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Utah Valley State vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 81-56
39-36 42-20
Position#32
Record16-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game69.6
vs
Position#308
Record10-14
FormLLWWL
Points / game64.7
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Utah Valley State v Tarleton
26 Feb 2026
UTAH79
TARL72
08 Feb 2025
UTAH81
TARL56
08 Feb 2024
UTAH61
TARL72
09 Mar 2023
UTAH72
TARL58
01 Jan 2022
UTAH77
TARL55
30 Jan 2021
UTAH62
TARL70
29 Jan 2021
UTAH73
TARL60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Valley State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah Valley StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethesda
#620
W
119-59
119
59
+60
H28/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H04/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H10/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H11/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
85-83 OT
85
83
+2
A17/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
96-80
96
80
+16
H18/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A26/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A02/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
94-73
94
73
+21
H07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
56-29
63-30
28-24
36-29
35-25
37-39
29-25
46-44
30-26
42-46
40-42
56-38
25-37
49-32
29-29
41-37
24-37
33-38
43-28
51-45
149.7Avg total
80.6Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.369.6145.9+6.770%
Season at home (11)83.766.3150.0+17.591%
Season away (12)69.572.7142.2-3.250%
Last 10 (10)80.669.1149.7+11.590%
Last 5 (5)78.272.6150.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)63.060.0123.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (11)68.671.6140.3-3.045%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)78.968.2147.2+10.783%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida A&M
#245
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H29/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H05/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A10/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A12/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H17/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
64-88
64
88
-24
A19/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
56-67
56
67
-11
A24/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H31/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H02/02
NCAA
Seattle
#252
L
54-91
54
91
-37
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-26
31-34
38-32
39-42
41-31
33-35
25-22
29-36
31-20
36-37
28-40
36-48
29-39
27-28
24-21
37-33
37-23
38-35
29-48
25-43
132.5Avg total
65.2Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)64.771.0135.8-6.342%
Season at home (11)73.866.6140.5+7.273%
Season away (13)57.074.8131.8-17.815%
Last 10 (10)65.267.3132.5-2.160%
Last 5 (5)62.071.6133.6-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)58.776.9135.5-18.220%
vs Similar (8)68.564.4132.9+4.162%
vs Weaker (6)84.269.7153.8+14.583%
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +7.6+7.62nd half: -4.0-4.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +7.6+7.62nd half: -4.0-4.0
Utah Valley StateTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah Valley StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethesda
#620
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H28/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H04/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H10/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H11/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A17/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H18/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A24/01
NCAA
Seattle
#252
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A26/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A02/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H07/02
NCAA
64.1Avg total
33.9Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.932.466.3+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.729.765.4+6.173%-
Last 30 away (15)32.135.167.2-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)33.930.264.1+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)32.234.666.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.040.070.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (11)32.833.366.1-0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)34.831.466.2+3.367%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida A&M
#245
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H29/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H05/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A10/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A12/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H17/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A19/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
24-21
24
21
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H02/02
NCAA
Seattle
#252
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A07/02
NCAA
62.3Avg total
32.1Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.533.867.3-0.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.331.768.9+5.680%-
Last 30 away (15)29.735.965.6-6.340%-
Last 10 (10)32.130.262.3+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)29.434.263.6-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)27.638.365.9-10.720%-
vs Similar (8)34.627.462.0+7.2100%-
vs Weaker (6)44.831.276.0+13.7100%-
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Utah Valley State wins
3
Tarleton wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/25HUT Arlington94-73
02/02/25AGrand Canyon57-75
26/01/25ASeattle70-66
24/01/25ACalifornia Baptist74-69
18/01/25HUtah Tech96-80
17/01/25AUT Arlington85-83 OT
11/01/25HCalifornia Baptist75-69
10/01/25HGrand Canyon72-64
04/01/25HAbilene Christian64-53
28/12/24HBethesda119-59
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/25ASeattle54-91
02/02/25HSouthern Utah75-58
31/01/25HUtah Tech61-54
24/01/25AAbilene Christian56-67
19/01/25AGrand Canyon64-88
17/01/25HCalifornia Baptist67-57
12/01/25AUtah Tech54-58
10/01/25ASouthern Utah74-66
05/01/25HUT Arlington77-74
29/12/24HFlorida A&M70-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Valley State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %70%91%50%
Points / game76.383.769.5
Allowed / game69.666.372.7
Point differential+6.7+17.5-3.2
Avg total145.9150.0142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%64%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (1)83% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Tarleton
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL42%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %42%73%15%
Points / game64.773.857.0
Allowed / game71.066.674.8
Point differential-6.3+7.2-17.8
Avg total135.8140.5131.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%55%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State2316770%76.369.6+6.7
2 California Baptist22111150%72.671.3+1.4
3 UT Arlington23111248%75.774.4+1.2
4 Abilene Christian23101343%70.471.3-1.0
5 Southern Utah23101343%71.572.7-1.2
6 Tarleton24101442%64.771.0-6.3
7 Utah Tech2361726%69.875.9-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah Valley State394281
Tarleton362056
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