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Sydney W vs Canberra Capitals W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 86-81
29-26 23-19 16-15 18-21
Position#6
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game80.7
Sydney W 🏆
Australia
vs
Canberra Capitals W
Australia
Position#8
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game93.0
AustraliaNBL W· Quaycentre
Women2023-24
Meetings · Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W
10 Jan 2026
SYDN84
CANB72
06 Nov 2025
SYDN73
CANB64
03 Nov 2024
SYDN102
CANB85
19 Jan 2024
SYDN90
CANB65
15 Nov 2023
SYDN86
CANB81
30 Dec 2022
SYDN81
CANB70
23 Dec 2022
SYDN87
CANB72
05 Dec 2021
SYDN55
CANB58
21 Nov 2020
SYDN63
CANB68
27 Oct 2019
SYDN81
CANB75
13 Jan 2019
SYDN79
CANB99
12 Oct 2018
SYDN78
CANB97
02 Nov 2017
SYDN81
CANB62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra Capitals W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sydney WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
68-87
68
87
-19
no box
H21/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
no box
H29/01
NBL W
Southside W
#3
W
68-67
68
67
+1
no box
A04/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
57-87
57
87
-30
no box
H19/02
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
101-91
101
91
+10
no box
H24/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
72-73
72
73
-1
no box
A26/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
60-100
60
100
-40
no box
A05/03
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
71-85
71
85
-14
58avg 66
A03/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
68-62
68
62
+6
66avg 66
A10/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
80-95
80
95
-15
72avg 66
H12/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
26-26
6-23
18-18
26-13
14-19
14-32
24-18
19-16
15-20
13-14
21-17
13-21
17-21
18-16
9-29
32-23
26-23
15-28
28-17
23-17
18-19
17-21
14-16
15-26
19-18
7-31
19-25
13-20
16-18
18-18
24-29
12-12
23-8
13-23
20-19
23-25
21-23
13-23
23-24
155.2Avg total
72.3Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.080.7153.7-7.733%
Season at home (1)80.095.0175.0-15.00%
Season away (2)69.573.5143.0-4.050%
Last 10 (10)72.382.9155.2-10.630%
Last 5 (5)70.283.0153.2-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)68.279.7147.9-11.515%
vs Similar (7)76.680.4157.0-3.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)86.774.0160.7+12.7100%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#2
L
57-78
57
78
-21
no box
A14/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
no box
A19/01
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
81-97
81
97
-16
no box
H21/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
no box
A27/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
no box
H02/02
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
72-78
72
78
-6
no box
H18/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
95-103
95
103
-8
no box
H25/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
94-107
94
107
-13
no box
H04/03
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
79-82
79
82
-3
70avg 69
H05/11
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
79-104
79
104
-25
68avg 69
H08/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-29
19-13
12-24
11-12
10-21
17-22
17-28
30-15
22-28
18-34
20-25
21-10
23-22
16-18
18-15
23-26
23-25
22-8
18-24
22-28
27-14
10-27
12-19
23-18
20-22
34-22
18-33
23-26
21-30
23-26
29-23
21-28
20-31
23-27
16-12
20-12
20-27
20-22
15-28
24-27
171.4Avg total
80.8Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.093.0172.0-14.00%
Season at home (2)79.093.0172.0-14.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.890.6171.4-9.810%
Last 5 (5)83.894.8178.6-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)75.491.1166.4-15.78%
vs Similar (3)74.384.0158.3-9.733%
vs Weaker (2)95.061.0156.0+34.0100%
This opponent (Sydney W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -9.5-9.5Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -9.5-9.5Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
Sydney WCanberra Capitals W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sydney WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H21/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H29/01
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A04/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H19/02
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H24/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A26/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A05/03
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A03/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
35-20
35
20
+15
A10/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H12/11
NBL W
77.7Avg total
38.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.039.976.9-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.441.782.1-1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)34.138.372.4-4.225%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.877.7+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.273.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)36.240.076.2-3.725%-
vs Similar (7)37.040.677.6-3.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)42.038.080.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A14/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A19/01
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
40-62
40
62
-22
H21/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A27/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H02/02
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H18/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H25/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H04/03
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H05/11
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H08/11
NBL W
87.1Avg total
40.3Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.744.584.2-4.827%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.146.189.2-2.933%-
Last 30 away (15)36.342.979.2-6.720%-
Last 10 (10)40.346.887.1-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)43.649.693.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.546.184.6-7.620%-
vs Similar (3)41.343.384.7-2.033%-
vs Weaker (2)52.026.078.0+26.0100%-
This opponent (Sydney W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydney Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney W: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.3 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.720.7
48.4%
47.3%41.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.0
25.7%
32.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws13.711.7
85.4%
74.3%11.7
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canberra Capitals W: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.021.0
47.7%
47.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.0
29.6%
32.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.513.0
74.3%
74.3%13.0
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/2 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney W
LWLLLWLWLL
Canberra Capitals W
LLLLLWLLLL
#6
League position
#8
-12.0
Net rating
-14.8
94.5
Offensive rating
97.3
106.5
Defensive rating
112.1
44.9%
Effective FG%
46.5%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
16.9%
Turnover %
18.6%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.25
25.7%
3-point %
29.6%
66.2%
Assist %
62.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 97.3Defence106.5 · 112.1Shooting44.9% · 46.5%3-point %25.7% · 29.6%Ball care16.9% · 18.6%Off. rebounds24.4% · 29.9%Free throws0.21 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Sydney W   ■ Canberra Capitals W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sydney W wins
6
Canberra Capitals W wins
DateGameScore
30/12/22Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W81-70
23/12/22Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W87-72
10/12/22Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W80-92
28/01/22Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W86-54
05/12/21Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W55-58
21/11/20Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W63-68
26/01/20Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W82-66
02/11/19Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W91-66
27/10/19Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W81-75
13/01/19Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W79-99
Sydney Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HGeelong United W80-95
10/11/23ABendigo W68-62
03/11/23APerth Lynx W71-85
05/03/23AGeelong United W60-100
26/02/23ATownsville W72-73
24/02/23HAdelaide Lightning W101-91
19/02/23HGeelong United W57-87
04/02/23ASouthside W68-67
29/01/23HTownsville W78-82
21/01/23HPerth Lynx W68-87
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23HSouthside W79-104
05/11/23HAdelaide Lightning W79-82
04/03/23HPerth Lynx W94-107
25/02/23HGeelong United W95-103
18/02/23HAdelaide Lightning W72-78
02/02/23HAdelaide Lightning W97-90 OT
27/01/23ATownsville W80-81
21/01/23HSouthside W81-97
19/01/23ABendigo W74-86
14/01/23AGeelong United W57-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game73.080.069.5
Allowed / game80.795.073.5
Point differential-7.7-15.0-4.0
Avg total153.7175.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game79.079.0-
Allowed / game93.093.0-
Point differential-14.0-14.0-
Avg total172.0172.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Perth Lynx W220100%88.578.0+10.5
2 Geelong United W330100%80.070.0+10.0
3 Southside W32167%83.076.7+6.3
4 Townsville W21150%83.577.5+6.0
5 Adelaide Lightning W31233%75.779.7-4.0
6 Sydney W31233%73.080.7-7.7
7 Bendigo W2020%71.080.5-9.5
8 Canberra Capitals W2020%79.093.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney W2923161886
Canberra Capitals W2619152181
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