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Svendborg vs Horsens Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 76-83
22-21 20-21 7-20 27-21
Position#5
Record17-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
Position#2
Record18-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game72.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Rise Sparekasse Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Svendborg v Horsens
17 Sep 2026
SVEN70
HORS92
14 May 2026
SVEN103
HORS78
06 Apr 2026
SVEN68
HORS67
18 Dec 2025
SVEN69
HORS62
07 Apr 2025
SVEN91
HORS61
07 Nov 2024
SVEN78
HORS67
11 Mar 2024
SVEN76
HORS83
14 Sep 2023
SVEN80
HORS77
06 Mar 2023
SVEN91
HORS93
30 Nov 2022
SVEN84
HORS88
05 May 2022
SVEN85
HORS78
28 Apr 2022
SVEN73
HORS72
22 Apr 2022
SVEN79
HORS88
07 Mar 2022
SVEN92
HORS81
15 Dec 2021
SVEN105
HORS96
03 Feb 2021
SVEN72
HORS76
26 Oct 2020
SVEN101
HORS97
25 Jan 2020
SVEN76
HORS82
14 Dec 2019
SVEN83
HORS88
11 Mar 2019
SVEN75
HORS86
12 Dec 2018
SVEN64
HORS106
09 Nov 2017
SVEN64
HORS77
05 Jan 2017
SVEN69
HORS68
21 Nov 2016
SVEN67
HORS75
14 Nov 2016
SVEN77
HORS83
27 Jan 2016
SVEN72
HORS85
14 Dec 2015
SVEN65
HORS79
03 Nov 2015
SVEN73
HORS100
20 Apr 2015
SVEN76
HORS69
13 Apr 2015
SVEN65
HORS86
17 Nov 2014
SVEN69
HORS91
25 Apr 2014
SVEN66
HORS82
10 Mar 2014
SVEN96
HORS79
21 Nov 2013
SVEN79
HORS78
22 Sep 2012
SVEN97
HORS87
18 Feb 2012
SVEN87
HORS97
10 Nov 2011
SVEN75
HORS74
28 Mar 2011
SVEN91
HORS65
21 Mar 2011
SVEN94
HORS84
09 Oct 2010
SVEN82
HORS70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
77-110
77
110
-33
61avg 79
A06/01
Basketligaen
Tartu Ulikool
#8
L
41-83
41
83
-42
21avg 79
A09/01
ENBL
Vaerlose
#7
W
98-76
98
76
+22
97avg 79
H15/01
Basketligaen
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
80avg 79
H17/01
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
63-86
63
86
-23
54avg 79
H24/01
ENBL
Randers
#6
W
88-84
88
84
+4
81avg 79
A29/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
68avg 79
A01/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
117-87
117
87
+30
120avg 79
H07/02
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
123-94
123
94
+29
116avg 79
A15/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
98-95
98
95
+3
89avg 79
A07/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-25
8-31
23-25
13-29
12-28
18-17
5-18
6-20
25-17
23-17
31-24
19-18
22-20
21-18
19-16
21-23
14-24
17-27
12-20
20-15
19-16
30-22
20-23
19-23
20-18
8-18
22-29
26-21
28-9
30-26
29-21
30-31
41-20
26-22
25-20
31-32
31-23
17-18
29-31
21-23
174.2Avg total
86.4Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)92.481.5173.9+10.981%
Season at home (10)98.082.3180.3+15.780%
Season away (11)87.380.8168.1+6.582%
Last 10 (10)86.487.8174.2-1.460%
Last 5 (5)100.489.2189.6+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.893.4167.1-19.629%
vs Similar (4)84.280.0164.2+4.275%
vs Weaker (11)101.276.8178.0+24.4100%
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
W
86-80
86
80
+6
70avg 83
H28/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
76-61
76
61
+15
72avg 83
A03/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
71-42
71
42
+29
62avg 83
H08/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
70avg 83
A20/01
Denmark Cup
Randers
#3
L
74-79
74
79
-5
62avg 83
A21/01
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#7
W
99-78
99
78
+21
99avg 83
A25/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
115-84
115
84
+31
109avg 83
A03/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
92-88
92
88
+4
88avg 83
H09/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
86-66
86
66
+20
85avg 83
H15/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
88-77
88
77
+11
76avg 83
H04/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
24-20
20-27
25-17
20-8
23-19
12-12
21-22
22-14
19-9
15-10
15-9
20-20
20-24
20-19
19-21
19-20
18-12
19-24
18-23
23-20
29-19
23-21
24-18
28-14
27-18
34-19
26-33
21-28
21-20
23-17
27-23
23-12
23-12
24-20
16-22
15-20
25-17
23-23
25-17
160.5Avg total
86.6Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)90.172.0162.1+18.186%
Season at home (11)89.068.6157.6+20.491%
Season away (10)91.375.7167.0+15.680%
Last 10 (10)86.673.9160.5+12.780%
Last 5 (5)96.078.6174.6+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.187.3167.4-7.222%
vs Similar (2)93.583.5177.0+10.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.168.4157.4+20.783%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +1.1+1.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +1.1+1.1
SvendborgHorsens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A06/01
Basketligaen
Tartu Ulikool
#8
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A09/01
ENBL
Vaerlose
#7
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/01
Basketligaen
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H17/01
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H24/01
ENBL
Randers
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A29/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A01/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
