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Taurage vs Nevezis Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 11 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 16:10
Scheduled
Position#9
Record3-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game87.8
vs
Position#10
Record0-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game83.5
LithuaniaLKL· Taurages arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Taurage v Nevezis
11 Apr 2027
TAU v NEV
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
TAU80
NEV76
07 Oct 2026
TAU81
NEV76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Taurage win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TaurageLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaurage
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
W
95-90 OT
95
90
+5
83avg 71
H19/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
79-85
79
85
-6
68avg 71
A26/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
77-93
77
93
-16
60avg 71
A04/10
LKL
Nevezis
#3
W
81-76
81
76
+5
79avg 71
H07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#3
L
82-102
82
102
-20
72avg 71
H11/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-96
76
96
-20
71avg 71
A18/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
61avg 71
H21/10
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 71
H24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 71
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
W
91-81
91
81
+10
no box
A31/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
25-20
26-11
14-32
18-24
16-14
28-32
17-15
20-18
16-23
17-26
24-26
26-18
23-18
13-23
19-17
29-22
19-29
20-24
14-27
23-25
19-18
14-30
20-23
24-21
17-12
16-24
14-22
19-22
24-18
18-15
19-21
15-17
26-24
9-23
28-17
22-27
17-22
29-15
23-17
166.9Avg total
81.0Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.487.8169.1-6.438%
Season at home (4)82.086.8168.8-4.850%
Season away (4)80.888.8169.5-8.025%
Last 10 (10)81.085.9166.9-4.940%
Last 5 (5)79.282.6161.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.789.4169.1-9.714%
vs Similar (2)86.078.5164.5+7.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)80.076.0156.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-98
80
98
-18
67avg 71
A17/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
65-85
65
85
-20
56avg 71
A22/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
77-94
77
94
-17
59avg 71
A27/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
62-89
62
89
-27
52avg 71
A03/10
LKL
Taurage
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
60avg 71
A07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
72avg 71
H11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
86-101
86
101
-15
85avg 71
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
72-73
72
73
-1
70avg 71
H17/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
93-69
93
69
+24
85avg 71
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
65avg 71
A24/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-32
19-17
19-21
24-28
19-18
18-19
18-21
10-27
24-28
14-24
22-17
17-25
10-34
12-21
19-14
21-20
18-26
18-23
23-13
17-19
22-16
18-18
19-25
17-21
18-18
20-27
25-30
23-26
19-20
9-22
21-20
23-11
27-20
21-25
24-13
21-11
22-19
18-24
15-18
21-19
161.3Avg total
76.3Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)71.383.5154.8-12.20%
Season at home (2)74.076.5150.5-2.50%
Season away (4)70.087.0157.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)76.385.0161.3-8.710%
Last 5 (5)80.680.6161.2+0.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)80.492.0172.4-11.616%
vs Similar (4)80.085.8165.8-5.825%
vs Weaker (1)93.069.0162.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Taurage) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
TaurageNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TaurageLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H19/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A26/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A04/10
LKL
Nevezis
#3
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H11/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H21/10
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A31/10
LKL
82.4Avg total
41.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)41.441.082.4+0.440%-
Last 30 at home (5)44.439.684.0+4.880%-
Last 30 away (5)38.442.480.8-4.00%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.082.4+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.282.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.440.781.1-0.329%-
vs Similar (2)44.042.586.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)43.040.083.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A17/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A27/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
22-55
22
55
-33
A03/10
LKL
Taurage
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H17/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/10
LKL
81.5Avg total
36.4Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.045.884.8-6.923%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.044.981.9-7.925%-
Last 30 away (18)40.346.486.7-6.222%-
Last 10 (10)36.445.181.5-8.720%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.880.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.446.084.4-7.624%-
vs Similar (4)40.245.285.5-5.00%-
vs Weaker (1)48.045.093.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Taurage) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tauragetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Taurage: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.419.0
47.0%
55.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.8
32.1%
35.1%23.3
🏀 Free throws24.718.6
75.2%
70.4%18.6
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.1
50.5%
55.3%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.56.0
29.3%
35.1%18.0
🏀 Free throws23.615.6
66.1%
70.4%15.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Taurage
WLWLLLWLLW
Nevezis
LWLLLLLLLL
#9
League position
#10
-6.2
Net rating
-10.2
90.4
Offensive rating
88.9
96.5
Defensive rating
99.1
47.4%
Effective FG%
48.3%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
15.1%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.1%
3-point %
29.3%
63.5%
Assist %
59.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence90.4 · 88.9Defence96.5 · 99.1Shooting47.4% · 48.3%3-point %32.1% · 29.3%Ball care15.1% · 14.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Taurage   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Taurage wins
0
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
24/10/26Taurage v Nevezis80-76
07/10/26Taurage v Nevezis81-76
Tauragelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ASiauliai91-81
27/10/26AGargzdai78-81
24/10/26HNevezis80-76
21/10/26HRytas71-79
18/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas76-96
11/10/26HGargzdai82-102
07/10/26HNevezis81-76
04/10/26AJuventus77-93
26/09/26ALietkabelis79-85
19/09/26HJonava95-90 OT
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ATaurage76-80
20/10/26AJurbarkas93-69
17/10/26HLietkabelis72-73
14/10/26HGargzdai86-101
11/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas76-80
07/10/26ATaurage76-81
03/10/26ANeptunas62-89
27/09/26AJuventus77-94
22/09/26AJonava65-85
17/05/26AZalgiris Kaunas80-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Taurage
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game81.482.080.8
Allowed / game87.886.888.8
Point differential-6.4-4.8-8.0
Avg total169.1168.8169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
Nevezis
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.374.070.0
Allowed / game83.576.587.0
Point differential-12.2-2.5-17.0
Avg total154.8150.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas770100%93.073.0+20.0
2 Rytas54180%91.283.4+7.8
3 Gargzdai75271%90.688.4+2.1
4 Neptunas84450%85.685.2+0.4
5 Lietkabelis84450%78.981.1-2.2
6 Jonava73443%78.479.4-1.0
7 Juventus83538%85.287.2-2.0
8 Siauliai83538%83.287.2-4.0
9 Taurage83538%81.487.8-6.4
10 Nevezis6060%71.383.5-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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