Sutor Montegranaro vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Dec 2013

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 77-94

26-24 18-25 24-21 9-24

Position#16

Record3-4

FormWLWLW

Points / game78.7

Allowed / game86.3

Sutor Montegranaro

Caserta 🏆

Position#7

Record2-5

FormLLLLL

Points / game73.0

Allowed / game74.1

Lega ARound 8

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Sutor Montegranaro v Caserta

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sutor Montegranaro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Caserta winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sutor Montegranaro Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#15

94-108

108

-14

H21/04

Lega A

Siena

90-94

-4

H28/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

64-82

-18

A05/05

Lega A

Virtus Roma

75-78

-3

H13/10

Lega A

Venezia

#11

68-102

102

-34

A20/10

Lega A

Reggiana

79-71

H27/10

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

73-96

-23

A03/11

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

95-90

H10/11

Lega A

Siena

73-84

-11

A17/11

Lega A

Varese

#10

88-83

H23/11

Lega A

30-27

23-28

18-28

23-25

18-29

19-21

25-23

28-21

20-18

13-27

13-24

18-13

20-27

25-17

12-15

18-19

13-21

18-18

19-40

18-23

18-12

18-11

13-19

30-29

13-27

16-18

24-21

20-30

27-23

15-24

21-18

32-25

15-30

15-16

25-15

18-23

14-21

23-23

29-14

22-25

168.7Avg total

79.9Scored

88.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	78.7	86.3	165.0	-7.6	43%
Season at home (4)	84.2	80.5	164.8	+3.8	75%
Season away (3)	71.3	94.0	165.3	-22.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	79.9	88.8	168.7	-8.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	84.8	166.4	-3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	79.3	89.4	168.8	-10.1	22%
vs Similar (10)	90.0	84.2	174.2	+5.8	60%
vs Weaker (2)	84.0	74.0	158.0	+10.0	100%

This opponent (Caserta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#11

75-85

-10

H21/04

Lega A

Sassari

74-87

-13

A28/04

Lega A

Reggiana

77-80

-3

H05/05

Lega A

Venezia

#11

84-65

+19

H13/10

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

93-84 OT

A20/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

77-81

-4

H27/10

Lega A

Reggiana

59-76

-17

A02/11

Lega A

Virtus Roma

63-68

-5

H10/11

Lega A

Avellino

#12

70-76

-6

A16/11

Lega A

Brindisi

65-69

-4

H24/11

Lega A

17-23

16-6

26-23

16-33

15-22

15-20

16-29

28-16

15-25

26-14

10-17

26-24

15-12

30-15

22-22

17-16

27-16

15-16

18-21

17-24

22-14

10-21

22-25

23-21

21-21

8-19

15-16

15-20

11-14

18-16

14-24

20-14

17-15

15-22

12-15

26-24

22-20

15-13

11-22

17-14

150.8Avg total

73.7Scored

77.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	73.0	74.1	147.1	-1.1	29%
Season at home (4)	72.2	70.8	143.0	+1.5	25%
Season away (3)	74.0	78.7	152.7	-4.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	73.7	77.1	150.8	-3.4	20%
Last 5 (5)	66.8	74.0	140.8	-7.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	73.5	77.9	151.3	-4.4	40%
vs Similar (12)	72.9	74.9	147.8	-2.0	42%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	81.0	80.3	161.3	+0.7	33%

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sutor MontegranaroCaserta

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	20.5	41.3	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	22.3	42.6	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	23.5	42.3	-4.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	22.6	40.0	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	24.6	19.8	44.4	+4.8	80%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.5	20.5	35.0	-6.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.9	36.2	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	16.9	36.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	18.9	36.2	-1.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.2	36.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	16.8	35.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.6	18.2	35.8	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.2	18.3	36.6	-0.1	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	22.7	14.3	37.0	+8.3	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.2	40.9	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	18.8	42.1	+4.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.3	38.8	-1.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.4	35.8	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.5	19.9	42.4	+2.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	16.0	38.5	+6.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	19.3	36.5	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	18.7	37.1	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.0	19.9	35.9	-3.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	16.2	33.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.2	18.2	31.4	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.1	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	15.9	18.2	34.2	-2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	15.3	21.0	36.3	-5.7	0%	-

Sutor MontegranaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#15

53-55

-2

H21/04

Lega A

Siena

37-50

-13

H28/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

33-45

-12

A05/05

Lega A

Virtus Roma

45-44

H13/10

Lega A

Venezia

#11

31-39

-8

A20/10

Lega A

Reggiana

36-23

+13

H27/10

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

29-45

-16

A03/11

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

42-47

-5

H10/11

Lega A

Siena

30-46

-16

A17/11

Lega A

Varese

#10

37-44

-7

H23/11

Lega A

81.1Avg total

37.3Scored

43.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	41.6	82.9	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.1	39.3	83.4	+4.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	43.9	82.4	-5.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	43.8	81.1	-6.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	41.0	75.8	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	38.6	43.2	81.8	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	47.1	39.7	86.8	+7.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.0	36.5	73.5	+0.5	50%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#11

33-29

H21/04

Lega A

Sassari

30-42

-12

A28/04

Lega A

Reggiana

41-39

H05/05

Lega A

Venezia

#11

45-27

+18

H13/10

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

42-32

+10

A20/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

32-35

-3

H27/10

Lega A

Reggiana

29-40

-11

A02/11

Lega A

Virtus Roma

29-30

-1

H10/11

Lega A

Avellino

#12

32-37

-5

A16/11

Lega A

Brindisi

37-33

H24/11

Lega A

69.4Avg total

35.0Scored

34.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.6	37.2	72.8	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	35.5	73.4	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.3	38.8	72.1	-5.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	34.4	69.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.8	35.0	66.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	36.3	38.0	74.3	-1.7	47%	-
vs Similar (12)	34.2	36.6	70.8	-2.4	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	38.0	35.3	73.3	+2.7	67%	-

