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Valencia vs Breogan Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record4-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game104.7
Allowed / game98.7
SpainACBRound 9· Roig Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Valencia v Breogan
22 Nov 2026
VAL v BRE
upcoming
05 Apr 2026
VAL105
BRE88
30 May 2025
VAL108
BRE61
14 Jan 2024
VAL88
BRE80
24 May 2023
VAL77
BRE80
19 Dec 2021
VAL97
BRE98
04 May 2019
VAL83
BRE82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
84avg 93
H08/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#7
L
86-89
86
89
-3
74avg 93
A11/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
86avg 93
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
88-91
88
91
-3
79avg 93
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
116-93
116
93
+23
113avg 93
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#16
W
104-93
104
93
+11
98avg 93
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
84-75
84
75
+9
69avg 93
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
73avg 93
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#9
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 93
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
111-79
111
79
+32
no box
A01/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
18-23
27-17
19-25
26-19
14-20
20-29
26-21
31-17
28-17
12-25
19-31
23-31
25-19
24-21
16-20
25-14
33-22
28-24
30-33
32-26
25-28
26-16
21-23
27-19
14-16
18-18
25-22
19-9
17-16
24-21
26-32
25-30
17-14
26-25
26-29
20-21
26-18
31-29
34-11
183.9Avg total
95.9Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)99.087.2186.2+11.867%
Season at home (3)100.091.0191.0+9.067%
Season away (3)98.083.3181.3+14.767%
Last 10 (10)95.988.0183.9+7.960%
Last 5 (5)95.884.6180.4+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)89.386.3175.6+3.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)99.387.1186.4+12.183%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
94-95
94
95
-1
87avg 89
H29/05
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#54
W
126-80
126
80
+46
128avg 89
H14/09
Champions League
Manchester Basketball
#32
W
105-84
105
84
+21
100avg 89
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
110-113
110
113
-3
106avg 89
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
110-104
110
104
+6
106avg 89
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
101-95
101
95
+6
95avg 89
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
115-92
115
92
+23
114avg 89
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
102-108
102
108
-6
92avg 89
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
90-103
90
103
-13
86avg 89
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
110-90
110
90
+20
no box
A01/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
21-20
23-23
24-28
25-16
32-22
37-18
32-24
25-14
29-19
20-21
31-30
25-26
21-32
29-37
35-18
29-28
27-21
19-22
35-33
24-27
27-13
38-27
12-28
30-22
31-19
23-23
31-28
31-17
22-26
25-33
24-32
24-26
23-33
24-23
19-21
20-22
30-21
32-19
28-28
202.7Avg total
106.3Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)104.798.7203.3+6.067%
Season at home (3)105.099.7204.7+5.367%
Season away (3)104.397.7202.0+6.767%
Last 10 (10)106.396.4202.7+9.960%
Last 5 (5)103.697.6201.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)89.1102.6191.7-13.429%
vs Similar (12)92.591.9184.4+0.650%
vs Weaker (10)104.493.2197.6+11.270%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
ValenciaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H08/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#7
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
W
59-34
59
34
+25
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#16
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A01/11
ACB
87.0Avg total
47.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.340.687.9+6.777%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.439.287.6+9.276%-
Last 30 away (13)45.842.388.2+3.577%-
Last 10 (10)47.439.687.0+7.880%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.483.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)45.137.682.7+7.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)48.041.589.4+6.578%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H29/05
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#54
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H14/09
Champions League
Manchester Basketball
#32
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A01/11
ACB
97.0Avg total
52.2Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.145.992.0+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.944.692.6+3.357%-
Last 30 away (16)44.547.091.5-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)52.244.897.0+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)52.445.297.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)40.349.089.3-8.70%-
vs Similar (12)44.147.691.7-3.533%-
vs Weaker (10)51.542.594.0+9.080%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.623.6
55.4%
55.7%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.7
35.4%
36.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.615.2
73.8%
75.7%15.2
They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 103.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.622.4
58.0%
55.7%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.814.2
46.1%
36.2%42.6
🏀 Free throws21.416.2
75.7%
75.7%16.2
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLWWWWLLLW
Breogan
WLLWWWLWWL
#2
League position
#5
+7.0
Net rating
+7.0
106.7
Offensive rating
112.7
99.7
Defensive rating
105.7
54.5%
Effective FG%
63.0%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
8.7%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.4%
3-point %
46.1%
52.5%
Assist %
58.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 112.7Defence99.7 · 105.7Shooting54.5% · 63.0%3-point %35.4% · 46.1%Ball care8.7% · 14.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Valencia   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Valencia wins
3
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
05/04/26Valencia v Breogan105-88
12/10/25Breogan v Valencia90-113
30/05/25Valencia v Breogan108-61
13/10/24Breogan v Valencia75-87
14/01/24Valencia v Breogan88-80
15/10/23Breogan v Valencia59-61
24/05/23Valencia v Breogan77-80
06/11/22Breogan v Valencia83-88
13/02/22Breogan v Valencia99-82
19/12/21Valencia v Breogan97-98
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26AMoraBanc Andorra111-79
30/10/26ABarcelona94-98
27/10/26HFenerbahce86-78
25/10/26HBaskonia84-75
23/10/26AParis104-93
18/10/26HMurcia116-93
15/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv88-91
13/10/26HOlympiacos97-102 OT
11/10/26ABarcelona86-89
08/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-82
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26AObradoiro CAB110-90
25/10/26HUnicaja90-103
17/10/26AMoraBanc Andorra102-108
10/10/26HBasquet Girona115-92
03/10/26AManresa101-95
27/09/26HJoventut Badalona110-104
19/09/26ADziki Warszawa110-113
17/09/26AManchester Basketball105-84
14/09/26HRilski Sportist126-80
29/05/26HBasket Zaragoza94-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game99.0100.098.0
Allowed / game87.291.083.3
Point differential+11.8+9.0+14.7
Avg total186.2191.0181.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game104.7105.0104.3
Allowed / game98.799.797.7
Point differential+6.0+5.3+6.7
Avg total203.3204.7202.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid660100%109.087.7+21.3
2 Valencia64267%99.087.2+11.8
3 Baskonia64267%94.582.8+11.7
4 Tenerife64267%87.879.8+8.0
5 Breogan64267%104.798.7+6.0
6 Basket Zaragoza64267%92.087.2+4.8
7 Barcelona64267%97.095.0+2.0
8 Bilbao64267%92.892.7+0.2
9 Unicaja63350%88.384.5+3.8
10 Murcia63350%93.393.8-0.5
11 Obradoiro CAB63350%88.896.0-7.2
12 Basquet Girona63350%90.599.0-8.5
13 San Pablo Burgos62433%88.087.5+0.5
14 Joventut Badalona62433%91.891.5+0.3
15 Leyma Coruna62433%90.099.8-9.8
16 MoraBanc Andorra61517%84.596.5-12.0
17 Forca Lleida61517%92.8106.8-14.0
18 Manresa6060%84.3102.8-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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