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Holbaek-Stenhus vs Svendborg Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 75-96
22-21 12-26 23-25 18-24
Position#7
Record3-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game93.2
vs
Position#2
Record11-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game71.6
DenmarkBasketligaen· Holbaek Sportsby
Other2024-25
Meetings · Holbaek-Stenhus v Svendborg
18 Feb 2027
HOLB v SVEN
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
HOLB71
SVEN101
19 Dec 2024
HOLB75
SVEN96
01 Oct 2023
HOLB66
SVEN87
03 Nov 2022
HOLB75
SVEN92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#2
L
70-80
70
80
-10
54avg 63
A28/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
106-98
106
98
+8
95avg 63
H04/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
58-77
58
77
-19
32avg 63
A12/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
89-86
89
86
+3
70avg 63
H18/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
79-88
79
88
-9
59avg 63
H24/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
85-107
85
107
-22
69avg 63
A29/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
70-103
70
103
-33
67avg 63
A07/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
92-102
92
102
-10
72avg 63
H14/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
86-100
86
100
-14
no box
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#10
W
90-88
90
88
+2
74avg 63
A07/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-12
17-18
13-29
26-21
32-22
28-33
21-21
25-22
20-17
11-12
11-22
16-26
27-23
26-24
18-23
18-16
15-17
18-28
22-18
24-25
29-27
19-32
19-25
18-23
14-27
21-32
19-28
16-16
19-35
26-29
28-14
19-24
18-24
19-30
29-29
20-17
21-18
25-26
22-26
22-18
175.4Avg total
82.5Scored
92.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.693.2174.8-11.630%
Season at home (5)88.695.4184.0-6.840%
Season away (5)74.691.0165.6-16.420%
Last 10 (10)82.592.9175.4-10.430%
Last 5 (5)84.6100.0184.6-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)74.696.9171.5-22.35%
vs Similar (9)85.984.4170.3+1.456%
vs Weaker (1)58.077.0135.0-19.00%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#10
W
76-62
76
62
+14
71avg 78
H10/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
105-108 OT
105
108
-3
92avg 78
A17/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
88-63
88
63
+25
84avg 78
H30/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
78-67
78
67
+11
78avg 78
H07/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
98-66
98
66
+32
94avg 78
A14/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#12
W
100-63
100
63
+37
no box
H16/11
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#1
W
91-80
91
80
+11
86avg 78
H28/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#1
L
72-84
72
84
-12
no box
A30/11
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
89-58
89
58
+31
82avg 78
H03/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
94-69
94
69
+25
92avg 78
A12/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
16-20
18-16
19-15
16-18
19-22
26-29
35-27
25-14
26-14
25-19
12-16
19-13
15-24
24-11
20-19
18-12
31-10
20-24
29-20
22-15
23-18
31-6
24-24
16-24
20-17
30-20
25-19
21-16
18-22
17-20
16-26
25-21
23-9
23-12
18-16
30-10
21-29
23-14
20-16
161.1Avg total
89.1Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.971.6159.5+16.392%
Season at home (7)82.667.7150.3+14.9100%
Season away (5)95.477.0172.4+18.480%
Last 10 (10)89.172.0161.1+17.180%
Last 5 (5)89.270.8160.0+18.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.494.5172.9-16.20%
vs Similar (5)87.479.6167.0+7.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)93.876.5170.4+17.392%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
Holbaek-StenhusSvendborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#2
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A28/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H04/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A12/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H18/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H24/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A29/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A07/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
45-64
45
64
-19
H14/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A07/12
Basketligaen
90.5Avg total
41.9Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.746.985.6-8.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.947.687.5-7.727%-
Last 30 away (15)37.546.283.7-8.733%-
Last 10 (10)41.948.690.5-6.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.256.098.2-13.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.549.486.8-11.916%-
vs Similar (9)42.342.985.2-0.656%-
vs Weaker (1)31.029.060.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#10
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H10/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A17/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H30/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H07/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
49-22
49
22
+27
A14/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#12
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H16/11
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H28/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#1
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A30/11
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H03/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A12/12
Basketligaen
76.6Avg total
42.7Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.683.1+2.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.438.579.9+2.933%-
Last 30 away (15)43.742.786.4+1.160%-
Last 10 (10)42.733.976.6+8.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.836.280.0+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.447.387.6-6.918%-
vs Similar (5)41.643.885.4-2.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.634.278.8+10.469%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.417.1
47.0%
51.9%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.29.0
26.3%
32.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.319.5
80.2%
70.2%19.5
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.923.6
53.8%
51.9%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.8
33.0%
32.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.914.4
62.9%
70.2%14.4
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Holbaek-Stenhus
WLLLLLWLWL
Svendborg
WWLWWWWWLW
#7
League position
#2
-14.2
Net rating
+21.2
97.8
Offensive rating
109.2
111.9
Defensive rating
88.0
43.3%
Effective FG%
52.1%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
42.7%
20.6%
Turnover %
17.2%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
26.3%
3-point %
33.0%
33.7%
Assist %
60.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 109.2Defence111.9 · 88.0Shooting43.3% · 52.1%3-point %26.3% · 33.0%Ball care20.6% · 17.2%Off. rebounds33.8% · 34.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Holbaek-Stenhus   ■ Svendborg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
5
Svendborg wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24AVaerlose90-88
17/11/24AVaerlose86-100
14/11/24HHerlev Wolfpack92-102
07/11/24ARanders70-103
29/10/24ATeam FOG Naestved85-107
24/10/24HHorsens79-88
18/10/24HCopenhagen89-86
12/10/24ABears Academy58-77
04/10/24HAmager106-98
28/09/24ASvendborg70-80
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/24ARanders94-69
03/12/24HHerlev Wolfpack89-58
30/11/24ARanders72-84
28/11/24HBakken Bears91-80
16/11/24HBears Academy100-63
14/11/24AAmager98-66
07/11/24HHorsens78-67
30/10/24HCopenhagen88-63
17/10/24ATeam FOG Naestved105-108 OT
10/10/24HVaerlose76-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW30%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game81.688.674.6
Allowed / game93.295.491.0
Point differential-11.6-6.8-16.4
Avg total174.8184.0165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Svendborg
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %92%100%80%
Points / game87.982.695.4
Allowed / game71.667.777.0
Point differential+16.3+14.9+18.4
Avg total159.5150.3172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%86%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved13130100%97.086.7+10.3
2 Svendborg1211192%87.971.6+16.3
3 Horsens129375%88.878.9+9.9
4 Bakken Bears107370%91.481.9+9.5
5 Randers138562%89.881.5+8.2
6 Herlev Wolfpack134931%78.786.5-7.8
7 Holbaek-Stenhus103730%81.693.2-11.6
8 Copenhagen123925%82.285.2-3.0
9 Amager123925%85.893.4-7.6
10 Vaerlose112918%74.888.9-14.1
11 Bears Academy1221017%75.488.1-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Holbaek-Stenhus2212231875
Svendborg2126252496
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