Sturt Sabres vs South Adelaide Panthers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jun 2025

Tip-off: 10:15

Final 85-97

23-21 16-30 22-23 24-23

Position#6

Record4-7

FormWWWLL

Points / game89.8

Allowed / game92.6

Sturt Sabres

South Adelaide Panthers 🏆

Position#5

Record7-5

FormLWWLL

Points / game85.1

Allowed / game81.7

NBL1 Central

Other2025

Meetings · Sturt Sabres v South Adelaide Panthers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sturt Sabres winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

South Adelaide Panthers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sturt Sabres Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Central Districts Lions

87-93

-6

H05/04

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

82-93

-11

A12/04

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

#10

76-99

-23

H17/04

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

90-77

+13

H25/04

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

87-103

103

-16

A27/04

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

99-92

A03/05

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

114-88

114

+26

A10/05

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

95-73

+22

H24/05

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

89-91

-2

H01/06

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

86-109

109

-23

A14/06

NBL1 Central

20-22

27-26

21-19

19-26

15-21

22-19

16-27

29-26

27-21

16-26

15-27

18-25

21-20

22-24

27-15

20-18

24-21

17-27

24-23

22-32

31-22

27-20

22-28

19-22

35-27

18-24

31-16

30-21

31-21

20-8

23-25

21-19

21-22

27-24

24-29

17-16

29-25

20-22

15-27

22-35

182.3Avg total

90.5Scored

91.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	89.8	92.6	182.5	-2.8	36%
Season at home (5)	87.4	86.6	174.0	+0.8	40%
Season away (6)	91.8	97.7	189.5	-5.8	33%
Last 10 (10)	90.5	91.8	182.3	-1.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	96.6	90.6	187.2	+6.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	88.4	97.8	186.1	-9.4	12%
vs Similar (9)	93.3	89.1	182.4	+4.2	67%
vs Weaker (13)	96.5	86.3	182.8	+10.2	85%

This opponent (South Adelaide Panthers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

South Adelaide Panthers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sturt Sabres

93-82

+11

H12/04

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

83-99

-16

A17/04

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

69-77

-8

H25/04

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

91-70

+21

A27/04

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

#10

85-76

A04/05

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

83-96

-13

H10/05

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

81-63

+18

H24/05

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

93-81

+12

H31/05

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

89-97

-8

A14/06

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

91-103

103

-12

H15/06

NBL1 Central

21-15

19-22

27-16

26-29

24-31

27-15

12-20

20-33

17-17

22-27

19-11

11-22

23-17

18-18

23-20

27-15

23-13

19-21

29-17

14-25

18-27

19-23

25-19

21-27

17-17

20-15

20-10

24-21

22-23

19-13

27-16

25-29

23-17

25-28

18-26

23-26

29-27

19-27

12-25

31-24

170.2Avg total

85.8Scored

84.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	85.1	81.7	166.8	+3.4	58%
Season at home (7)	83.9	82.4	166.3	+1.4	57%
Season away (5)	86.8	80.6	167.4	+6.2	60%
Last 10 (10)	85.8	84.4	170.2	+1.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	88.0	175.4	-0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	87.3	91.0	178.3	-3.7	29%
vs Similar (5)	81.2	78.6	159.8	+2.6	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	88.8	79.1	167.8	+9.7	89%

This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sturt SabresSouth Adelaide Panthers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	23.2	46.3	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.5	23.8	48.3	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.8	22.5	44.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.4	22.2	47.6	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.4	23.4	52.8	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	21.0	23.5	44.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	26.3	23.3	49.7	+3.0	78%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.2	22.8	45.1	-0.6	46%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.9	41.1	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.4	42.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.2	44.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.4	25.3	47.7	-2.9	43%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.2	19.2	38.4	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.3	18.0	39.3	+3.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	22.9	46.3	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.6	21.7	45.3	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.2	24.0	47.2	-0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.6	42.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	24.9	25.1	50.0	-0.2	75%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (13)	23.6	22.1	45.7	+1.5	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.8	42.7	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	20.1	41.4	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.7	21.7	44.4	+1.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.9	41.6	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.7	21.4	44.1	+1.3	57%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.2	39%	-

Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Central Districts Lions

47-48

-1

H05/04

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

37-40

-3

A12/04

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

#10

43-47

-4

H17/04

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

43-44

-1

H25/04

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

41-48

-7

A27/04

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

58-42

+16

A03/05

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

53-51

A10/05

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

51-29

+22

H24/05

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

48-46

H01/06

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

49-47

A14/06

NBL1 Central

91.2Avg total

47.0Scored

44.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.5	46.0	92.6	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.1	45.5	93.6	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.0	46.5	91.5	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.0	44.2	91.2	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.8	43.0	94.8	+8.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	45.9	48.6	94.5	-2.8	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	48.1	45.3	93.4	+2.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (13)	45.8	44.9	90.8	+0.9	38%	-

This opponent (South Adelaide Panthers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

South Adelaide PanthersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sturt Sabres

40-37

H12/04

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

51-46

A17/04

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

39-44

-5

H25/04

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

41-35

A27/04

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

#10

42-34

A04/05

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

37-50

-13

H10/05

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

37-32

H24/05

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

41-36

H31/05

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

48-45

A14/06

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

48-54

-6

H15/06

NBL1 Central

83.7Avg total

42.4Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	40.7	83.8	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.4	39.8	82.2	+2.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.9	41.8	85.8	+2.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	41.3	83.7	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	43.4	85.6	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	45.1	46.7	91.9	-1.6	43%	-
vs Similar (5)	40.8	40.6	81.4	+0.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	42.9	38.4	81.3	+4.5	78%	-

