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Canberra Capitals W vs Perth Lynx W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 94-107
21-30 23-26 29-23 21-28
Position#8
Record2-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#4
Record12-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game83.8
AustraliaNBL W
Women2022-23
Meetings · Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W
04 Jan 2026
CANB77
PERT74
29 Nov 2025
CANB67
PERT91
29 Dec 2024
CANB80
PERT89
14 Nov 2024
CANB90
PERT92
11 Jan 2024
CANB81
PERT75
04 Mar 2023
CANB94
PERT107
21 Dec 2022
CANB83
PERT97
14 Jan 2022
CANB69
PERT88
26 Nov 2020
CANB73
PERT70
22 Jan 2020
CANB89
PERT75
24 Nov 2019
CANB84
PERT66
25 Jan 2019
CANB95
PERT76
16 Dec 2018
CANB92
PERT60
29 Dec 2017
CANB74
PERT69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra Capitals W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth Lynx W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#6
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A30/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H07/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
92-85
92
85
+7
H11/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
57-78
57
78
-21
A14/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A19/01
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
81-97
81
97
-16
H21/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
A27/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
H02/02
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H18/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
95-103
95
103
-8
H25/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
16-19
14-21
22-24
18-21
21-21
11-23
12-12
18-20
21-20
24-20
29-25
15-29
19-13
12-24
11-12
10-21
17-22
17-28
30-15
22-28
18-34
20-25
21-10
23-22
16-18
18-15
23-26
23-25
22-8
18-24
22-28
27-14
10-27
12-19
23-18
20-22
34-22
18-33
23-26
163.6Avg total
78.0Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.290.0165.2-14.810%
Season at home (10)81.991.6173.5-9.720%
Season away (10)68.588.3156.8-19.80%
Last 10 (10)78.085.6163.6-7.620%
Last 5 (5)85.089.8174.8-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)74.290.2164.4-16.09%
vs Similar (4)75.879.8155.5-4.050%
vs Weaker (4)76.047.8123.8+28.2100%
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perth Lynx WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southside W
#3
W
94-86
94
86
+8
H13/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
87-68
87
68
+19
A21/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
92-88
92
88
+4
A25/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A29/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H01/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
91-95
91
95
-4
H04/02
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
108-82
108
82
+26
A16/02
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
83-102
83
102
-19
A19/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
99-78
99
78
+21
H25/02
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
97-93
97
93
+4
A02/03
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-22
22-33
17-18
24-13
20-18
26-26
23-6
18-18
22-26
34-12
24-22
12-28
23-22
33-24
17-16
18-20
21-22
17-31
22-11
21-27
17-20
25-18
22-25
27-32
18-25
34-24
31-24
25-9
16-35
22-24
23-21
22-22
25-20
28-20
25-19
21-19
25-20
32-18
25-27
15-28
178.8Avg total
92.3Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.083.8170.8+3.260%
Season at home (11)84.981.4166.3+3.555%
Season away (9)89.686.8176.3+2.867%
Last 10 (10)92.386.5178.8+5.870%
Last 5 (5)95.690.0185.6+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.893.0177.8-8.217%
vs Similar (8)82.684.4167.0-1.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.275.9163.2+11.388%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
Canberra Capitals WPerth Lynx W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A30/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H07/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H11/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A14/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A19/01
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
40-62
40
62
-22
H21/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A27/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H02/02
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H18/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H25/02
NBL W
81.1Avg total
38.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.742.982.6-3.331%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.143.287.2+0.946%-
Last 30 away (16)36.142.878.8-6.719%-
Last 10 (10)38.842.381.1-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.087.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.045.083.0-7.023%-
vs Similar (4)39.242.581.8-3.225%-
vs Weaker (3)52.328.380.7+24.0100%-
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southside W
#3
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H13/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A21/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A25/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A29/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H01/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H04/02
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A16/02
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
38-59
38
59
-21
A19/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H25/02
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A02/03
NBL W
95.1Avg total
49.1Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.342.186.3+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.341.484.7+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)45.442.988.2+2.557%-
Last 10 (10)49.146.095.1+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)48.444.893.2+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.747.391.0-3.733%-
vs Similar (8)43.145.888.9-2.625%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.138.283.3+6.881%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23HGeelong United W95-103
18/02/23HAdelaide Lightning W72-78
02/02/23HAdelaide Lightning W97-90 OT
27/01/23ATownsville W80-81
21/01/23HSouthside W81-97
19/01/23ABendigo W74-86
14/01/23AGeelong United W57-78
11/01/23HBendigo W92-85
07/01/23HTownsville W62-77
30/12/22ASydney W70-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/23AAdelaide Lightning W97-93
25/02/23HBendigo W99-78
19/02/23ASouthside W83-102
16/02/23AAdelaide Lightning W108-82
04/02/23HTownsville W91-95
01/02/23HTownsville W81-91
29/01/23AGeelong United W91-82
25/01/23ABendigo W92-88
21/01/23ASydney W87-68
13/01/23HSouthside W94-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL10%
HomeWLWLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %10%20%0%
Points / game75.281.968.5
Allowed / game90.091.688.3
Point differential-14.8-9.7-19.8
Avg total165.2173.5156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Perth Lynx W
NBL W 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWWLLW55%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %60%55%67%
Points / game87.084.989.6
Allowed / game83.881.486.8
Point differential+3.2+3.5+2.8
Avg total170.8166.3176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%36%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W2016480%85.277.0+8.2
2 Southside W2015575%85.075.8+9.2
3 Geelong United W2014670%86.878.0+8.8
4 Perth Lynx W2012860%87.083.8+3.2
5 Bendigo W21111052%78.581.9-3.4
6 Sydney W2061430%74.380.5-6.2
7 Adelaide Lightning W2151624%81.185.8-4.7
8 Canberra Capitals W2021810%75.290.0-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canberra Capitals W2123292194
Perth Lynx W30262328107
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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