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Sydney W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 73-86
25-18 18-13 19-21 11-34
Position#5
Record4-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game80.2
Sydney W
Australia
vs
Adelaide Lightning W 🏆
Australia
Position#6
Record4-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game70.3
AustraliaNBL WRound 8· Quaycentre
Women2024-25
Meetings · Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W
14 Dec 2025
SYDN75
ADEL94
19 Jan 2025
SYDN84
ADEL60
22 Dec 2024
SYDN73
ADEL86
17 Jan 2024
SYDN88
ADEL65
24 Feb 2023
SYDN101
ADEL91
26 Feb 2022
SYDN56
ADEL73
20 Jan 2022
SYDN52
ADEL77
13 Dec 2020
SYDN86
ADEL60
29 Dec 2019
SYDN72
ADEL80
08 Dec 2019
SYDN81
ADEL69
05 Dec 2018
SYDN72
ADEL82
23 Dec 2017
SYDN104
ADEL97
29 Nov 2017
SYDN74
ADEL77
18 Feb 2017
SYDN98
ADEL83
04 Dec 2015
SYDN67
ADEL94
13 Nov 2015
SYDN84
ADEL79
28 Nov 2014
SYDN66
ADEL54
01 Nov 2014
SYDN91
ADEL94
07 Dec 2013
SYDN62
ADEL63
26 Oct 2013
SYDN82
ADEL85
10 Nov 2012
SYDN94
ADEL78
25 Nov 2011
SYDN74
ADEL77
14 Jan 2011
SYDN82
ADEL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sydney WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
65avg 74
A25/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
102-85
102
85
+17
108avg 74
H03/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
75-83
75
83
-8
71avg 74
A09/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
64avg 74
H13/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
L
54-78
54
78
-24
42avg 74
A20/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 74
A23/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
90-55
90
55
+35
92avg 74
H30/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
86-75
86
75
+11
80avg 74
H07/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
81-74
81
74
+7
76avg 74
A14/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
73-98
73
98
-25
58avg 74
A18/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
17-21
19-19
19-23
35-21
24-23
22-18
21-23
26-21
13-24
19-22
17-16
18-29
18-27
17-19
18-15
11-20
12-18
17-16
14-24
29-19
25-24
10-21
14-20
23-12
20-17
25-5
22-21
23-20
23-21
18-17
22-17
25-12
22-20
21-23
13-19
13-33
15-30
28-23
17-12
160.0Avg total
78.8Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.980.2159.1-1.344%
Season at home (4)87.276.2163.5+11.075%
Season away (5)72.283.4155.6-11.220%
Last 10 (10)78.881.2160.0-2.440%
Last 5 (5)81.677.2158.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.083.0156.0-10.029%
vs Similar ◀ (18)75.376.8152.1-1.644%
vs Weaker (5)83.869.0152.8+14.8100%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
L
70-84
70
84
-14
56avg 64
A02/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
78-92
78
92
-14
57avg 64
H09/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
66-72 OT
66
72
-6
56avg 64
A16/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
78-54
78
54
+24
72avg 64
H20/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
47-53
47
53
-6
41avg 64
A23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
68-69
68
69
-1
66avg 64
H29/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
97-71
97
71
+26
96avg 64
A06/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
59-69
59
69
-10
54avg 64
A08/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
68-67
68
67
+1
60avg 64
H15/12
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
82-72
82
72
+10
79avg 64
H20/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
22-20
18-17
7-19
28-25
18-28
18-18
14-21
18-13
17-19
22-15
7-17
20-11
18-12
16-17
24-14
18-9
22-11
2-16
5-17
19-22
21-20
21-8
7-19
28-17
18-17
23-11
28-26
19-14
7-18
13-16
20-21
17-15
22-13
19-19
10-20
24-19
23-23
21-20
14-10
141.6Avg total
71.3Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)71.370.3141.6+1.040%
Season at home (5)74.870.8145.6+4.060%
Season away (5)67.869.8137.6-2.020%
Last 10 (10)71.370.3141.6+1.040%
Last 5 (5)74.869.6144.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)67.772.3140.0-4.533%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.675.9153.5+1.750%
vs Weaker (5)72.874.6147.4-1.840%
This opponent (Sydney W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -4.8-4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -4.8-4.8
Sydney WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sydney WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A25/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H03/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A09/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H13/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A20/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A23/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H30/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H07/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A14/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
28-63
28
63
-35
A18/12
NBL W
85.4Avg total
