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Sencur vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 92-68
22-21 19-20 36-11 15-16
Position#5
Record5-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game78.8
Sencur 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#7
Record6-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game79.2
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 14· Sportna dvorana Sencur
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sencur v Rogaska
05 Dec 2026
SENC v ROGA
upcoming
09 Mar 2026
SENC79
ROGA78
14 Feb 2026
SENC82
ROGA61
10 Jan 2025
SENC92
ROGA68
02 Mar 2024
SENC69
ROGA61
05 Jan 2024
SENC74
ROGA73
16 Apr 2023
SENC92
ROGA73
05 Nov 2022
SENC86
ROGA59
04 May 2022
SENC92
ROGA96
13 Nov 2021
SENC92
ROGA62
17 Apr 2021
SENC87
ROGA90
17 Oct 2020
SENC78
ROGA77
04 Jan 2020
SENC92
ROGA53
27 Oct 2018
SENC79
ROGA81
14 Apr 2018
SENC75
ROGA82
03 Feb 2018
SENC79
ROGA64
08 Jan 2018
SENC78
ROGA52
10 Jan 2017
SENC75
ROGA76
10 Dec 2016
SENC63
ROGA77
28 Nov 2015
SENC72
ROGA70
22 Oct 2014
SENC61
ROGA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
75-76
75
76
-1
66avg 67
H09/11
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
H12/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
63-87
63
87
-24
51avg 67
A15/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#5
L
87-93
87
93
-6
no box
A27/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
65avg 67
H01/12
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
W
94-77
94
77
+17
86avg 67
H09/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
69avg 67
A14/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#5
W
90-89
90
89
+1
no box
H17/12
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
66-61
66
61
+5
58avg 67
H21/12
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#10
W
94-75
94
75
+19
86avg 67
A04/01
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
17-20
15-19
19-11
21-26
15-19
19-18
20-18
10-26
16-24
19-17
18-20
22-26
24-23
18-26
23-18
18-33
21-22
22-16
11-15
20-21
23-20
30-11
21-25
13-23
27-20
15-29
18-20
19-23
16-15
26-22
29-29
22-18
15-13
14-17
15-13
39-11
18-16
19-23
18-25
160.6Avg total
78.9Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.578.8154.3-3.438%
Season at home (6)79.277.3156.5+1.850%
Season away (7)72.380.1152.4-7.929%
Last 10 (10)78.981.7160.6-2.840%
Last 5 (5)83.478.8162.2+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.788.3165.0-11.59%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.181.8162.9-0.858%
vs Weaker (6)81.271.2152.3+10.083%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
79-75
79
75
+4
78avg 69
A20/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
79-67
79
67
+12
66avg 69
H26/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
70-75
70
75
-5
66avg 69
A04/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
86avg 69
H09/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
67-97
67
97
-30
54avg 69
A13/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
81-90
81
90
-9
73avg 69
H30/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
70avg 69
H07/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
75-68
75
68
+7
72avg 69
A14/12
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#10
L
85-92
85
92
-7
74avg 69
H21/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
70-68
70
68
+2
63avg 69
H06/01
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
23-22
15-20
19-15
18-15
23-20
16-18
22-14
13-18
29-16
9-20
19-21
20-23
15-20
27-17
15-17
26-20
17-24
4-29
20-24
25-27
18-15
14-22
24-26
22-23
23-22
11-20
25-21
22-18
22-24
13-14
18-12
22-15
24-27
27-23
12-27
17-23
23-15
15-14
15-16
157.9Avg total
77.7Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.679.2155.8-2.546%
Season at home (7)82.979.0161.9+3.957%
Season away (6)69.379.3148.7-10.033%
Last 10 (10)77.780.2157.9-2.550%
Last 5 (5)78.480.8159.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.591.0165.5-16.510%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.973.8152.6+5.164%
vs Weaker (6)78.877.5156.3+1.350%
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
SencurRogaska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H09/11
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H12/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A15/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#5
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A27/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H01/12
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H09/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H17/12
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H21/12
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#10
W
57-27
57
27
+30
A04/01
Liga Nova KBM
82.5Avg total
40.0Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.083.1-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.642.985.5-0.250%-
