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Tarleton vs California Baptist Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 67-57
31-20 36-37
Position#308
Record7-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Position#179
Record8-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game74.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tarleton v California Baptist
03 Jan 2026
TARL81
CALI76
16 Jan 2025
TARL67
CALI57
24 Feb 2024
TARL82
CALI65
20 Jan 2022
TARL84
CALI88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
California Baptist winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#254
L
71-87
71
87
-16
H02/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#575
W
90-50
90
50
+40
H04/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
L
51-66
51
66
-15
A08/12
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A17/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A19/12
NCAA
Howard Payne
#430
W
100-83
100
83
+17
H21/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H29/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H05/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A10/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-53
40-34
55-22
35-28
21-29
30-37
23-32
39-35
31-25
30-41
51-36
49-47
39-26
31-34
38-32
39-42
41-31
33-35
25-22
29-36
138.7Avg total
71.0Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)65.371.7137.0-6.339%
Season at home (8)76.170.5146.6+5.662%
Season away (10)56.772.6129.3-15.920%
Last 10 (10)71.067.7138.7+3.350%
Last 5 (5)75.068.2143.2+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)59.777.0136.7-17.325%
vs Similar (9)72.169.1141.2+3.067%
vs Weaker (8)81.669.0150.6+12.688%
This opponent (California Baptist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
California BaptistUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H27/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
A28/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
L
59-74
59
74
-15
A01/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A12/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A17/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
86-69
86
69
+17
A21/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H29/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H31/12
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
61-59
61
59
+2
H05/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-45
45-34
37-27
28-38
29-32
30-42
33-40
42-41
23-25
41-50
36-35
50-34
33-34
46-39
29-25
34-46
27-30
34-29
25-29
44-46
145.6Avg total
71.9Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.874.6149.3+0.250%
Season at home (10)75.773.8149.5+1.960%
Season away (6)73.275.8149.0-2.733%
Last 10 (10)71.973.7145.6-1.840%
Last 5 (5)71.669.4141.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)65.775.6141.3-9.90%
vs Similar (14)68.671.1139.7-2.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)82.771.3154.0+11.383%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -0.5-0.5
TarletonCalifornia Baptist
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#254
L
31-53
31
53
-22
H02/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#575
W
55-22
55
22
+33
H04/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A08/12
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A17/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A19/12
NCAA
Howard Payne
#430
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H21/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H29/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H05/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A10/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A12/01
NCAA
66.3Avg total
35.5Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.433.867.2-0.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.334.171.4+3.171%-
Last 30 away (16)29.933.663.5-3.650%-
Last 10 (10)35.530.866.3+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)38.829.468.2+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)26.638.565.1-11.917%-
vs Similar (9)35.030.165.1+4.989%-
vs Weaker (8)40.431.071.4+9.488%-
This opponent (California Baptist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
California BaptistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H27/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A28/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A01/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A12/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A17/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A21/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H29/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H31/12
NCAA
Seattle
#252
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H05/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A11/01
NCAA
62.6Avg total
30.4Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.034.465.4-3.427%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.034.166.1-2.138%-
Last 30 away (14)29.934.764.6-4.914%-
Last 10 (10)30.432.262.6-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)30.030.660.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)28.835.764.5-6.920%-
vs Similar (14)30.434.164.6-3.714%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)36.032.868.8+3.267%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tarleton wins
5
California Baptist wins
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25AUtah Tech54-58
10/01/25ASouthern Utah74-66
05/01/25HUT Arlington77-74
29/12/24HFlorida A&M70-60
21/12/24HHoward Payne100-83
19/12/24AOklahoma State61-66
17/12/24AUTEP62-67
08/12/24AUCF Knights51-66
04/12/24HDallas Christian90-50
02/12/24HIndiana State71-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25AUtah Valley State69-75
05/01/25HSeattle61-59
31/12/24HUC Irvine63-71
29/12/24HJackson State79-73
21/12/24AFresno State86-69
17/12/24AMiddle Tenn. St.64-75
12/12/24ASan Diego State75-81
01/12/24AUCF Knights59-74
28/11/24AFresno State86-81 OT
27/11/24HSMU Mustangs77-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL39%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %39%62%20%
Points / game65.376.156.7
Allowed / game71.770.572.6
Point differential-6.3+5.6-15.9
Avg total137.0146.6129.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
California Baptist
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %50%60%33%
Points / game74.875.773.2
Allowed / game74.673.875.8
Point differential+0.2+1.9-2.7
Avg total149.3149.5149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State1711665%75.267.9+7.3
2 Southern Utah179853%75.873.3+2.5
3 California Baptist168850%74.874.6+0.2
4 Abilene Christian178947%71.670.8+0.9
5 UT Arlington1771041%76.374.2+2.1
6 Tarleton1871139%65.371.7-6.3
7 Utah Tech1761135%70.674.6-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton313667
California Baptist203757
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