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Tarleton vs Abilene Christian Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 65-62 (OT)
22-26 36-32 7-4
Position#255
Record12-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game72.9
Tarleton 🏆
USA
vs
Abilene Christian
USA
Position#264
Record12-13
FormLLLWW
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game70.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tarleton v Abilene Christian
16 Feb 2026
TARL65
ABIL62
08 Jan 2026
TARL80
ABIL84
27 Feb 2025
TARL67
ABIL52
18 Jan 2024
TARL79
ABIL71
14 Jan 2023
TARL72
ABIL63
12 Feb 2022
TARL63
ABIL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Abilene Christian winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#41
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
H03/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H09/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
105-106 OT
105
106
-1
A16/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A18/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A22/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
55-83
55
83
-28
H30/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H31/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A08/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-28
35-36
38-46
42-38
44-52
48-40
31-34
40-41
24-20
40-51
32-35
23-48
30-29
29-36
30-28
25-28
33-34
29-25
32-26
27-47
143.9Avg total
69.1Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.772.9148.6+2.848%
Season at home (12)79.668.3147.9+11.267%
Season away (13)72.277.2149.3-5.031%
Last 10 (10)69.174.8143.9-5.720%
Last 5 (5)58.067.2125.2-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)64.475.3139.7-10.910%
vs Similar ◀ (12)70.872.7143.4-1.942%
vs Weaker (5)90.467.4157.8+23.080%
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abilene ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#255
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A09/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A10/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
58-74
58
74
-16
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
52-74
52
74
-22
A18/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H30/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H31/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A06/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A08/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H13/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
46-38
38-42
29-37
43-45
29-46
29-28
27-44
25-30
31-42
39-34
39-33
37-46
24-26
31-42
26-32
37-33
24-27
43-36
26-32
47-27
139.0Avg total
67.0Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)70.470.9141.4-0.548%
Season at home (14)74.668.1142.7+6.664%
Season away (11)65.174.5139.6-9.527%
Last 10 (10)67.072.0139.0-5.030%
Last 5 (5)66.866.8133.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)65.875.4141.1-9.629%
vs Similar ◀ (10)70.071.4141.4-1.450%
vs Weaker (5)75.059.6134.6+15.480%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -5.6-5.62nd half2nd half: -5.2-5.22nd half: +0.6+0.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -5.6-5.62nd half2nd half: -5.2-5.22nd half: +0.6+0.6
TarletonAbilene Christian
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#41
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H03/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H09/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A16/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A18/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
24-20
24
20
+4
A22/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H30/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H31/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A14/02
NCAA
65.5Avg total
32.3Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.034.070.0+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.532.071.5+7.571%-
Last 30 away (16)32.935.868.7-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)32.333.265.5-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)31.430.461.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.236.169.3-2.930%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.232.165.2+1.167%-
vs Weaker (5)45.638.083.6+7.660%-
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abilene ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#255
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A09/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A10/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A18/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H30/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H31/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A06/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A08/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H13/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H14/02
NCAA
65.8Avg total
30.1Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.034.567.5-1.533%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.833.768.5+1.141%-
Last 30 away (13)30.735.566.2-4.823%-
Last 10 (10)30.135.765.8-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)27.830.057.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.136.567.6-5.414%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.035.567.5-3.530%-
vs Weaker (5)38.829.468.2+9.480%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tarleton wins
6
Abilene Christian wins
DateGameScore
14/02/26Abilene Christian v Tarleton73-59
09/01/26Tarleton v Abilene Christian80-84
28/02/25Tarleton v Abilene Christian67-52
24/01/25Abilene Christian v Tarleton67-56
02/02/24Abilene Christian v Tarleton73-76 OT
19/01/24Tarleton v Abilene Christian79-71
14/01/23Tarleton v Abilene Christian72-63
31/12/22Abilene Christian v Tarleton69-63
06/03/22Abilene Christian v Tarleton61-56
13/02/22Tarleton v Abilene Christian63-77
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AAbilene Christian59-73
08/02/26ASouthern Utah62-59
06/02/26ACalifornia Baptist55-56
31/01/26HUtah Tech59-65
30/01/26HUtah Valley State55-83
22/01/26AUT Arlington64-71
18/01/26AUtah Tech71-75
16/01/26ASouthern Utah105-106 OT
09/01/26HAbilene Christian80-84
03/01/26HCalifornia Baptist81-76 OT
Abilene Christianlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HTarleton73-59
13/02/26HUT Arlington67-63
08/02/26ACalifornia Baptist63-65
06/02/26AUtah Valley State55-68
31/01/26HSouthern Utah76-79
30/01/26HUtah Tech70-76
18/01/26ASouthern Utah52-74
16/01/26HCalifornia Baptist58-74
10/01/26AUT Arlington72-82
09/01/26ATarleton84-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL48%
HomeLWLLL67%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %48%67%31%
Points / game75.779.672.2
Allowed / game72.968.377.2
Point differential+2.8+11.2-5.0
Avg total148.6147.9149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Abilene Christian
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW48%
HomeLLLWW64%
AwayWLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %48%64%27%
Points / game70.474.665.1
Allowed / game70.968.174.5
Point differential-0.5+6.6-9.5
Avg total141.4142.7139.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 California Baptist2619773%72.968.7+4.2
2 Utah Valley State2518772%81.568.1+13.4
3 Utah Tech27161159%76.973.6+3.3
4 UT Arlington25141156%72.268.1+4.0
5 Tarleton25121348%75.772.9+2.8
6 Abilene Christian25121348%70.470.9-0.5
7 Southern Utah2691735%76.179.6-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Tarleton2236765
Abilene Christian2632462
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