Last 30 away (16)39.841.281.0-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)40.042.582.5-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)42.436.078.4+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.645.084.6-5.418%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.542.684.1-1.150%-
vs Weaker (6)41.835.277.0+6.767%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A20/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H26/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A04/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H09/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A13/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H30/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H07/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A14/12
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#10
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H21/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H06/01
Liga Nova KBM
82.9Avg total
42.4Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.879.7+0.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.339.181.5+3.273%-
Last 30 away (15)37.340.577.9-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)42.440.582.9+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.885.4+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.843.482.2-4.630%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.737.076.7+2.779%-
vs Weaker (6)41.840.582.3+1.350%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.4
49.9%
53.3%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.7
27.5%
32.6%20.1
🏀 Free throws20.213.5
66.8%
72.0%13.5
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.0
52.4%
53.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.5
31.0%
32.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.414.7
68.7%
72.0%14.7
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sencur
WWWLWLLLLL
Rogaska
WLWLLLWLWW
#5
League position
#7
-4.1
Net rating
-2.7
98.5
Offensive rating
104.5
102.6
Defensive rating
107.2
46.6%
Effective FG%
50.1%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
19.3%
Turnover %
17.0%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
27.5%
3-point %
31.0%
58.3%
Assist %
64.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 104.5Defence102.6 · 107.2Shooting46.6% · 50.1%3-point %27.5% · 31.0%Ball care19.3% · 17.0%Off. rebounds33.4% · 28.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Sencur   ■ Rogaska
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sencur wins
5
Rogaska wins
DateGameScore
26/10/24Rogaska v Sencur79-67
02/03/24Sencur v Rogaska69-61
05/01/24Sencur v Rogaska74-73
28/10/23Rogaska v Sencur84-67
16/04/23Sencur v Rogaska92-73
21/01/23Rogaska v Sencur76-80
05/11/22Sencur v Rogaska86-59
07/05/22Rogaska v Sencur87-72
04/05/22Sencur v Rogaska92-96
29/01/22Rogaska v Sencur86-78
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25ALTH Castings94-75
21/12/24HZlatorog Lasko66-61
17/12/24HKK Triglav Kranj90-89
14/12/24APerspektiva Ilirija73-92
09/12/24HHelios Domzale94-77
01/12/24HKK Krka Novo mesto72-86
27/11/24AKK Triglav Kranj87-93
15/11/24AKK Triglav Kranj63-87
12/11/24HLTH Castings75-81
09/11/24HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek75-76
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/25HTajfun Sentjur70-68
21/12/24HLTH Castings85-92
14/12/24AZlatorog Lasko75-68
07/12/24HPerspektiva Ilirija81-86
30/11/24HHelios Domzale81-90
13/11/24AKK Krka Novo mesto67-97
09/11/24HKK Triglav Kranj90-84 OT
04/11/24ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek70-75
26/10/24HSencur79-67
20/10/24ATajfun Sentjur79-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW38%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%50%29%
Points / game75.579.272.3
Allowed / game78.877.380.1
Point differential-3.4+1.8-7.9
Avg total154.3156.5152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %8%17%0%
Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW46%
HomeWLLLW57%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%57%33%
Points / game76.682.969.3
Allowed / game79.279.079.3
Point differential-2.5+3.9-10.0
Avg total155.8161.9148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto1311285%87.774.8+12.8
2 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek1310377%79.177.4+1.7
3 Helios Domzale139469%80.071.0+9.0
4 Perspektiva Ilirija149564%84.678.4+6.2
5 Rogaska136746%76.679.2-2.5
6 KK Triglav Kranj125742%76.877.8-1.1
7 Sencur135838%75.578.8-3.4
8 Tajfun Sentjur135838%73.578.9-5.5
9 Zlatorog Lasko1331023%73.080.1-7.1
10 LTH Castings1321115%71.482.2-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sencur2219361592
Rogaska2120111668
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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