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Sweden W vs Spain W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 13:15
Final 75-78 (OT)
16-16 7-15 19-19 22-14 11-14
Position#4
Record7-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game65.1
Sweden W
vs
Spain W 🏆
Position#2
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game57.4
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 3· Edel-optics.de Arena
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sweden W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Spain W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sweden WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Israel W
#26
L
57-71
57
71
-14
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
L
65-71
65
71
-6
no box
H12/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
64-62
64
62
+2
no box
A09/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
82-52
82
52
+30
78avg 70
A07/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
63-60
63
60
+3
59avg 70
H10/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
98-72
98
72
+26
99avg 70
A06/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
70-51
70
51
+19
72avg 70
H09/02
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
76-89
76
89
-13
63avg 70
A19/06
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
75-66
75
66
+9
73avg 70
H20/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-19
22-12
8-23
17-17
19-16
18-9
13-20
15-26
18-18
17-13
15-17
14-14
21-20
16-18
23-15
16-16
22-17
14-13
26-7
20-15
11-12
12-16
20-17
20-15
26-21
22-15
23-17
27-19
21-8
11-22
16-8
22-13
16-27
11-17
22-14
27-31
15-22
16-9
26-16
18-19
138.9Avg total
72.6Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.565.1140.6+10.488%
Season at home (4)71.061.5132.5+9.5100%
Season away (4)80.068.8148.8+11.275%
Last 10 (10)72.666.3138.9+6.370%
Last 5 (5)76.467.6144.0+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)59.272.5131.8-13.212%
vs Similar (7)61.067.1128.1-6.143%
vs Weaker (10)77.860.5138.3+17.380%
This opponent (Spain W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spain WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
China W
#6
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
78avg 74
H28/07
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
63-62
63
62
+1
62avg 74
A31/07
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
70-62
70
62
+8
80avg 74
A03/08
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
L
66-79
66
79
-13
53avg 74
H07/08
Olympic Games Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
66-59
66
59
+7
no box
H07/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
W
78-62
78
62
+16
82avg 74
H10/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
76-45
76
45
+31
82avg 74
A06/02
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
81-64
81
64
+17
77avg 74
A09/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
85-70
85
70
+15
79avg 74
A19/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
W
79-60
79
60
+19
76avg 74
H20/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
20-15
20-22
23-17
18-9
21-16
5-19
19-18
16-13
21-15
18-10
15-24
26-26
11-22
12-19
17-12
16-7
15-18
19-16
16-18
18-18
25-16
21-16
14-12
28-17
15-10
16-8
17-10
19-15
17-16
28-13
17-20
18-13
30-12
20-24
17-21
19-16
17-14
18-13
25-17
140.6Avg total
75.4Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.257.4133.6+18.9100%
Season at home (4)74.553.8128.2+20.8100%
Season away (4)78.061.0139.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.465.2140.6+10.290%
Last 5 (5)79.860.2140.0+19.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.571.8140.2-3.250%
vs Similar (4)70.866.8137.5+4.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)78.157.4135.5+20.791%
This opponent (Sweden W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
Sweden WSpain W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sweden WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel W
#26
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A09/02
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H12/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A09/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H12/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A07/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H10/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A06/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H09/02
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A19/06
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H20/06
European Championship Women
66.2Avg total
33.8Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)31.931.763.6+0.252%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.231.264.4+2.154%-
Last 30 away (12)30.532.262.8-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)33.832.466.2+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)32.233.866.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)28.534.663.1-6.138%-
vs Similar (7)27.730.658.3-2.943%-
vs Weaker (10)37.630.167.7+7.570%-
