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Holbaek-Stenhus vs Svendborg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 71-101
22-26 16-30 21-25 12-20
Position#11
Record1-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game91.9
vs
Position#3
Record11-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game77.4
DenmarkBasketligaen· Holbaek Sportsby
Other2025-26
Meetings · Holbaek-Stenhus v Svendborg
18 Feb 2027
HOLB v SVEN
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
HOLB71
SVEN101
19 Dec 2024
HOLB75
SVEN96
01 Oct 2023
HOLB66
SVEN87
03 Nov 2022
HOLB75
SVEN92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Vejen
#9
W
90-81
90
81
+9
79avg 68
H23/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
83-87
83
87
-4
69avg 68
A29/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
57-119
57
119
-62
34avg 68
A02/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
73-74
73
74
-1
58avg 68
H04/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
75-105
75
105
-30
53avg 68
H14/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
88-91
88
91
-3
80avg 68
A19/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
76-86
76
86
-10
63avg 68
H23/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
72-87
72
87
-15
60avg 68
A03/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
L
77-83
77
83
-6
72avg 68
H11/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
80avg 68
A18/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
20-22
18-24
26-16
23-24
20-22
25-27
15-14
17-32
9-27
16-24
15-36
25-19
15-18
13-21
20-16
17-31
22-28
18-29
18-17
26-19
25-25
17-22
20-25
9-24
25-23
20-15
22-24
21-15
11-26
18-29
22-17
20-25
14-15
21-20
22-23
16-24
28-19
15-14
16-18
169.0Avg total
78.1Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.191.9170.0-13.77%
Season at home (7)77.087.4164.4-10.414%
Season away (7)79.396.3175.6-17.00%
Last 10 (10)78.190.9169.0-12.810%
Last 5 (5)80.688.6169.2-8.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.396.1172.5-19.813%
vs Similar (13)88.885.0173.8+3.838%
vs Weaker (2)83.578.0161.5+5.5100%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
97avg 81
H22/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
W
89-84
89
84
+5
80avg 81
A30/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
94-72
94
72
+22
no box
A01/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
98-45
98
45
+53
88avg 81
H06/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
78-106
78
106
-28
63avg 81
A12/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
96-71
96
71
+25
90avg 81
H19/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
100-64
100
64
+36
90avg 81
H23/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
103-69
103
69
+34
103avg 81
A12/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
69-62
69
62
+7
54avg 81
H18/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
97-96
97
96
+1
85avg 81
H28/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-10
21-33
32-18
17-24
21-17
22-26
26-18
20-23
30-13
22-21
20-21
22-17
26-17
19-9
30-8
23-11
13-35
29-22
14-22
22-27
22-21
28-12
20-16
26-22
26-17
28-14
19-13
27-20
25-17
31-16
15-24
32-12
21-8
20-18
9-18
19-18
25-22
25-32
21-26
26-16
167.2Avg total
91.8Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)92.977.4170.3+15.679%
Season at home (7)90.774.1164.9+16.686%
Season away (7)95.180.6175.7+14.671%
Last 10 (10)91.875.4167.2+16.490%
Last 5 (5)93.072.4165.4+20.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.096.0177.0-15.00%
vs Similar (13)83.686.5170.1-2.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)95.072.2167.2+22.888%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +4.4+4.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +4.4+4.4
Holbaek-StenhusSvendborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vejen
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H23/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A29/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
26-59
26
59
-33
A02/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H04/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H14/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A19/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H23/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A03/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H11/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A18/12
Basketligaen
84.6Avg total
38.9Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.247.487.6-7.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.746.685.3-7.936%-
Last 30 away (16)41.648.189.7-6.625%-
Last 10 (10)38.945.784.6-6.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.082.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.149.886.9-12.720%-
vs Similar (13)44.345.089.3-0.746%-
vs Weaker (2)37.045.082.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H22/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A30/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A01/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H06/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A12/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H19/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H23/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
56-33
56
33
+23
A12/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H18/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H28/12
Basketligaen
85.8Avg total
47.8Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.439.384.7+6.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.833.978.7+10.881%-
Last 30 away (14)46.145.491.5+0.836%-
Last 10 (10)47.838.085.8+9.870%-
Last 5 (5)50.235.485.6+14.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.049.089.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (13)43.843.687.4+0.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.135.182.2+11.975%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.720.1
46.0%
54.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.67.7
26.9%
32.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.514.1
72.3%
70.1%14.1
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.823.6
55.1%
54.6%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.9
34.6%
32.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws15.211.9
78.3%
70.1%11.9
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLLLLLLLLW
Svendborg
WWWWWLWWWW
#11
League position
#3
-15.0
Net rating
+17.9
92.9
Offensive rating
111.8
107.9
Defensive rating
93.9
43.8%
Effective FG%
53.9%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
19.1%
Turnover %
16.4%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.21
26.9%
3-point %
34.6%
48.6%
Assist %
53.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence92.9 · 111.8Defence107.9 · 93.9Shooting43.8% · 53.9%3-point %26.9% · 34.6%Ball care19.1% · 16.4%Off. rebounds29.5% · 30.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)10% · 90%
■ Holbaek-Stenhus   ■ Svendborg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
6
Svendborg wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25AAmager90-96 OT
11/12/25HAmager77-83
03/12/25AHorsens72-87
23/11/25HRanders76-86
19/11/25ACopenhagen88-91
14/11/25HBakken Bears75-105
04/11/25HCopenhagen73-74
02/11/25ABakken Bears57-119
29/10/25AVaerlose83-87
23/10/25HVejen90-81
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HTeam FOG Naestved97-96
18/12/25HHorsens69-62
12/12/25AVejen103-69
23/11/25HAmager100-64
19/11/25HBears Academy96-71
12/11/25ATeam FOG Naestved78-106
06/11/25HVejen98-45
01/11/25ABMS Herlev94-72
30/10/25ARanders89-84
22/10/25HCopenhagen94-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL7%
HomeWLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %7%14%0%
Points / game78.177.079.3
Allowed / game91.987.496.3
Point differential-13.7-10.4-17.0
Avg total170.0164.4175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Svendborg
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %79%86%71%
Points / game92.990.795.1
Allowed / game77.474.180.6
Point differential+15.6+16.6+14.6
Avg total170.3164.9175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%43%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1413193%104.472.9+31.4
2 Team FOG Naestved1412286%109.083.9+25.1
3 Horsens1613381%85.873.1+12.7
4 Svendborg1411379%92.977.4+15.6
5 Randers1612475%94.283.9+10.3
6 Copenhagen1610662%87.983.6+4.3
7 Vaerlose168850%76.388.4-12.1
8 Bears Academy1641225%79.397.1-17.8
9 BMS Herlev1431121%80.893.3-12.5
10 Amager1621412%79.899.6-19.8
11 Holbaek-Stenhus141137%78.191.9-13.7
12 Vejen141137%72.692.9-20.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Holbaek-Stenhus2216211271
Svendborg26302520101
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