-28
29-20
19-22
26-18
15-25
21-21
14-22
27-24
17-13
20-21
26-20
21-18
22-23
20-9
17-25
17-19
5-23
21-19
21-14
25-24
16-21
23-18
20-19
24-24
20-26
21-19
12-20
23-20
15-22
10-20
24-10
19-15
12-26
27-16
11-26
21-20
17-15
159.3Avg total
79.6Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.082.0165.0+1.067%
Season at home (1)101.097.0198.0+4.0100%
Season away (2)74.074.5148.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)79.679.7159.3-0.150%
Last 5 (5)79.280.8160.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.081.0152.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.479.9160.3+0.553%
vs Weaker (14)86.379.6165.9+6.671%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#11
L
77-78
77
78
-1
60avg 73
A23/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
98-80
98
80
+18
90avg 73
H01/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
71-83
71
83
-12
60avg 73
H08/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
49avg 73
A11/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
72-77
72
77
-5
61avg 73
H14/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
L
70-84
70
84
-14
55avg 73
H29/09
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
81-64
81
64
+17
68avg 73
A01/10
ACB
Tofas
#27
W
75-72
75
72
+3
51avg 73
H04/10
Champions League
Granada
#16
L
82-89
82
89
-7
no box
H09/10
ACB
Szombathely
#31
L
94-104
94
104
-10
no box
A12/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
21-22
26-14
15-21
18-22
33-17
21-20
26-21
17-23
20-23
26-17
8-20
21-19
16-22
12-27
20-22
17-23
16-12
16-24
23-18
17-22
17-17
17-18
19-27
29-17
12-14
18-14
22-19
13-14
19-26
24-16
19-16
19-25
21-22
20-16
22-26
19-32
30-29
23-21
22-22
161.0Avg total
78.9Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.779.0156.7-1.333%
Season at home (2)76.086.5162.5-10.50%
Season away (1)81.064.0145.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.982.1161.0-3.230%
Last 5 (5)80.482.6163.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.290.5169.8-11.20%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.683.2165.8-0.647%
vs Weaker (10)87.684.4172.0+3.240%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
ValenciaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H10/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A14/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H24/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A28/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H30/05
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A30/09
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H02/10
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H06/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A09/10
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H14/10
Euroleague
77.0Avg total
39.6Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.779.7+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.138.580.6+3.671%-
Last 30 away (13)39.538.978.4+0.554%-
Last 10 (10)39.637.477.0+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)38.036.274.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.039.072.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.339.180.3+2.267%-
vs Weaker (14)41.238.379.5+2.964%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A23/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H01/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H08/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A11/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H14/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H29/09
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A01/10
ACB
Tofas
#27
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H04/10
Champions League
Granada
#16
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H09/10
ACB
Szombathely
#31
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A12/10
Champions League
81.2Avg total
39.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.842.284.0-0.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.840.480.2-0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)43.944.087.9-0.133%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.281.2-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.682.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.845.887.5-4.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.343.183.4-2.733%-
vs Weaker (10)43.140.483.5+2.740%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.5
50.1%
52.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.5
36.0%
34.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.614.3
69.4%
73.9%14.3
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.618.1
44.6%
52.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.0
30.2%
34.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.514.9
72.7%
73.9%14.9
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LLLWWLWLWW
Murcia
LLWWLLLLWL
#8
League position
#9
-1.5
Net rating
-3.7
105.7
Offensive rating
103.0
107.3
Defensive rating
106.7
51.7%
Effective FG%
44.9%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
18.6%
Turnover %
16.1%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
35.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.0%
3-point %
30.2%
60.4%
Assist %
48.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 103.0Defence107.3 · 106.7Shooting51.7% · 44.9%3-point %36.0% · 30.2%Ball care18.6% · 16.1%Off. rebounds30.8% · 35.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Valencia   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valencia wins
4
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
27/03/22Murcia v Valencia71-72
18/02/22Valencia v Murcia83-86
26/09/21Valencia v Murcia86-91
30/04/21Murcia v Valencia66-80
20/12/20Valencia v Murcia89-78
10/03/19Valencia v Murcia89-65
07/10/18Murcia v Valencia68-81
01/04/18Valencia v Murcia73-84
22/10/17Murcia v Valencia91-93
14/05/17Valencia v Murcia67-70
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/22HLyon-Villeurbanne76-77
09/10/22ABilbao65-71
06/10/22HBaskonia71-81
02/10/22HJoventut Badalona101-97 OT
30/09/22AReal Betis83-78
30/05/22HBaskonia59-76
28/05/22ABaskonia89-82
24/05/22HBaskonia79-80
14/05/22AObradoiro CAB89-85
10/05/22HSan Pablo Burgos84-70
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/22ASzombathely94-104
09/10/22HGranada82-89
04/10/22HTofas75-72
01/10/22ABasket Zaragoza81-64
29/09/22HBreogan70-84
14/05/22HBasket Zaragoza72-77
11/05/22AReal Madrid69-90
08/05/22HJoventut Badalona71-83
01/05/22HObradoiro CAB98-80
23/04/22ABilbao77-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game83.0101.074.0
Allowed / game82.097.074.5
Point differential+1.0+4.0-0.5
Avg total165.0198.0148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %33%100%0%
Murcia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game77.776.081.0
Allowed / game79.086.564.0
Point differential-1.3-10.5+17.0
Avg total156.7162.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife440100%84.070.8+13.2
2 Real Madrid330100%87.779.3+8.3
3 Barcelona43175%89.874.0+15.8
4 Gran Canaria43175%77.570.0+7.5
5 Granada43175%88.883.5+5.2
6 Bilbao43175%80.277.5+2.8
7 Valencia32167%83.082.0+1.0
8 Unicaja42250%75.875.2+0.5
9 Obradoiro CAB42250%77.878.8-1.0
10 Breogan42250%70.274.0-3.8
11 Joventut Badalona31233%86.082.7+3.3
12 Murcia31233%77.779.0-1.3
13 Baskonia31233%85.387.7-2.3
14 Real Betis41325%78.083.5-5.5
15 Fuenlabrada41325%72.580.5-8.0
16 Manresa41325%79.590.2-10.8
17 Basket Zaragoza3030%69.781.7-12.0
18 Basquet Girona4040%69.283.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2223151474
Murcia2614152075
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