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Sturt Sabres vs West Adelaide Bearcats Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 May 2024
Tip-off: 10:45
Final 81-104
10-34 21-30 28-21 22-19
Position#3
Record7-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game96.1
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Position#4
Record4-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game91.6
AustraliaNBL1 Central
Other2024
Meetings · Sturt Sabres v West Adelaide Bearcats
12 Jul 2025
STUR94
WEST96
27 Jul 2024
STUR100
WEST81
11 May 2024
STUR81
WEST104
20 Apr 2023
STUR59
WEST99
23 Apr 2022
STUR100
WEST98
07 Aug 2021
STUR73
WEST78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sturt Sabres winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
West Adelaide Bearcats winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sturt SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H30/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A05/08
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
100-84
100
84
+16
H23/03
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#10
W
104-62
104
62
+42
A30/03
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
92-77
92
77
+15
A06/04
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#1
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H14/04
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#5
W
101-89
101
89
+12
A20/04
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
L
82-96
82
96
-14
H25/04
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A27/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
104-90
104
90
+14
H05/05
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
29-25
22-19
25-8
12-25
25-29
12-21
24-21
21-25
26-20
28-20
25-19
27-16
17-14
27-10
33-22
11-19
31-32
26-16
24-10
25-21
28-31
30-20
14-22
22-31
21-19
26-25
32-14
25-21
20-26
20-29
17-20
18-25
22-21
29-18
20-15
28-25
29-22
23-29
24-14
177.8Avg total
94.0Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)96.183.9180.0+12.288%
Season at home (4)95.891.0186.8+4.875%
Season away (4)96.576.8173.2+19.8100%
Last 10 (10)94.083.8177.8+10.280%
Last 5 (5)94.689.6184.2+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.291.2173.4-9.040%
vs Similar ◀ (4)87.888.0175.8-0.250%
vs Weaker (21)94.276.2170.4+18.081%
This opponent (West Adelaide Bearcats) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
West Adelaide BearcatsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#2
L
61-114
61
114
-53
A18/08
NBL 1
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
96-129
96
129
-33
A19/08
NBL 1
Woodville Warriors
#7
L
93-104
93
104
-11
A23/03
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#1
L
92-98
92
98
-6
H29/03
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#5
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H06/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A13/04
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
W
112-107 OT
112
107
+5
H20/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#10
W
107-79
107
79
+28
A25/04
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
110-84
110
84
+26
H27/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
87-95
87
95
-8
H04/05
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
11-26
14-25
18-35
21-32
23-32
30-34
22-31
33-24
14-24
24-27
22-29
22-25
18-30
25-22
27-21
13-27
24-21
18-16
28-18
20-20
26-21
16-23
19-20
26-24
17-25
23-23
30-24
29-20
23-17
28-14
27-28
27-18
22-25
25-17
36-24
22-30
22-27
24-22
19-16
189.8Avg total
92.2Scored
97.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)95.691.6187.2+4.050%
Season at home (5)96.893.2190.0+3.660%
Season away (3)93.789.0182.7+4.733%
Last 10 (10)92.297.6189.8-5.440%
Last 5 (5)99.489.8189.2+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.3112.7194.0-31.30%
vs Similar ◀ (1)92.098.0190.0-6.00%
vs Weaker (26)97.882.9180.8+14.981%
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +7.3+7.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +7.3+7.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
Sturt SabresWest Adelaide Bearcats
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H30/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A05/08
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H23/03
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#10
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A30/03
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A06/04
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#1
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H14/04
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#5
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A20/04
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H25/04
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A27/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H05/05
NBL1 Central
92.5Avg total
45.9Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.543.787.3-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.443.989.4+1.550%-
Last 30 away (16)41.943.685.4-1.744%-
Last 10 (10)45.946.692.5-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)47.648.496.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.448.282.6-13.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)46.548.895.2-2.225%-
vs Weaker (21)45.141.786.9+3.457%-
This opponent (West Adelaide Bearcats) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
West Adelaide BearcatsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#2
L
29-54
29
54
-25
A18/08
NBL 1
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
44-64
44
64
-20
A19/08
NBL 1
Woodville Warriors
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A23/03
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H29/03
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#5
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H06/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A13/04
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H20/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#10
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A25/04
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H27/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H04/05
NBL1 Central
92.7Avg total
43.1Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.643.991.5+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.343.690.9+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)48.044.192.1+3.960%-
Last 10 (10)43.149.692.7-6.530%-
Last 5 (5)46.845.492.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.058.397.3-19.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)40.055.095.0-15.00%-
vs Weaker (26)48.941.890.7+7.269%-
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sturt Sabres wins
5
West Adelaide Bearcats wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24HEastern Mavericks104-90
27/04/24ASouthern Tigers89-79
25/04/24HWoodville Warriors82-96
20/04/24ACentral Districts Lions101-89
14/04/24HSouth Adelaide Panthers97-94
06/04/24ANorwood Flames92-77
30/03/24ANorth Adelaide Rockets104-62
23/03/24HForestville Eagles100-84
05/08/23AWest Adelaide Bearcats73-96
30/07/23HSouth Adelaide Panthers98-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24HForestville Eagles87-95
27/04/24HNorwood Flames110-84
25/04/24ANorth Adelaide Rockets107-79
20/04/24HSouthern Tigers112-107 OT
13/04/24AEastern Mavericks81-84
06/04/24HCentral Districts Lions83-82
29/03/24HSouth Adelaide Panthers92-98
23/03/24AWoodville Warriors93-104
19/08/23ARockingham Flames96-129
18/08/23AKnox61-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sturt Sabres
NBL1 Central 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game96.195.896.5
Allowed / game83.991.076.8
Point differential+12.2+4.8+19.8
Avg total180.0186.8173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
West Adelaide Bearcats
NBL1 Central 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%60%33%
Points / game95.696.893.7
Allowed / game91.693.289.0
Point differential+4.0+3.6+4.7
Avg total187.2190.0182.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Forestville Eagles98189%99.685.1+14.4
2 Sturt Sabres87188%96.183.9+12.2
3 South Adelaide Panthers96367%92.688.7+3.9
4 West Adelaide Bearcats84450%95.691.6+4.0
5 Eastern Mavericks84450%81.885.8-4.0
6 Woodville Warriors73443%89.091.0-2.0
7 Norwood Flames83538%91.193.6-2.5
8 Southern Tigers72529%84.389.6-5.3
9 Central Districts Lions82625%92.0100.8-8.8
10 North Adelaide Rockets81712%82.597.8-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sturt Sabres1021282281
West Adelaide Bearcats34302119104
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