This opponent (Spain W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spain WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
China W
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H28/07
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A31/07
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A03/08
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H07/08
Olympic Games Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H07/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A06/02
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A09/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A19/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H20/06
European Championship Women
69.3Avg total
38.3Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.029.867.8+8.373%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.131.169.2+6.967%-
Last 30 away (12)38.027.865.8+10.283%-
Last 10 (10)38.331.069.3+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)41.229.470.6+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.533.868.2+0.850%-
vs Similar (4)33.536.069.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)39.527.967.4+11.682%-
This opponent (Sweden W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sweden Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sweden W: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.115.8
44.8%
45.4%31.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.9
34.5%
30.0%26.6
🏀 Free throws21.216.4
77.1%
72.4%16.4
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spain Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain W: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.721.7
50.8%
45.4%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.3
30.0%
30.0%18.9
🏀 Free throws15.612.1
77.6%
72.4%12.1
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 22 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sweden W
WLWWWWWWLL
Spain W
WWWWWWLWWW
#4
League position
#2
+13.8
Net rating
+13.4
100.1
Offensive rating
101.5
86.3
Defensive rating
88.1
47.7%
Effective FG%
48.9%
44.7%
Opp. effective FG%
44.4%
20.0%
Turnover %
19.6%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.5%
3-point %
30.0%
80.2%
Assist %
73.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 101.5Defence86.3 · 88.1Shooting47.7% · 48.9%3-point %34.5% · 30.0%Ball care20.0% · 19.6%Off. rebounds28.6% · 32.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Sweden W   ■ Spain W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sweden W wins
1
Spain W wins
DateGameScore
18/06/21Spain W v Sweden W76-55
Sweden Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/06/25HGreat Britain W75-66
19/06/25AGermany W76-89
09/02/25HEstonia W70-51
06/02/25ADenmark W98-72
10/11/24HGreat Britain W63-60
07/11/24AEstonia W82-52
12/11/23HDenmark W76-69
09/11/23AGreat Britain W64-62
12/02/23HLatvia W65-71
09/02/23AIsrael W57-71
Spain Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/06/25HGermany W79-60
19/06/25AGreat Britain W85-70
09/02/25ANetherlands W81-64
06/02/25AAustria W76-45
10/11/24HCroatia W78-62
07/11/24HNetherlands W66-59
07/08/24HBelgium W66-79
03/08/24ASerbia W70-62
31/07/24APuerto Rico W63-62
28/07/24HChina W90-89 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sweden W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game75.571.080.0
Allowed / game65.161.568.8
Point differential+10.4+9.5+11.2
Avg total140.6132.5148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Spain W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game76.274.578.0
Allowed / game57.453.861.0
Point differential+18.9+20.8+17.0
Avg total133.6128.2139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W990100%94.047.2+46.8
2 Spain W880100%76.257.4+18.9
3 Turkey W98189%82.061.8+20.2
4 Belgium W87188%86.855.0+31.8
5 Sweden W87188%75.565.1+10.4
6 Italy W97278%68.859.4+9.3
7 Lithuania W96367%77.266.8+10.4
8 Slovenia W96367%77.668.3+9.2
9 Croatia W64267%76.067.8+8.2
10 Luxembourg W64267%63.257.2+6.0
11 Slovakia W64267%71.565.7+5.8
12 Latvia W64267%75.076.5-1.5
13 Germany W85362%70.969.0+1.9
14 Portugal W85362%59.660.0-0.4
15 Serbia W95456%74.859.4+15.3
16 Poland W63350%79.862.3+17.5
17 Great Britain W84450%73.061.8+11.2
18 Hungary W63350%73.567.7+5.8
19 Czech Republic W84450%67.266.6+0.6
20 Montenegro W84450%67.567.2+0.2
21 Switzerland W94544%62.269.1-6.9
22 Greece W93633%68.872.7-3.9
23 Bulgaria W62433%76.381.5-5.2
24 Ukraine W62433%64.270.0-5.8
25 Netherlands W62433%63.770.3-6.7
26 Israel W62433%71.880.2-8.3
27 Finland W62433%62.577.3-14.8
28 Denmark W61517%66.773.8-7.2
29 Iceland W61517%68.877.7-8.8
30 Romania W61517%66.588.3-21.8
31 Estonia W61517%51.577.8-26.3
32 Austria W6060%53.074.0-21.0
33 Bosnia & Herzegovina W6060%54.083.2-29.2
34 North Macedonia W6060%56.086.8-30.8
35 Ireland W6060%55.597.2-41.7
36 Azerbaijan W6060%41.0105.5-64.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Sweden W16719221175
Spain W161519141478
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