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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 May 2026
Tip-off: 13:50
Final 98-80
32-18 17-19 21-19 28-24
Position#1
Record30-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Position#9
Record8-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game92.4
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis
16 May 2027
ZAL v NEV
upcoming
20 Dec 2026
ZAL v NEV
upcoming
17 May 2026
ZAL98
NEV80
25 Jan 2026
ZAL88
NEV73
29 Apr 2025
ZAL105
NEV88
12 Jan 2025
ZAL88
NEV86
02 May 2024
ZAL102
NEV78
10 Dec 2023
ZAL102
NEV98
13 May 2023
ZAL90
NEV71
30 Apr 2023
ZAL95
NEV89
23 Oct 2022
ZAL93
NEV75
23 Oct 2021
ZAL102
NEV77
30 Apr 2020
ZAL v NEV
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
ZAL89
NEV84
20 Jan 2019
ZAL82
NEV79
03 Oct 2018
ZAL81
NEV68
25 May 2018
ZAL84
NEV69
12 May 2018
ZAL95
NEV70
29 Apr 2018
ZAL91
NEV72
07 Jan 2018
ZAL94
NEV68
22 Jan 2017
ZAL80
NEV59
02 Jan 2017
ZAL89
NEV62
13 Apr 2016
ZAL95
NEV73
30 Nov 2015
ZAL82
NEV88
21 Apr 2015
ZAL92
NEV53
13 Oct 2014
ZAL79
NEV52
09 Mar 2014
ZAL95
NEV56
15 Apr 2013
ZAL94
NEV51
10 Dec 2011
ZAL81
NEV60
14 Mar 2011
ZAL104
NEV70
07 Feb 2010
ZAL80
NEV74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
75-70
75
70
+5
64avg 86
A19/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
85-77
85
77
+8
79avg 86
H22/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
91-78
91
78
+13
80avg 86
A25/04
LKL
Fenerbahce
#4
L
78-89
78
89
-11
74avg 86
A28/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
71avg 86
A30/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
77avg 86
H06/05
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
78avg 86
H08/05
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#6
W
87-70
87
70
+17
87avg 86
H10/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
93-90
93
90
+3
91avg 86
A13/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
108-93
108
93
+15
110avg 86
H15/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
27-16
19-25
14-8
34-31
21-9
14-22
16-15
16-24
21-20
31-13
23-21
20-22
9-25
28-18
21-24
14-26
19-25
14-15
27-20
12-25
23-17
22-20
24-16
20-25
22-22
20-14
18-19
17-15
26-19
24-11
20-25
27-22
27-28
28-19
11-21
20-24
31-32
35-20
22-17
168.7Avg total
86.2Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)91.076.7167.7+14.497%
Season at home (15)94.977.7172.6+17.193%
Season away (16)87.475.7163.1+11.8100%
Last 10 (10)86.282.5168.7+3.770%
Last 5 (5)91.885.0176.8+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.094.0193.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (10)82.584.5167.0-2.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)91.778.1169.8+13.7100%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
L
87-88
87
88
-1
85avg 74
H28/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
91-105
91
105
-14
79avg 74
A04/04
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
93-88
93
88
+5
87avg 74
A11/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
72-105
72
105
-33
66avg 74
A15/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
89-90
89
90
-1
90avg 74
A18/04
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
82-110
82
110
-28
71avg 74
H23/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
85-90
85
90
-5
74avg 74
H26/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
75-95
75
95
-20
63avg 74
A03/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
88avg 74
H09/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
88-117
88
117
-29
76avg 74
H13/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
17-20
23-23
24-20
27-25
14-28
22-25
28-27
20-29
29-19
19-23
25-17
20-32
13-21
18-26
21-26
27-21
21-31
19-17
22-21
22-31
15-39
24-18
21-22
24-21
12-23
25-17
24-29
20-31
18-20
25-21
12-23
16-25
26-16
23-25
21-20
22-32
13-27
33-28
20-30
184.3Avg total
85.7Scored
98.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.092.4175.4-9.326%
Season at home (16)83.191.1174.2-7.931%
Season away (15)82.993.7176.7-10.820%
Last 10 (10)85.798.6184.3-12.910%
Last 5 (5)85.0102.0187.0-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)82.694.5177.1-11.923%
vs Similar (7)80.086.0166.0-6.029%
vs Weaker (1)92.074.0166.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
Zalgiris KaunasNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A19/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H22/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A25/04
LKL
Fenerbahce
#4
