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Sutor Montegranaro vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 24 Mar 2014
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 76-88
21-18 21-25 18-25 16-20
Position#16
Record7-16
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Position#1
Record18-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game70.0
ItalyLega ARound 24
Domestic2013-14
Meetings · Sutor Montegranaro v Olimpia Milano
24 Mar 2014
SMO76
MIL88
25 Nov 2012
SMO76
MIL82
08 Apr 2012
SMO92
MIL98
28 Nov 2010
SMO89
MIL85
25 May 2010
SMO75
MIL81
17 Jan 2010
SMO77
MIL72
15 Feb 2009
SMO82
MIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sutor Montegranaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sutor MontegranaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#12
L
92-103
92
103
-11
A05/01
Lega A
Cremona
#14
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#5
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#11
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A02/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H16/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A23/02
Lega A
Siena
#2
L
50-78
50
78
-28
H02/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A09/03
Lega A
Caserta
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A16/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
18-29
24-21
28-29
24-24
20-24
15-28
31-19
18-23
19-22
9-23
24-20
19-21
17-23
20-14
17-14
22-28
15-22
21-17
22-22
26-20
22-24
16-18
22-22
24-25
21-25
15-24
15-14
17-13
11-23
5-26
17-16
10-23
24-17
18-14
23-15
22-22
11-19
14-19
21-15
160.0Avg total
75.9Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.786.3164.0-8.730%
Season at home (11)79.084.2163.2-5.245%
Season away (12)76.488.3164.8-11.917%
Last 10 (10)75.984.1160.0-8.230%
Last 5 (5)70.878.8149.6-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)76.885.4162.2-8.732%
vs Similar (4)88.595.2183.8-6.825%
vs Weaker (1)86.073.0159.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#9
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A17/02
Lega A
Unicaja
#14
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H20/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H23/02
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#12
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H27/02
Euroleague
Venezia
#11
W
91-82
91
82
+9
H02/03
Lega A
Olympiacos
#5
W
88-86
88
86
+2
A06/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#8
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A09/03
Lega A
Baskonia
#15
W
83-65
83
65
+18
A13/03
Euroleague
Virtus Roma
#5
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H16/03
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#25
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H21/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
28-23
13-23
29-12
22-17
16-10
19-13
13-19
15-10
26-17
27-22
21-17
19-13
22-13
18-23
18-26
16-28
28-18
26-14
21-22
23-29
27-18
15-16
23-23
22-14
27-18
17-25
16-21
25-19
25-17
17-19
16-10
21-13
25-18
17-16
22-14
19-19
18-20
12-14
27-16
154.9Avg total
82.9Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.270.0150.3+10.278%
Season at home (12)82.463.4145.8+19.0100%
Season away (11)77.877.3155.1+0.555%
Last 10 (10)82.972.0154.9+10.9100%
Last 5 (5)82.871.8154.6+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.579.0149.5-8.50%
vs Similar (10)77.069.5146.5+7.590%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.270.2151.4+11.082%
This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: +7.0+7.0Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
Sutor MontegranaroOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sutor MontegranaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#12
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A05/01
Lega A
Cremona
#14
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#11
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A02/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H16/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A23/02
Lega A
Siena
#2
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H02/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A09/03
Lega A
Caserta
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A16/03
Lega A
83.3Avg total
38.2Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.544.082.6-5.520%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.944.485.3-3.429%-
Last 30 away (16)36.443.880.2-7.312%-
Last 10 (10)38.245.183.3-6.910%-
Last 5 (5)37.642.279.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.343.680.9-6.220%-
vs Similar (4)46.050.096.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker (1)39.032.071.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A17/02
Lega A
Unicaja
#14
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H20/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H23/02
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#12
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H27/02
Euroleague
Venezia
#11
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H02/03
Lega A
Olympiacos
#5
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A06/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A09/03
Lega A
Baskonia
#15
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A13/03
Euroleague
Virtus Roma
#5
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H16/03
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#25
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H21/03
Euroleague
79.7Avg total
44.2Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.036.077.1+5.077%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.434.374.7+6.178%-
Last 30 away (12)42.038.680.6+3.475%-
Last 10 (10)44.235.579.7+8.780%-
Last 5 (5)46.437.083.4+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.541.577.0-6.050%-
vs Similar (10)41.335.276.5+6.180%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.736.277.9+5.576%-
This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/14ACaserta68-75
09/03/14AVarese75-69
02/03/14HSiena50-78
23/02/14APesaro75-88
16/02/14HVirtus Bologna86-84
02/02/14AReggiana80-89
26/01/14HVenezia73-72
18/01/14AVirtus Roma70-88
12/01/14HCremona90-95
05/01/14AAvellino92-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/14HAnadolu Efes76-69
16/03/14HVirtus Roma85-61
13/03/14ABaskonia83-65
09/03/14AReggiana82-78
06/03/14AOlympiacos88-86
02/03/14HVenezia91-82
27/02/14HPanathinaikos77-75
23/02/14HVirtus Bologna89-66
20/02/14HUnicaja70-59
17/02/14APistoia88-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sutor Montegranaro
Lega A 2013-14
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL30%
HomeLLWWL45%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %30%45%17%
Points / game77.779.076.4
Allowed / game86.384.288.3
Point differential-8.7-5.2-11.9
Avg total164.0163.2164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2013-14
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %78%100%55%
Points / game80.282.477.8
Allowed / game70.063.477.3
Point differential+10.2+19.0+0.5
Avg total150.3145.8155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%92%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2318578%80.270.0+10.2
2 Siena2416867%75.868.5+7.3
3 Cantu2416867%80.876.8+4.0
4 Brindisi2416867%76.873.7+3.1
5 Sassari2415962%85.979.6+6.2
6 Virtus Roma2415962%77.776.4+1.2
7 Reggiana24121250%75.773.0+2.7
8 Caserta24121250%72.771.8+0.9
9 Venezia24111346%80.179.8+0.3
10 Varese24101442%80.582.5-2.0
11 Pistoia24101442%76.579.1-2.7
12 Avellino24101442%74.880.0-5.2
13 Virtus Bologna2491538%78.480.0-1.5
14 Cremona2481633%75.782.5-6.9
15 Sutor Montegranaro2371630%77.786.3-8.7
16 Pesaro2461825%79.788.5-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sutor Montegranaro2121181676
Olimpia Milano1825252088
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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