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Tarleton vs UT Arlington Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 77-74
38-32 39-42
Position#308
Record5-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game64.7
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Position#277
Record7-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game74.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tarleton v UT Arlington
05 Mar 2026
TARL60
UT A65
04 Jan 2025
TARL77
UT A74
15 Mar 2024
TARL84
UT A87
04 Jan 2024
TARL78
UT A76
29 Dec 2022
TARL70
UT A63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UT Arlington winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#44
L
49-72
49
72
-23
A22/11
NCAA
Iona
#209
L
51-62
51
62
-11
H29/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A30/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
71-87
71
87
-16
H02/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#575
W
90-50
90
50
+40
H04/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
L
51-66
51
66
-15
A08/12
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A17/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A19/12
NCAA
Howard Payne
#430
W
100-83
100
83
+17
H21/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-40
19-32
20-28
31-34
31-26
30-33
31-53
40-34
55-22
35-28
21-29
30-37
23-32
39-35
31-25
30-41
51-36
49-47
39-26
31-34
133.8Avg total
66.6Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)64.772.8137.5-8.133%
Season at home (7)76.070.0146.0+6.057%
Season away (8)54.975.2130.1-20.412%
Last 10 (10)66.667.2133.8-0.640%
Last 5 (5)68.868.4137.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)58.177.3135.4-19.218%
vs Similar (7)74.471.1145.6+3.371%
vs Weaker (11)80.569.6150.2+10.982%
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#334
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A20/11
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A26/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A27/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#137
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H28/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A03/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A13/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H14/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H19/12
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
56-79
56
79
-23
A21/12
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-34
31-44
30-44
36-35
30-32
38-26
41-44
37-39
34-30
50-40
39-35
40-48
45-30
32-38
44-24
36-30
22-39
34-40
32-39
48-33
146.0Avg total
73.6Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.174.1152.2+3.950%
Season at home (6)82.870.2153.0+12.767%
Season away (8)74.577.1151.6-2.638%
Last 10 (10)73.672.4146.0+1.250%
Last 5 (5)74.471.2145.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.482.0151.4-12.60%
vs Similar (14)78.172.9151.1+5.257%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)82.969.2152.1+13.790%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +0.9+0.9
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +0.9+0.9
TarletonUT Arlington
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#44
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A22/11
NCAA
Iona
#209
L
20-28
20
28
-8
H29/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A30/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
31-53
31
53
-22
H02/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#575
W
55-22
55
22
+33
H04/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A08/12
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A17/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A19/12
NCAA
Howard Payne
#430
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H21/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H29/12
NCAA
64.9Avg total
33.2Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.234.567.7-1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.134.171.3+3.067%-
Last 30 away (15)29.334.964.2-5.740%-
Last 10 (10)33.231.764.9+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)33.029.662.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)25.539.164.6-13.59%-
vs Similar (7)35.631.166.7+4.486%-
vs Weaker (11)38.432.270.5+6.273%-
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#334
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A20/11
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A26/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A27/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#137
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H28/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A03/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A13/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H14/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H19/12
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A21/12
NCAA
Texas State
#207
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A29/12
NCAA
70.5Avg total
35.4Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.633.270.9+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.831.971.8+7.969%-
Last 30 away (17)35.934.270.2+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)35.435.170.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.433.469.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.038.271.2-5.240%-
vs Similar (14)36.733.670.3+3.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.030.970.9+9.170%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tarleton wins
1
UT Arlington wins
DateGameScore
16/03/24Tarleton v UT Arlington84-87
16/02/24UT Arlington v Tarleton78-80
05/01/24Tarleton v UT Arlington78-76
06/02/23UT Arlington v Tarleton64-69
30/12/22Tarleton v UT Arlington70-63
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24HFlorida A&M70-60
21/12/24HHoward Payne100-83
19/12/24AOklahoma State61-66
17/12/24AUTEP62-67
08/12/24AUCF Knights51-66
04/12/24HDallas Christian90-50
02/12/24HIndiana State71-87
30/11/24AHofstra61-59
29/11/24HIona51-62
22/11/24AMichigan49-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24ATexas State80-72
21/12/24ALiberty56-79
19/12/24HEvansville80-54
14/12/24HLouisiana Monroe77-68
13/12/24AArkansas State79-83
03/12/24ALouisiana Monroe84-70
28/11/24HRhode Island78-83
27/11/24AAustin Peay68-58
26/11/24AMurray State66-79
20/11/24AMissouri State68-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayLWLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%57%12%
Points / game64.776.054.9
Allowed / game72.870.075.2
Point differential-8.1+6.0-20.4
Avg total137.5146.0130.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UT Arlington
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %50%67%38%
Points / game78.182.874.5
Allowed / game74.170.277.1
Point differential+3.9+12.7-2.6
Avg total152.2153.0151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State159660%75.568.1+7.3
2 Southern Utah148657%77.073.0+4.0
3 UT Arlington147750%78.174.1+3.9
4 Abilene Christian168850%72.171.1+1.1
5 California Baptist147750%76.175.6+0.5
6 Tarleton1551033%64.772.8-8.1
7 Utah Tech1541127%71.276.8-5.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton383977
UT Arlington324274
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