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Sydney W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Nov 2014
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 66-54
9-17 20-14 17-11 20-12
Position#4
Record5-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game74.0
Sydney W 🏆
Australia
vs
Adelaide Lightning W
Australia
Position#7
Record2-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game62.0
Allowed / game79.4
AustraliaNBL WRound 7
Women2014-15
Meetings · Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W
14 Dec 2025
SYDN75
ADEL94
19 Jan 2025
SYDN84
ADEL60
22 Dec 2024
SYDN73
ADEL86
17 Jan 2024
SYDN88
ADEL65
24 Feb 2023
SYDN101
ADEL91
26 Feb 2022
SYDN56
ADEL73
20 Jan 2022
SYDN52
ADEL77
13 Dec 2020
SYDN86
ADEL60
29 Dec 2019
SYDN72
ADEL80
08 Dec 2019
SYDN81
ADEL69
05 Dec 2018
SYDN72
ADEL82
23 Dec 2017
SYDN104
ADEL97
29 Nov 2017
SYDN74
ADEL77
18 Feb 2017
SYDN98
ADEL83
04 Dec 2015
SYDN67
ADEL94
13 Nov 2015
SYDN84
ADEL79
28 Nov 2014
SYDN66
ADEL54
01 Nov 2014
SYDN91
ADEL94
07 Dec 2013
SYDN62
ADEL63
26 Oct 2013
SYDN82
ADEL85
10 Nov 2012
SYDN94
ADEL78
25 Nov 2011
SYDN74
ADEL77
14 Jan 2011
SYDN82
ADEL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sydney WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#2
L
71-87
71
87
-16
H07/02
NBL W
Logan W
#8
W
71-54
71
54
+17
A09/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
79-54
79
54
+25
H15/02
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#6
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A18/10
NBL W
Dandenong W
#3
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A25/10
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
H01/11
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#6
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H05/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#5
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H14/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
78-59
78
59
+19
A15/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#8
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A22/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
22-16
13-25
11-26
20-15
18-16
13-16
20-7
23-16
9-9
32-14
15-15
22-19
15-14
18-13
18-24
20-16
20-19
24-19
17-24
23-17
13-14
26-26
15-20
16-12
22-17
17-19
21-12
22-18
19-19
25-22
24-19
21-7
20-28
24-13
13-11
20-16
16-25
27-23
14-15
150.0Avg total
78.7Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.974.0154.9+6.971%
Season at home (3)85.777.3163.0+8.367%
Season away (4)77.271.5148.8+5.875%
Last 10 (10)78.771.3150.0+7.470%
Last 5 (5)82.474.0156.4+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.081.0151.0-11.011%
vs Similar (12)75.371.8147.2+3.558%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)79.264.3143.6+14.967%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
70-57
70
57
+13
A08/02
NBL W
Dandenong W
#3
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H15/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#8
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A18/10
NBL W
Dandenong W
#3
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H23/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
60-86
60
86
-26
A31/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#4
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
A01/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#2
L
33-76
33
76
-43
H09/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#4
L
59-78
59
78
-19
H15/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
53-71
53
71
-18
H21/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#5
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A22/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
24-9
17-4
12-18
17-13
26-11
22-22
23-36
15-25
21-23
17-28
15-16
20-27
18-11
14-12
16-13
18-14
18-22
15-24
9-26
17-23
14-13
26-26
20-15
10-19
4-30
7-12
12-15
7-21
28-20
13-24
11-13
15-17
15-17
13-21
10-16
21-17
15-22
10-19
15-20
142.8Avg total
65.4Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)62.079.4141.4-17.425%
Season at home (4)53.272.0125.2-18.825%
Season away (4)70.886.8157.5-16.025%
Last 10 (10)65.477.4142.8-12.040%
Last 5 (5)60.078.8138.8-18.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)68.477.5145.9-9.133%
vs Similar (10)69.474.5143.9-5.140%
vs Weaker (5)81.460.2141.6+21.2100%
This opponent (Sydney W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -4.5-4.5
Sydney WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sydney WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#2
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H07/02
NBL W
Logan W
#8
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A09/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H15/02
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#6
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A18/10
NBL W
Dandenong W
#3
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A25/10
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H01/11
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#6
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H05/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H14/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A15/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#8
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A22/11
NBL W
71.9Avg total
38.6Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.935.472.3+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.334.972.2+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)36.535.972.5+0.647%-
Last 10 (10)38.633.371.9+5.390%-
Last 5 (5)38.434.673.0+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.040.377.3-3.322%-
vs Similar (12)35.834.470.2+1.458%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.231.970.1+6.378%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A08/02
NBL W
Dandenong W
#3
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H15/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#8
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A18/10
NBL W
Dandenong W
#3
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H23/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A31/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A01/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#2
L
14-49
14
49
-35
H09/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#4
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H15/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H21/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A22/11
NBL W
72.0Avg total
34.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.736.873.5-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.734.370.0+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)37.839.377.1-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)34.038.072.0-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)29.239.869.0-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.537.473.9-0.947%-
vs Similar (10)34.938.773.6-3.830%-
vs Weaker (5)41.031.272.2+9.8100%-
This opponent (Sydney W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sydney W wins
6
Adelaide Lightning W wins
DateGameScore
15/11/14Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W59-78
01/11/14Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W91-94 OT
26/01/14Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W68-71
07/12/13Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W62-63
26/10/13Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W82-85
08/02/13Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W98-73
10/11/12Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W94-78
13/10/12Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W86-60
25/11/11Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W74-77
14/10/11Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W65-70
Sydney Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/14APerth Lynx W77-79
15/11/14AAdelaide Lightning W78-59
14/11/14HGeelong United W90-78
05/11/14HCanberra C. Acad. W76-60
01/11/14HAdelaide Lightning W91-94 OT
25/10/14ADandenong W81-78
18/10/14ACanberra C. Acad. W73-70
15/02/14HPerth Lynx W79-54
09/02/14ALogan W71-54
07/02/14HTownsville W71-87
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/14AGeelong United W61-78
21/11/14HTownsville W53-71
15/11/14HSydney W59-78
09/11/14HBendigo W33-76
01/11/14ASydney W94-91 OT
31/10/14ATownsville W60-86
23/10/14HDandenong W68-63
18/10/14APerth Lynx W68-92
15/02/14HDandenong W88-82
08/02/14APerth Lynx W70-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney W
NBL W 2014-15
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game80.985.777.2
Allowed / game74.077.371.5
Point differential+6.9+8.3+5.8
Avg total154.9163.0148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %14%33%0%
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2014-15
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game62.053.270.8
Allowed / game79.472.086.8
Point differential-17.4-18.8-16.0
Avg total141.4125.2157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W86275%76.465.9+10.5
2 Townsville W75271%77.463.9+13.6
3 Sydney W75271%80.974.0+6.9
4 Perth Lynx W74357%68.371.3-3.0
5 Canberra C. Acad. W83538%70.570.8-0.2
6 Geelong United W83538%68.671.8-3.1
7 Dandenong W93633%76.080.4-4.4
8 Adelaide Lightning W82625%62.079.4-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney W920172066
Adelaide Lightning W1714111254
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