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Canberra Capitals W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 97-90 (OT)
23-25 22-8 18-24 22-28 12-5
Position#8
Record1-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game89.9
Canberra Capitals W 🏆
Australia
vs
Adelaide Lightning W
Australia
Position#7
Record4-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game82.9
AustraliaNBL W
Women2022-23
Meetings · Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W
09 Dec 2025
CANB76
ADEL71
11 Jan 2025
CANB91
ADEL76
21 Dec 2023
CANB86
ADEL73
05 Nov 2023
CANB79
ADEL82
18 Feb 2023
CANB72
ADEL78
02 Feb 2023
CANB97
ADEL90
19 Dec 2021
CANB62
ADEL88
04 Dec 2020
CANB85
ADEL65
01 Feb 2020
CANB73
ADEL71
13 Oct 2019
CANB90
ADEL83
16 Feb 2019
CANB93
ADEL73
09 Feb 2019
CANB88
ADEL67
21 Oct 2018
CANB79
ADEL75
17 Dec 2017
CANB88
ADEL87
08 Oct 2017
CANB84
ADEL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra Capitals W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
83-97
83
97
-14
H21/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A23/12
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
54-76
54
76
-22
A28/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A30/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H07/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
92-85
92
85
+7
H11/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
57-78
57
78
-21
A14/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A19/01
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
81-97
81
97
-16
H21/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
A27/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
25-22
21-23
15-30
18-23
22-19
20-21
12-24
14-24
11-16
11-15
18-21
18-17
16-19
14-21
22-24
18-21
21-21
11-23
12-12
18-20
21-20
24-20
29-25
15-29
19-13
12-24
11-12
10-21
17-22
17-28
30-15
22-28
18-34
20-25
21-10
23-22
16-18
18-15
23-26
157.0Avg total
72.5Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)72.989.9162.8-16.96%
Season at home (7)79.392.1171.4-12.914%
Season away (10)68.588.3156.8-19.80%
Last 10 (10)72.584.5157.0-12.010%
Last 5 (5)76.885.4162.2-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)72.090.2162.2-18.25%
vs Similar (5)75.284.2159.4-9.040%
vs Weaker (6)80.750.8131.5+29.8100%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#5
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A10/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
64-89
64
89
-25
H18/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
100-106 OT
100
106
-6
A22/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H28/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A30/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
93-68
93
68
+25
H05/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H12/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
68-86
68
86
-18
H14/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
63-92
63
92
-29
A20/01
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H28/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
18-24
19-18
18-19
23-20
17-25
9-28
15-16
33-20
16-21
23-30
19-20
18-21
12-16
21-20
15-21
24-17
13-21
12-23
23-21
23-24
25-19
17-14
28-11
23-15
26-17
12-30
16-19
24-29
7-23
21-21
16-13
15-17
15-21
18-30
15-24
21-16
21-21
15-21
15-15
158.9Avg total
75.0Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.382.9162.2-3.625%
Season at home (9)78.777.1155.8+1.644%
Season away (7)80.190.3170.4-10.10%
Last 10 (10)75.083.9158.9-8.910%
Last 5 (5)74.680.0154.6-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.784.4159.1-9.713%
vs Similar (7)74.475.1149.6-0.729%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)78.071.0149.0+7.075%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -6.8-6.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -6.8-6.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
Canberra Capitals WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H21/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A23/12
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A28/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A30/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H07/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H11/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A14/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A19/01
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
40-62
40
62
-22
H21/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A27/01
NBL W
79.5Avg total
36.4Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.942.582.4-2.634%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.241.885.9+2.450%-
Last 30 away (17)36.943.079.9-6.124%-
Last 10 (10)36.443.179.5-6.710%-
Last 5 (5)35.845.481.2-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.845.982.7-9.116%-
vs Similar (5)41.443.484.8-2.040%-
vs Weaker (5)50.028.678.6+21.4100%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A10/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H18/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A22/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H28/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A30/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H05/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H12/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
31-52
31
52
-21
H14/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A20/01
NBL W
Southside W
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H28/01
NBL W
80.4Avg total
39.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.677.6+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.936.674.5+1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)40.340.881.1-0.543%-
Last 10 (10)39.441.080.4-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.480.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.541.981.5-2.427%-
vs Similar (7)39.737.677.3+2.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)37.433.170.5+4.262%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Canberra Capitals W wins
5
Adelaide Lightning W wins
DateGameScore
30/11/22Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W90-80
17/03/22Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W81-50
30/01/22Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W67-80
19/12/21Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W62-88
04/12/20Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W85-65
11/11/20Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W85-73 OT
01/02/20Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W73-71
27/12/19Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W78-68 OT
13/10/19Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W90-83
16/02/19Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W93-73
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/23ATownsville W80-81
21/01/23HSouthside W81-97
19/01/23ABendigo W74-86
14/01/23AGeelong United W57-78
11/01/23HBendigo W92-85
07/01/23HTownsville W62-77
30/12/22ASydney W70-81
28/12/22ASouthside W54-76
23/12/22ASydney W72-87
21/12/22HPerth Lynx W83-97
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/23HSouthside W72-73
20/01/23ATownsville W63-92
14/01/23HBendigo W68-86
12/01/23HSydney W77-81
05/01/23HTownsville W93-68
30/12/22APerth Lynx W72-82
28/12/22HBendigo W66-78
22/12/22AGeelong United W100-106 OT
18/12/22HGeelong United W64-89
10/12/22ABendigo W75-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL6%
HomeLLLWL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %6%14%0%
Points / game72.979.368.5
Allowed / game89.992.188.3
Point differential-16.9-12.9-19.8
Avg total162.8171.4156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeLWLLL44%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %25%44%0%
Points / game79.378.780.1
Allowed / game82.977.190.3
Point differential-3.6+1.6-10.1
Avg total162.2155.8170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southside W1612475%85.976.8+9.1
2 Geelong United W1511473%84.676.9+7.7
3 Townsville W1511473%83.876.9+6.9
4 Bendigo W1611569%81.478.4+3.1
5 Perth Lynx W159660%84.181.7+2.4
6 Adelaide Lightning W1641225%79.382.9-3.6
7 Sydney W1641225%74.280.8-6.5
8 Canberra Capitals W171166%72.989.9-16.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Canberra Capitals W232218221297
Adelaide Lightning W2582428590
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