41.5Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.878.2+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.139.080.1+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)37.738.676.3-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)41.543.985.4-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.685.2+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.145.180.3-10.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)39.337.877.1+1.556%-
vs Weaker (5)45.633.679.2+12.0100%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A02/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H09/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A16/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H20/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
40-20
40
20
+20
A23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H29/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A06/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A08/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H15/12
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H20/12
NBL W
75.6Avg total
40.2Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.636.474.0+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.235.673.8+2.650%-
Last 30 away (16)37.137.274.2-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)40.235.475.6+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.675.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.737.073.7-0.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.634.773.3+3.970%-
vs Weaker (5)38.238.276.4+0.040%-
This opponent (Sydney W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydney Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney W: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.516.3
50.2%
46.9%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.3
32.2%
32.2%27.9
🏀 Free throws14.310.9
76.2%
75.1%10.9
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaide Lightning Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide Lightning W: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.619.8
43.4%
46.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.76.8
31.3%
32.2%20.4
🏀 Free throws13.910.5
75.5%
75.1%10.5
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney W
LWWWLLLLWL
Adelaide Lightning W
WWLWLLWLLL
#5
League position
#6
-4.5
Net rating
+1.4
98.2
Offensive rating
89.2
102.7
Defensive rating
87.8
49.3%
Effective FG%
44.6%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
41.2%
23.3%
Turnover %
19.8%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.21
32.2%
3-point %
31.3%
66.8%
Assist %
64.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 89.2Defence102.7 · 87.8Shooting49.3% · 44.6%3-point %32.2% · 31.3%Ball care23.3% · 19.8%Off. rebounds31.6% · 25.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Sydney W   ■ Adelaide Lightning W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sydney W wins
5
Adelaide Lightning W wins
DateGameScore
20/11/24Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W78-54
17/01/24Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W88-65
05/01/24Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W74-67
06/12/23Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W64-66
24/02/23Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W101-91
12/01/23Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W77-81
19/11/22Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W87-67
26/02/22Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W56-73
20/01/22Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W52-77
13/12/20Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W86-60
Sydney Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24ATownsville W73-98
14/12/24AGeelong United W81-74
07/12/24HPerth Lynx W86-75
30/11/24HGeelong United W90-55
23/11/24APerth Lynx W78-84
20/11/24AAdelaide Lightning W54-78
13/11/24HBendigo W71-90
09/11/24ASouthside W75-83
03/11/24HCanberra Capitals W102-85
25/02/24ATownsville W78-90
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24HSouthside W82-72
15/12/24HCanberra Capitals W68-67
08/12/24AGeelong United W59-69
06/12/24ASouthside W97-71
29/11/24HTownsville W68-69
23/11/24ATownsville W47-53
20/11/24HSydney W78-54
16/11/24AGeelong United W66-72 OT
09/11/24HPerth Lynx W78-92
02/11/24ABendigo W70-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL44%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game78.987.272.2
Allowed / game80.276.283.4
Point differential-1.3+11.0-11.2
Avg total159.1163.5155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW40%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game71.374.867.8
Allowed / game70.370.869.8
Point differential+1.0+4.0-2.0
Avg total141.6145.6137.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W109190%85.573.7+11.8
2 Perth Lynx W118373%85.178.2+6.9
3 Townsville W106460%78.573.1+5.4
4 Sydney W94544%78.980.2-1.3
5 Geelong United W94544%71.680.1-8.6
6 Adelaide Lightning W104640%71.370.3+1.0
7 Southside W103730%81.884.9-3.1
8 Canberra Capitals W112918%74.286.7-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney W2518191173
Adelaide Lightning W1813213486
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