58-35
58
35
+23
H07/02
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
67-42
67
42
+25
A15/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A07/03
Basketligaen
85.9Avg total
44.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.984.0+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.741.785.4+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)40.642.182.7-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.685.9+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)50.038.488.4+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.146.583.6-9.429%-
vs Similar (4)43.240.083.2+3.250%-
vs Weaker (11)48.436.685.0+11.791%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H28/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A03/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H08/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A20/01
Denmark Cup
Randers
#3
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/01
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#7
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A25/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
55-32
55
32
+23
A03/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H09/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H15/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H04/03
Basketligaen
77.9Avg total
43.7Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.836.580.3+7.376%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.633.275.8+9.375%-
Last 30 away (17)44.638.883.5+5.876%-
Last 10 (10)43.734.277.9+9.580%-
Last 5 (5)47.036.083.0+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.842.183.9-0.367%-
vs Similar (2)43.540.083.5+3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.633.277.8+11.582%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.522.3
50.1%
51.8%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.5
29.8%
31.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws25.218.5
73.4%
67.0%18.5
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.925.6
54.6%
51.8%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.0
30.3%
31.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.013.4
67.0%
67.0%13.4
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Svendborg
WWWLWLWWLL
Horsens
WWWWWLLWWW
#5
League position
#2
-1.9
Net rating
+16.3
102.0
Offensive rating
111.6
103.9
Defensive rating
95.3
48.1%
Effective FG%
51.6%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
18.3%
Turnover %
15.7%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.8%
3-point %
30.3%
56.0%
Assist %
53.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 111.6Defence103.9 · 95.3Shooting48.1% · 51.6%3-point %29.8% · 30.3%Ball care18.3% · 15.7%Off. rebounds28.6% · 34.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Svendborg   ■ Horsens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Svendborg wins
4
Horsens wins
DateGameScore
11/12/23Horsens v Svendborg75-81
14/09/23Svendborg v Horsens80-77
03/04/23Horsens v Svendborg101-98
06/03/23Svendborg v Horsens91-93
10/02/23Horsens v Svendborg98-102
30/11/22Svendborg v Horsens84-88
05/05/22Svendborg v Horsens85-78
02/05/22Horsens v Svendborg90-87
28/04/22Svendborg v Horsens73-72
25/04/22Horsens v Svendborg96-100 OT
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24AVaerlose98-95
15/02/24AAmager123-94
07/02/24HHerlev Wolfpack117-87
01/02/24ATeam FOG Naestved76-86
29/01/24ARanders88-84
24/01/24HBristol Flyers63-86
17/01/24HSpartak Pleven83-77
15/01/24HVaerlose98-76
09/01/24ATartu Ulikool41-83
06/01/24ABakken Bears77-110
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/24HBakken Bears88-77
15/02/24HBears Academy86-66
09/02/24HTeam FOG Naestved92-88
03/02/24AAmager115-84
25/01/24AVaerlose99-78
21/01/24ARanders74-79
20/01/24ATeam FOG Naestved79-84
08/01/24HCopenhagen71-42
03/01/24AHolbaek-Stenhus76-61
28/12/23HBakken Bears86-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW81%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayLWLWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %81%80%82%
Points / game92.498.087.3
Allowed / game81.582.380.8
Point differential+10.9+15.7+6.5
Avg total173.9180.3168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%60%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Horsens
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %86%91%80%
Points / game90.189.091.3
Allowed / game72.068.675.7
Point differential+18.1+20.4+15.6
Avg total162.1157.6167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%64%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2219386%100.576.9+23.6
2 Horsens2118386%90.172.0+18.1
3 Svendborg2117481%92.481.5+10.9
4 Team FOG Naestved2216673%96.383.6+12.7
5 Randers2112957%94.587.2+7.3
6 Copenhagen21111052%82.979.8+3.0
7 Vaerlose21101148%82.086.5-4.5
8 Bears Academy2161529%75.283.9-8.7
9 Herlev Wolfpack2241818%75.092.3-17.3
10 Holbaek-Stenhus2241818%72.190.8-18.7
11 Amager221215%75.0100.4-25.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Svendborg222072776
Horsens2121202183
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