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	22.1	42.2	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	21.5	41.9	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	22.8	42.4	-3.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.7	41.6	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.4	39.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.6	23.1	42.7	-3.6	39%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.5	21.0	46.5	+4.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.6	19.2	35.8	-2.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.0	18.7	34.7	-2.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.2	19.6	36.8	-2.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	21.4	38.0	-4.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	20.4	35.2	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	15.5	19.4	34.9	-3.9	20%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.7	19.1	37.8	-0.4	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	13.7	18.3	32.0	-4.7	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	22.5	44.0	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	22.0	43.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	23.0	44.1	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	23.3	46.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	26.4	50.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	20.6	22.4	43.0	-1.8	39%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.1	23.9	47.0	-0.8	30%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	16.5	38.0	+5.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.2	39.5	+1.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.3	37.0	+0.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	20.2	41.9	+1.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.6	41.1	-0.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.6	19.1	39.7	+1.5	67%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.7	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	44.6	86.2	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.4	43.5	85.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.7	45.8	86.5	-5.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	45.0	87.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	43.8	90.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	40.2	45.5	85.7	-5.3	28%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.9	44.5	87.4	-1.6	30%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.0	37.5	84.5	+9.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	38.4	75.2	-1.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.7	37.0	71.7	-2.3	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	39.8	78.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	42.0	79.1	-4.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	39.0	74.0	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	36.1	38.5	74.7	-2.4	27%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.0	37.8	75.8	+0.2	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	35.7	40.3	76.0	-4.7	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sutor Montegranaro wins

Caserta wins

Date	Game	Score
17/02/13	Sutor Montegranaro v Caserta	97-76
21/10/12	Caserta v Sutor Montegranaro	78-67
29/04/12	Sutor Montegranaro v Caserta	96-85
08/01/12	Caserta v Sutor Montegranaro	66-75
10/04/11	Caserta v Sutor Montegranaro	77-70
18/12/10	Sutor Montegranaro v Caserta	87-89 OT
07/02/10	Caserta v Sutor Montegranaro	65-75
18/10/09	Sutor Montegranaro v Caserta	86-84
11/04/09	Caserta v Sutor Montegranaro	88-81
20/12/08	Sutor Montegranaro v Caserta	79-88

Sutor Montegranarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/11/13	H	Varese	88-83
17/11/13	A	Siena	73-84
10/11/13	H	Pesaro	95-90
03/11/13	A	Virtus Bologna	73-96
27/10/13	H	Reggiana	79-71
20/10/13	A	Venezia	68-102
13/10/13	H	Virtus Roma	75-78
05/05/13	A	Virtus Roma	64-82
28/04/13	H	Siena	90-94
21/04/13	H	Pesaro	94-108

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/11/13	H	Brindisi	65-69
16/11/13	A	Avellino	70-76
10/11/13	H	Virtus Roma	63-68
02/11/13	A	Reggiana	59-76
27/10/13	H	Olimpia Milano	77-81
20/10/13	A	Pesaro	93-84 OT
13/10/13	H	Venezia	84-65
05/05/13	H	Reggiana	77-80
28/04/13	A	Sassari	74-87
21/04/13	H	Avellino	75-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sutor Montegranaro

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	43%
Home	LWWW	75%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	43%	75%	0%
Points / game	78.7	84.2	71.3
Allowed / game	86.3	80.5	94.0
Point differential	-7.6	+3.8	-22.7
Avg total	165.0	164.8	165.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	67% (3)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Caserta

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	29%
Home	WLLL	25%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	29%	25%	33%
Points / game	73.0	72.2	74.0
Allowed / game	74.1	70.8	78.7
Point differential	-1.1	+1.5	-4.7
Avg total	147.1	143.0	152.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (3)	-
Overtime %	14%	0%	33%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Brindisi	7	6	1	86%	79.4	72.9	+6.6
2	Siena	7	5	2	71%	82.9	71.4	+11.4
3	Sassari	7	5	2	71%	87.1	80.9	+6.3
4	Cantu	7	5	2	71%	83.7	81.6	+2.1
5	Virtus Bologna	8	5	3	62%	83.8	82.1	+1.6
6	Olimpia Milano	7	4	3	57%	78.0	73.0	+5.0
7	Virtus Roma	7	4	3	57%	76.3	74.3	+2.0
8	Reggiana	8	4	4	50%	69.2	69.6	-0.4
9	Venezia	7	3	4	43%	78.6	79.1	-0.6
10	Avellino	7	3	4	43%	75.7	77.7	-2.0
11	Varese	7	3	4	43%	78.9	80.9	-2.0
12	Sutor Montegranaro	7	3	4	43%	78.7	86.3	-7.6
13	Caserta	7	2	5	29%	73.0	74.1	-1.1
14	Cremona	7	2	5	29%	78.6	84.0	-5.4
15	Pistoia	7	2	5	29%	75.7	83.1	-7.4
16	Pesaro	7	1	6	14%	84.0	92.7	-8.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sutor Montegranaro	26	18	24	9	77
Caserta	24	25	21	24	94

← all games of the day

Sutor Montegranaro vs Caserta Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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