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A28/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A30/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H06/05
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H08/05
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#6
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A13/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H15/05
LKL
86.9Avg total
42.1Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.341.485.7+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.640.687.2+5.956%-
Last 30 away (14)41.842.384.1-0.557%-
Last 10 (10)42.144.886.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)45.045.890.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (10)39.344.483.7-5.120%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.439.987.3+7.479%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H28/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A04/04
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A11/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A15/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A18/04
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
37-70
37
70
-33
H23/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H26/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A03/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H09/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-59
35
59
-24
H13/05
LKL
91.5Avg total
39.9Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.144.684.6-4.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.343.783.0-4.333%-
Last 30 away (15)40.845.586.3-4.720%-
Last 10 (10)39.951.691.5-11.720%-
Last 5 (5)37.653.090.6-15.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)39.246.185.3-6.923%-
vs Similar (7)40.942.383.1-1.429%-
vs Weaker (1)54.027.081.0+27.0100%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers23.715.8
66.7%
55.4%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.8
35.3%
35.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.511.4
69.1%
74.3%11.4
They take 51.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.622.4
56.6%
55.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.4
37.3%
35.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.415.3
68.3%
74.3%15.3
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWLWLLWWW
Nevezis
LLLLLLLWLL
#1
League position
#9
+8.6
Net rating
-15.3
75.6
Offensive rating
97.8
67.1
Defensive rating
113.1
59.2%
Effective FG%
56.4%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
61.2%
16.4%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.3%
3-point %
37.3%
75.0%
Assist %
53.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence75.6 · 97.8Defence67.1 · 113.1Shooting59.2% · 56.4%3-point %35.3% · 37.3%Ball care16.4% · 17.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Nevezis wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/26HJuventus108-93
13/05/26ANeptunas93-90
10/05/26HLietkabelis87-70
08/05/26HFenerbahce90-94 OT
06/05/26HFenerbahce81-78
30/04/26AFenerbahce74-86
28/04/26AFenerbahce78-89
25/04/26ASiauliai91-78
22/04/26HGargzdai85-77
19/04/26ARytas75-70
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/26HRytas88-117
09/05/26HJuventus95-98 OT
03/05/26ASiauliai75-95
26/04/26HGargzdai85-90
23/04/26HNeptunas82-110
18/04/26AJonava89-90
15/04/26ALietkabelis72-105
11/04/26ANeptunas93-88
04/04/26ARytas91-105
28/03/26HSiauliai87-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW97%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %97%93%100%
Points / game91.094.987.4
Allowed / game76.777.775.7
Point differential+14.4+17.1+11.8
Avg total167.7172.6163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%73%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)50% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeLLLLL31%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %26%31%20%
Points / game83.083.182.9
Allowed / game92.491.193.7
Point differential-9.3-7.9-10.8
Avg total175.4174.2176.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%6%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)33% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3130197%91.076.7+14.4
2 Rytas32201262%92.885.3+7.5
3 Siauliai32171553%85.387.6-2.3
4 Neptunas31161552%92.790.3+2.4
5 Lietkabelis32151747%83.480.8+2.6
6 Gargzdai32151747%83.887.4-3.7
7 Juventus32122038%87.490.5-3.1
8 Jonava3192229%85.293.7-8.5
9 Nevezis3182326%83.092.4-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas3217212898
Nevezis1819192480
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