This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	22.2	46.1	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	23.9	47.6	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.1	20.5	44.7	+3.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	23.6	45.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	25.0	48.0	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.4	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	25.1	21.7	46.8	+3.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (13)	25.2	23.5	48.6	+1.7	54%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.6	38.9	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.1	17.4	37.5	+2.8	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	20.2	40.8	+0.3	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	18.0	39.2	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.3	19.4	36.7	-2.1	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.4	22.2	42.6	-1.8	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.4	17.3	38.7	+4.2	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	21.9	44.9	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	20.6	41.9	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.5	23.3	47.8	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	24.0	45.7	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.6	44.4	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	22.0	28.2	50.2	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.1	22.1	42.2	-2.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (13)	25.5	17.9	43.4	+7.5	85%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.4	43.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.9	22.1	45.0	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	20.4	41.9	+1.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	25.1	47.3	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	25.4	50.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	24.9	24.9	49.7	+0.0	43%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.0	15.8	35.8	+4.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.9	21.6	43.5	+0.4	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.8	44.2	91.0	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.0	44.5	89.5	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	48.7	43.8	92.5	+4.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	47.6	91.1	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	47.6	92.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	42.5	49.1	91.6	-6.6	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	45.2	43.8	89.0	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (13)	50.6	41.4	92.0	+9.2	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	40.0	82.6	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.0	39.5	82.5	+3.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.1	40.6	82.7	+1.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	43.1	86.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	44.6	89.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	42.1	44.3	86.4	-2.1	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	40.4	38.0	78.4	+2.4	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	43.4	38.8	82.2	+4.6	78%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sturt Sabres wins

South Adelaide Panthers wins

Date	Game	Score
12/04/25	South Adelaide Panthers v Sturt Sabres	93-82
16/06/24	South Adelaide Panthers v Sturt Sabres	87-68
14/04/24	Sturt Sabres v South Adelaide Panthers	97-94
30/07/23	Sturt Sabres v South Adelaide Panthers	98-71
14/05/23	South Adelaide Panthers v Sturt Sabres	59-87
01/04/23	Sturt Sabres v South Adelaide Panthers	64-76
30/07/22	Sturt Sabres v South Adelaide Panthers	72-92
28/05/22	South Adelaide Panthers v Sturt Sabres	76-83
14/08/21	South Adelaide Panthers v Sturt Sabres	77-84
29/05/21	Sturt Sabres v South Adelaide Panthers	84-64

Sturt Sabreslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/06/25	A	Central Districts Lions	86-109
01/06/25	H	Forestville Eagles	89-91
24/05/25	H	Eastern Mavericks	95-73
10/05/25	A	West Adelaide Bearcats	114-88
03/05/25	A	Southern Tigers	99-92
27/04/25	A	Woodville Warriors	87-103
25/04/25	H	North Adelaide Rockets	90-77
17/04/25	H	Norwood Flames	76-99
12/04/25	A	South Adelaide Panthers	82-93
05/04/25	H	Central Districts Lions	87-93

South Adelaide Pantherslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/06/25	H	Central Districts Lions	91-103
14/06/25	A	West Adelaide Bearcats	89-97
31/05/25	H	Southern Tigers	93-81
24/05/25	H	Woodville Warriors	81-63
10/05/25	H	Forestville Eagles	83-96
04/05/25	A	Norwood Flames	85-76
27/04/25	A	North Adelaide Rockets	91-70
25/04/25	H	Eastern Mavericks	69-77
17/04/25	A	Central Districts Lions	83-99
12/04/25	H	Sturt Sabres	93-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sturt Sabres

NBL1 Central 2025

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	36%
Home	LLWWL	40%
Away	LLWWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	36%	40%	33%
Points / game	89.8	87.4	91.8
Allowed / game	92.6	86.6	97.7
Point differential	-2.8	+0.8	-5.8
Avg total	182.5	174.0	189.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	40%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

South Adelaide Panthers

NBL1 Central 2025

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	58%
Home	LLWWL	57%
Away	WLWWL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	7	5
Win %	58%	57%	60%
Points / game	85.1	83.9	86.8
Allowed / game	81.7	82.4	80.6
Point differential	+3.4	+1.4	+6.2
Avg total	166.8	166.3	167.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	43%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Forestville Eagles	12	11	1	92%	96.6	78.0	+18.6
2	Central Districts Lions	12	11	1	92%	93.8	84.8	+9.0
3	Woodville Warriors	11	7	4	64%	81.5	79.8	+1.7
4	South Adelaide Panthers	12	7	5	58%	85.1	81.7	+3.4
5	West Adelaide Bearcats	13	6	7	46%	84.5	85.3	-0.8
6	Southern Tigers	11	4	7	36%	83.6	85.8	-2.2
7	Sturt Sabres	11	4	7	36%	89.8	92.6	-2.8
8	Eastern Mavericks	11	3	8	27%	82.5	91.0	-8.5
9	Norwood Flames	12	3	9	25%	80.8	86.0	-5.2
10	North Adelaide Rockets	11	2	9	18%	74.2	89.5	-15.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sturt Sabres	23	16	22	24	85
South Adelaide Panthers	21	30	23	23	97

← all games of the day

Sturt Sabres vs South Adelaide Panthers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature