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Canberra Capitals W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 79-82
20-31 23-27 16-12 20-12
Position#8
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Canberra Capitals W
Australia
vs
Adelaide Lightning W 🏆
Australia
Position#7
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game60.0
Allowed / game68.0
AustraliaNBL W· National Convention Centre
Women2023-24
Meetings · Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W
09 Dec 2025
CANB76
ADEL71
11 Jan 2025
CANB91
ADEL76
21 Dec 2023
CANB86
ADEL73
05 Nov 2023
CANB79
ADEL82
18 Feb 2023
CANB72
ADEL78
02 Feb 2023
CANB97
ADEL90
19 Dec 2021
CANB62
ADEL88
04 Dec 2020
CANB85
ADEL65
01 Feb 2020
CANB73
ADEL71
13 Oct 2019
CANB90
ADEL83
16 Feb 2019
CANB93
ADEL73
09 Feb 2019
CANB88
ADEL67
21 Oct 2018
CANB79
ADEL75
17 Dec 2017
CANB88
ADEL87
08 Oct 2017
CANB84
ADEL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra Capitals W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#1
L
62-77
62
77
-15
no box
H07/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
92-85
92
85
+7
no box
H11/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
57-78
57
78
-21
no box
A14/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
no box
A19/01
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
81-97
81
97
-16
no box
H21/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
no box
A27/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
no box
H02/02
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
72-78
72
78
-6
no box
H18/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
95-103
95
103
-8
no box
H25/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
94-107
94
107
-13
no box
H04/03
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
21-21
11-23
12-12
18-20
21-20
24-20
29-25
15-29
19-13
12-24
11-12
10-21
17-22
17-28
30-15
22-28
18-34
20-25
21-10
23-22
16-18
18-15
23-26
23-25
22-8
18-24
22-28
27-14
10-27
12-19
23-18
20-22
34-22
18-33
23-26
21-30
23-26
29-23
21-28
168.6Avg total
80.4Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.488.2168.6-7.820%
Last 5 (5)87.691.8179.4-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.090.9166.0-15.99%
vs Similar (3)74.384.0158.3-9.733%
vs Weaker (4)76.047.8123.8+28.2100%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#6
L
77-81
77
81
-4
no box
H12/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
68-86
68
86
-18
no box
H14/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
63-92
63
92
-29
no box
A20/01
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
72-73
72
73
-1
no box
H28/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
90-97 OT
90
97
-7
no box
A02/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
82-108
82
108
-26
no box
H16/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
78-72
78
72
+6
no box
A18/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
91-101
91
101
-10
no box
A24/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
93-97
93
97
-4
no box
H02/03
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
60-68
60
68
-8
53avg 53
H01/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
26-17
12-30
16-19
24-29
7-23
21-21
16-13
15-17
15-21
18-30
15-24
21-16
21-21
15-21
15-15
25-23
8-22
24-18
28-22
25-18
24-34
24-31
9-25
14-27
27-10
19-12
18-23
23-32
23-26
28-15
17-28
20-25
18-32
27-25
28-15
24-13
11-13
13-25
12-17
164.9Avg total
77.4Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)60.068.0128.0-8.00%
Season at home (1)60.068.0128.0-8.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.487.5164.9-10.110%
Last 5 (5)80.889.2170.0-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)75.385.5160.8-10.211%
vs Similar (7)77.978.1156.0-0.329%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)83.078.6161.6+4.460%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.7-2.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.7-2.7
Canberra Capitals WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H07/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H11/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A14/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A19/01
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
40-62
40
62
-22
H21/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A27/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H02/02
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H18/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H25/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H04/03
NBL W
84.1Avg total
39.8Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.043.583.5-3.431%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.144.188.1+0.043%-
Last 30 away (15)36.342.979.2-6.720%-
Last 10 (10)39.844.384.1-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.886.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)38.345.583.7-7.222%-
vs Similar (3)41.343.384.7-2.033%-
vs Weaker (3)52.328.380.7+24.0100%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#6
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H12/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
31-52
31
52
-21
H14/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A20/01
NBL W
Southside W
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H28/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A02/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H16/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A18/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A24/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H02/03
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H01/11
NBL W
82.8Avg total
39.4Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.541.380.8-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.838.677.4+0.241%-
Last 30 away (13)40.544.885.2-4.323%-
Last 10 (10)39.443.482.8-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.846.087.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.742.482.2-2.728%-
vs Similar (7)40.641.181.7-0.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)37.237.274.4+0.040%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Adelaide Lightning Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide Lightning W: 60.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.0
50.0%
47.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.05.0
18.5%
32.7%15.0
🏀 Free throws13.011.0
84.6%
74.3%11.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Canberra Capitals W wins
6
Adelaide Lightning W wins
DateGameScore
18/02/23Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W72-78
02/02/23Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W97-90 OT
30/11/22Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W90-80
17/03/22Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W81-50
30/01/22Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W67-80
19/12/21Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W62-88
04/12/20Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W85-65
11/11/20Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W85-73 OT
01/02/20Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W73-71
27/12/19Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W78-68 OT
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23HPerth Lynx W94-107
25/02/23HGeelong United W95-103
18/02/23HAdelaide Lightning W72-78
02/02/23HAdelaide Lightning W97-90 OT
27/01/23ATownsville W80-81
21/01/23HSouthside W81-97
19/01/23ABendigo W74-86
14/01/23AGeelong United W57-78
11/01/23HBendigo W92-85
07/01/23HTownsville W62-77
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23HGeelong United W60-68
02/03/23HPerth Lynx W93-97
24/02/23ASydney W91-101
18/02/23ACanberra Capitals W78-72
16/02/23HPerth Lynx W82-108
02/02/23ACanberra Capitals W90-97 OT
28/01/23HSouthside W72-73
20/01/23ATownsville W63-92
14/01/23HBendigo W68-86
12/01/23HSydney W77-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game60.060.0-
Allowed / game68.068.0-
Point differential-8.0-8.0-
Avg total128.0128.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Perth Lynx W110100%85.071.0+14.0
2 Townsville W110100%93.080.0+13.0
3 Geelong United W220100%72.565.0+7.5
4 Southside W1010%70.077.0-7.0
5 Adelaide Lightning W1010%60.068.0-8.0
6 Bendigo W1010%80.093.0-13.0
7 Sydney W1010%71.085.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canberra Capitals W2023162079
Adelaide Lightning W3127121282
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