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Tarleton vs Sam Houston St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 59-64
27-34 32-30
Position#183
Record14-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game67.7
Tarleton
USA
vs
Sam Houston St. 🏆
USA
Position#20
Record19-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game59.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Tarleton v Sam Houston St.
09 Nov 2024
TARL62
SAM 91
18 Feb 2023
TARL59
SAM 64
06 Jan 2022
TARL75
SAM 64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sam Houston St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#227
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H14/01
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
47-67
47
67
-20
A20/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
L
48-77
48
77
-29
A22/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H27/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H29/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H04/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A10/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A12/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-27
44-36
22-24
25-43
19-33
29-44
50-28
24-44
45-21
36-41
24-36
41-32
24-29
45-35
31-25
31-47
45-32
30-39
32-32
28-33
133.4Avg total
65.3Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)70.567.7138.2+2.852%
Season at home (12)79.162.7141.8+16.483%
Season away (15)63.671.7135.3-8.127%
Last 10 (10)65.368.1133.4-2.850%
Last 5 (5)66.268.0134.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)59.569.0128.5-9.50%
vs Similar (16)65.070.8135.8-5.838%
vs Weaker (9)76.760.4137.1+16.289%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#183
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H07/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A13/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
78-53
78
53
+25
A15/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H20/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H21/01
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H27/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A02/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A04/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A12/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-24
31-44
35-49
39-37
35-29
43-24
36-41
40-30
36-33
47-31
34-16
21-24
30-27
37-38
28-46
30-24
37-32
40-30
34-29
32-27
134.4Avg total
70.9Scored
63.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.359.2134.5+16.076%
Season at home (10)84.553.6138.1+30.990%
Season away (15)69.163.0132.1+6.167%
Last 10 (10)70.963.5134.4+7.480%
Last 5 (5)64.658.6123.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)53.569.0122.5-15.50%
vs Similar (2)66.052.0118.0+14.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)75.058.9133.9+16.277%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: -6.1-6.12nd half: +5.1+5.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: -6.1-6.12nd half: +5.1+5.1
TarletonSam Houston St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#227
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H14/01
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A20/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A22/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H27/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H29/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H04/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A10/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A12/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A16/02
NCAA
60.7Avg total
32.0Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.029.462.4+3.653%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.126.763.8+10.485%-
Last 30 away (17)29.831.561.3-1.629%-
Last 10 (10)32.028.760.7+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)31.230.862.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)24.033.557.5-9.50%-
vs Similar (16)32.631.163.8+1.544%-
vs Weaker (9)35.825.261.0+10.689%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#183
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H07/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A13/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A15/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H20/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H21/01
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
34-16
34
16
+18
H27/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A02/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A04/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A12/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H16/02
NCAA
67.5Avg total
34.9Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.528.162.6+6.470%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.823.464.2+17.492%-
Last 30 away (18)30.331.261.6-0.956%-
Last 10 (10)34.932.667.5+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)32.630.062.6+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)26.032.058.0-6.050%-
vs Similar (2)29.029.058.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)35.627.763.3+7.973%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tarleton wins
2
Sam Houston St. wins
DateGameScore
07/01/23Sam Houston St. v Tarleton75-68
04/03/22Sam Houston St. v Tarleton69-50
07/01/22Tarleton v Sam Houston St.75-64
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/23AStephen F. Austin60-65
12/02/23AUtah Tech75-71
10/02/23ASouthern Utah62-72
06/02/23AUT Arlington69-64
04/02/23HUTRGV65-68
29/01/23HGrand Canyon81-62
27/01/23HUtah Tech74-72
22/01/23ACalifornia Baptist48-77
20/01/23ASeattle47-67
14/01/23HAbilene Christian72-63
Sam Houston St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/23HUT Arlington66-56
12/02/23AAbilene Christian77-62
04/02/23AUT Arlington58-70
02/02/23AUTRGV67-65
27/01/23HSeattle55-40
21/01/23HUTRGV83-64
20/01/23HStephen F. Austin76-71
15/01/23AUtah Tech78-53
13/01/23ASouthern Utah74-86
07/01/23HTarleton75-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL52%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLWLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %52%83%27%
Points / game70.579.163.6
Allowed / game67.762.771.7
Point differential+2.8+16.4-8.1
Avg total138.2141.8135.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%50%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW76%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251015
Win %76%90%67%
Points / game75.384.569.1
Allowed / game59.253.663.0
Point differential+16.0+30.9+6.1
Avg total134.5138.1132.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%70%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %4%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State2620677%76.868.2+8.7
2 Southern Utah2617965%82.874.5+8.3
3 California Baptist28161257%68.962.2+6.6
4 Abilene Christian27141352%74.268.0+6.3
5 Tarleton27141352%70.567.7+2.8
6 Utah Tech27111641%75.173.7+1.5
7 UT Arlington27101737%66.166.5-0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sam Houston St.2519676%75.359.2+16.0
2 Liberty2922776%75.159.9+15.2
3 Kennesaw State2921872%75.769.6+6.1
4 Middle Tenn. St.28171161%71.668.3+3.2
5 Western Kentucky26141254%73.570.5+3.1
6 Missouri State28141450%65.163.5+1.6
7 Delaware29141548%69.670.6-1.0
8 Louisiana Tech27131448%73.869.6+4.2
9 Florida International27131448%71.373.4-2.1
10 UTEP26121446%68.267.1+1.1
11 Jacksonville State29111838%68.069.8-1.8
12 New Mexico State2691735%68.067.7+0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton273259
Sam Houston St.343064
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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