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Tajfun Sentjur vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 95-93
23-16 17-28 26-31 29-18
Position#9
Record6-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game82.8
Tajfun Sentjur 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Rogaska
Slovenia
Position#8
Record5-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game76.5
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 13· Osnovna sola Hrusevec Sentjur
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tajfun Sentjur v Rogaska
13 Feb 2027
TSE v ROGA
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
TSE82
ROGA87
27 Sep 2025
TSE84
ROGA88
20 Oct 2024
TSE75
ROGA79
23 Dec 2023
TSE95
ROGA93
06 May 2023
TSE87
ROGA92
19 Dec 2022
TSE68
ROGA79
15 Nov 2022
TSE83
ROGA88
09 Apr 2022
TSE89
ROGA77
04 Dec 2021
TSE90
ROGA88
22 May 2021
TSE101
ROGA94
23 Dec 2020
TSE88
ROGA95
02 Nov 2019
TSE71
ROGA86
13 Oct 2018
TSE77
ROGA80
23 Apr 2018
TSE0
ROGA20
13 Feb 2018
TSE76
ROGA86
28 Oct 2016
TSE57
ROGA60
13 Apr 2016
TSE77
ROGA84
28 May 2015
TSE67
ROGA65
24 May 2015
TSE88
ROGA81
18 Apr 2015
TSE89
ROGA71
10 Jan 2015
TSE76
ROGA65
14 Dec 2013
TSE59
ROGA78
15 Dec 2012
TSE88
ROGA69
10 Dec 2011
TSE73
ROGA69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tajfun Sentjur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tajfun SentjurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSentjur
Date
Competition
Polzela
#7
W
96-79
96
79
+17
no box
A07/11
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
80-83
80
83
-3
72avg 68
A11/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
90-91 OT
90
91
-1
no box
H15/11
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#7
L
91-102
91
102
-11
no box
H21/11
Slovenian Cup
LTH Castings
#7
W
82-73
82
73
+9
77avg 68
A24/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
70-104
70
104
-34
63avg 68
A29/11
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
73-87
73
87
-14
59avg 68
H08/12
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#2
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
H11/12
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
no box
A13/12
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#11
W
102-84
102
84
+18
97avg 68
H16/12
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
23-17
25-20
22-24
26-28
27-19
7-13
20-23
14-27
25-20
19-18
25-18
27-25
27-22
14-31
23-24
29-13
13-19
17-20
23-21
16-22
20-25
14-32
20-25
21-25
14-19
15-18
23-25
16-16
21-21
16-20
20-25
22-23
27-20
17-19
15-23
27-21
28-26
23-18
24-19
170.8Avg total
83.8Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.882.8161.6-4.150%
Season at home (4)84.086.0170.0-2.025%
Season away (8)76.181.2157.4-5.162%
Last 10 (10)83.887.0170.8-3.230%
Last 5 (5)79.888.4168.2-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.787.8166.5-9.217%
vs Similar (7)83.676.3159.9+7.371%
vs Weaker (4)88.275.5163.8+12.8100%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Polzela
#11
L
73-75
73
75
-2
66avg 75
A18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zoltasti Troti
#18
W
88-67
88
67
+21
no box
H21/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
72-67
72
67
+5
61avg 75
H25/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zoltasti Troti
#18
W
78-61
78
61
+17
no box
A29/11
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
63-94
63
94
-31
51avg 75
H02/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
84-80
84
80
+4
87avg 75
H04/12
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
84-93
84
93
-9
73avg 75
A09/12
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
no box
A12/12
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
89-92
89
92
-3
87avg 75
H18/12
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#8
W
95-60
95
60
+35
no box
H20/12
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
20-10
20-24
15-21
27-15
23-21
14-16
24-15
13-16
25-23
15-21
19-7
22-14
14-14
22-11
20-22
13-20
16-29
19-24
15-21
20-21
20-17
25-22
19-20
12-14
24-29
22-23
26-27
30-21
29-21
27-21
13-24
23-25
29-27
22-18
15-22
18-22
26-17
26-6
25-15
160.1Avg total
82.5Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.176.5150.6-2.442%
Season at home (7)81.180.7161.9+0.457%
Season away (5)64.270.6134.8-6.420%
Last 10 (10)82.577.6160.1+4.960%
Last 5 (5)90.282.4172.6+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.887.8166.6-9.040%
vs Similar (13)77.578.9156.5-1.454%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)89.877.2167.0+12.767%
This opponent (Tajfun Sentjur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
Tajfun SentjurRogaska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tajfun SentjurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polzela
#7
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A07/11
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A11/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H15/11
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#7
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H21/11
Slovenian Cup
LTH Castings
#7
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A24/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A29/11
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H08/12
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H11/12
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#2
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A13/12
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#11
