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Team FOG Naestved vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Mar 2015
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-63
20-14 22-20 19-16 22-13
Position#5
Record11-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game79.9
Team FOG Naestved 🏆
Denmark
vs
Aalborg
Denmark
Position#10
Record2-22
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game95.5
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 25
Other2014-15
Meetings · Team FOG Naestved v Aalborg
05 Mar 2015
TEAM83
AALB63
16 Feb 2014
TEAM78
AALB66
13 Oct 2013
TEAM84
AALB70
23 Feb 2013
TEAM70
AALB58
28 Nov 2012
TEAM97
AALB65
19 Jan 2012
TEAM91
AALB88
16 Feb 2011
TEAM88
AALB73
05 Jan 2011
TEAM95
AALB70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Team FOG Naestved winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aalborg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Team FOG NaestvedDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aalborg
#10
W
84-61
84
61
+23
A03/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A08/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
97-71
97
71
+26
A15/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
58-77
58
77
-19
H22/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A29/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H04/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
84-95
84
95
-11
A09/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
79-95
79
95
-16
H16/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A23/02
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H26/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
18-20
21-13
26-13
22-22
20-19
17-20
20-15
23-19
35-15
17-17
22-20
17-18
12-20
9-22
20-17
8-22
19-14
18-15
26-23
25-16
21-15
25-19
18-20
9-32
29-14
22-21
24-28
15-27
20-21
16-23
28-24
16-16
16-14
19-29
23-20
25-12
8-27
26-16
11-19
155.7Avg total
78.5Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.979.9159.8+0.046%
Season at home (11)78.683.6162.3-5.027%
Season away (13)81.076.8157.8+4.262%
Last 10 (10)78.577.2155.7+1.340%
Last 5 (5)79.282.6161.8-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.387.1162.4-11.811%
vs Similar (7)71.977.7149.6-5.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)82.376.0158.3+6.369%
This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AalborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
61-84
61
84
-23
H03/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
L
72-97
72
97
-25
A10/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
75-85 OT
75
85
-10
A21/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
W
107-98
107
98
+9
H24/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
71-104
71
104
-33
H28/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
77-109
77
109
-32
A05/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H11/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
74-104
74
104
-30
A14/02
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H23/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
53-90
53
90
-37
A26/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
20-18
13-21
13-26
18-25
12-25
19-25
23-22
19-20
15-11
14-24
19-12
24-20
25-27
16-18
42-33
14-31
11-19
25-32
21-22
17-24
16-33
23-30
21-22
23-24
15-23
22-16
30-18
22-33
18-26
16-20
18-25
7-20
13-17
20-16
23-19
14-21
15-25
13-18
11-26
166.7Avg total
74.3Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.195.5169.5-21.48%
Season at home (12)76.092.4168.4-16.417%
Season away (12)72.298.5170.7-26.30%
Last 10 (10)74.392.4166.7-18.120%
Last 5 (5)71.491.2162.6-19.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)74.695.9170.5-21.37%
vs Similar (2)80.589.5170.0-9.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
Team FOG NaestvedAalborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aalborg
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A03/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A08/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
58-34
58
34
+24
A15/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H22/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A29/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H04/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A09/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H16/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A23/02
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H26/02
Basketligaen
75.5Avg total
37.7Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.938.777.6+0.246%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.040.378.3-2.323%-
Last 30 away (15)39.737.376.9+2.467%-
Last 10 (10)37.737.875.5-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.838.875.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.042.580.5-4.538%-
vs Similar (7)35.335.070.3+0.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.438.379.7+3.154%-
This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H03/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A10/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A21/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H24/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H28/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A05/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H11/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A14/02
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
L
20-37
20
37
-17
H23/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A26/02
Basketligaen
79.4Avg total
33.3Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.449.384.7-13.910%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.447.682.1-13.27%-
Last 30 away (15)36.350.887.1-14.513%-
Last 10 (10)33.346.179.4-12.820%-
Last 5 (5)32.049.281.2-17.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)34.749.684.3-14.97%-
vs Similar (2)45.045.090.0+0.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Team FOG Naestved wins
1
Aalborg wins
DateGameScore
03/01/15Aalborg v Team FOG Naestved61-84
06/11/14Aalborg v Team FOG Naestved73-93
16/02/14Team FOG Naestved v Aalborg78-66
05/12/13Aalborg v Team FOG Naestved102-93
13/10/13Team FOG Naestved v Aalborg84-70
23/02/13Team FOG Naestved v Aalborg70-58
28/11/12Team FOG Naestved v Aalborg97-65
31/10/12Aalborg v Team FOG Naestved70-84
15/02/12Aalborg v Team FOG Naestved73-94
19/01/12Team FOG Naestved v Aalborg91-88 OT
Team FOG Naestvedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/15HHorsholm70-74
23/02/15ASvendborg74-79
16/02/15HHorsens79-95
09/02/15AHerlev Wolfpack84-95
04/02/15HSisu89-70
29/01/15AVaerlose71-74
22/01/15HBakken Bears58-77
15/01/15ARanders97-71
08/01/15ASvendborg79-76
03/01/15AAalborg84-61
Aalborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/15ABakken Bears53-90
23/02/15HHorsholm63-72
14/02/15ASvendborg74-104
11/02/15HRanders90-81
05/02/15AHerlev Wolfpack77-109
28/01/15HHorsens71-104
24/01/15HSisu107-98
21/01/15AVaerlose75-85 OT
10/01/15AHorsholm72-97
03/01/15HTeam FOG Naestved61-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Team FOG Naestved
Basketligaen 2014-15
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL46%
HomeWLWLL27%
AwayWWLLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %46%27%62%
Points / game79.978.681.0
Allowed / game79.983.676.8
Point differential+0.0-5.0+4.2
Avg total159.8162.3157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%18%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Aalborg
Basketligaen 2014-15
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL8%
HomeLWLWL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %8%17%0%
Points / game74.176.072.2
Allowed / game95.592.498.5
Point differential-21.4-16.4-26.3
Avg total169.5168.4170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Horsens2522388%89.274.4+14.8
2 Bakken Bears2421388%94.480.0+14.4
3 Herlev Wolfpack2315865%89.281.2+8.0
4 Svendborg2415962%84.580.0+4.5
5 Team FOG Naestved24111346%79.979.9+0.0
6 Randers24111346%86.889.9-3.0
7 Sisu2491538%84.487.6-3.2
8 Horsholm2591636%81.185.9-4.8
9 Vaerlose2561924%73.582.4-8.9
10 Aalborg242228%74.195.5-21.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team FOG Naestved2022192283
Aalborg1420161363
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