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H16/12
Liga Nova KBM
87.5Avg total
44.9Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.881.2-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.941.882.8-0.933%-
Last 30 away (18)39.940.280.1-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)44.942.687.5+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.686.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.942.682.5-2.639%-
vs Similar (7)41.437.679.0+3.957%-
vs Weaker (4)42.839.882.5+3.050%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polzela
#11
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zoltasti Troti
#18
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H21/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H25/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zoltasti Troti
#18
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A29/11
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H02/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/12
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A09/12
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#8
W
59-42
59
42
+17
A12/12
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H18/12
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H20/12
Slovenian Cup
81.8Avg total
42.2Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.140.883.9+2.262%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.242.186.3+2.262%-
Last 30 away (13)41.639.380.9+2.362%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.681.8+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.242.889.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.543.384.8-1.850%-
vs Similar (12)42.441.483.8+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)46.337.784.0+8.7100%-
This opponent (Tajfun Sentjur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tajfun Sentjurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tajfun Sentjur: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.5
53.6%
52.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.3
32.1%
33.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.314.3
78.1%
74.0%14.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.7
54.9%
52.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.1
29.9%
33.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.013.2
69.5%
74.0%13.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tajfun Sentjur
WLLLLWLLLW
Rogaska
WLWLWLWWWL
#9
League position
#8
+0.5
Net rating
-2.6
104.8
Offensive rating
102.7
104.3
Defensive rating
105.3
51.1%
Effective FG%
50.7%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
18.7%
Turnover %
21.3%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.1%
3-point %
29.9%
59.0%
Assist %
69.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 102.7Defence104.3 · 105.3Shooting51.1% · 50.7%3-point %32.1% · 29.9%Ball care18.7% · 21.3%Off. rebounds28.7% · 33.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Tajfun Sentjur   ■ Rogaska
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tajfun Sentjur wins
5
Rogaska wins
DateGameScore
21/10/23Rogaska v Tajfun Sentjur80-86
06/05/23Tajfun Sentjur v Rogaska87-92
19/12/22Tajfun Sentjur v Rogaska68-79
22/11/22Rogaska v Tajfun Sentjur75-88
15/11/22Tajfun Sentjur v Rogaska83-88
08/10/22Rogaska v Tajfun Sentjur88-90 OT
09/04/22Tajfun Sentjur v Rogaska89-77
05/03/22Rogaska v Tajfun Sentjur94-77
23/02/22Rogaska v Tajfun Sentjur97-86
04/12/21Tajfun Sentjur v Rogaska90-88 OT
Tajfun Sentjurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HPolzela102-84
13/12/23ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek81-85
11/12/23HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek73-82
08/12/23HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek73-87
29/11/23AHelios Domzale70-104
24/11/23ALTH Castings82-73
21/11/23HPolzela91-102
15/11/23HKK Krka Novo mesto90-91 OT
11/11/23APerspektiva Ilirija80-83
07/11/23APolzela96-79
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23HVojnik95-60
18/12/23HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek89-92
12/12/23AVojnik99-87
09/12/23ALTH Castings84-93
04/12/23HKK Krka Novo mesto84-80
02/12/23HPerspektiva Ilirija63-94
29/11/23AZoltasti Troti78-61
25/11/23HKK Triglav Kranj72-67
21/11/23HZoltasti Troti88-67
18/11/23APolzela73-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tajfun Sentjur
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %50%25%62%
Points / game78.884.076.1
Allowed / game82.886.081.2
Point differential-4.1-2.0-5.1
Avg total161.6170.0157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %8%25%0%
Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL42%
HomeWWLWL57%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %42%57%20%
Points / game74.181.164.2
Allowed / game76.580.770.6
Point differential-2.4+0.4-6.4
Avg total150.6161.9134.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto1311285%91.276.9+14.3
2 Helios Domzale129375%82.475.2+7.2
3 LTH Castings127558%88.786.2+2.5
4 Perspektiva Ilirija137654%77.376.3+1.0
5 Sencur126650%78.580.3-1.8
6 Tajfun Sentjur126650%78.882.8-4.1
7 Rogaska125742%74.176.5-2.4
8 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek124833%83.685.7-2.1
9 KK Triglav Kranj134931%73.778.3-4.6
10 Polzela1331023%80.290.3-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tajfun Sentjur2317262995
Rogaska1628311893
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