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Basket Zaragoza vs Breogan Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record5-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game89.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.8/10
Above normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game104.8
Allowed / game100.1
SpainACBRound 10· Pabellon Principe Felipe
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Basket Zaragoza v Breogan
05 Dec 2026
ZAR v BRE
upcoming
18 Oct 2025
ZAR84
BRE88
02 Nov 2024
ZAR111
BRE53
03 Feb 2024
ZAR63
BRE61
04 Jan 2023
ZAR88
BRE90
23 Oct 2021
ZAR79
BRE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Zaragoza win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
75avg 79
H26/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
W
95-94
95
94
+1
95avg 79
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#2
W
81-80
81
80
+1
80avg 79
A27/09
ACB
Valencia
#3
L
82-97
82
97
-15
72avg 79
H04/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#13
W
92-71
92
71
+21
90avg 79
A10/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
109-98
109
98
+11
103avg 79
H18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
81-99
81
99
-18
74avg 79
A24/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
107-78
107
78
+29
108avg 79
H31/10
ACB
Unicaja
#10
W
96-91
96
91
+5
no box
H08/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
94-99
94
99
-5
no box
A14/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
26-23
15-21
22-27
24-26
20-21
23-23
28-24
18-18
26-20
24-27
13-15
22-21
17-15
28-30
15-31
23-17
29-11
15-22
25-21
22-23
38-20
24-31
25-24
21-24
19-24
17-24
24-27
23-21
25-19
30-20
29-18
17-20
26-18
24-26
29-27
19-20
25-23
27-27
23-29
182.8Avg total
92.3Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.889.1181.9+3.662%
Season at home (4)98.591.0189.5+7.575%
Season away (4)87.087.2174.2-0.250%
Last 10 (10)92.390.5182.8+1.860%
Last 5 (5)97.493.0190.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.696.6180.2-13.08%
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.990.9178.7-3.043%
vs Weaker (4)94.079.0173.0+15.075%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#31
W
105-84
105
84
+21
100avg 89
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#9
L
110-113
110
113
-3
106avg 89
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
110-104
110
104
+6
106avg 89
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#17
W
101-95
101
95
+6
95avg 89
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
115-92
115
92
+23
114avg 89
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#18
L
102-108
102
108
-6
92avg 89
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#10
L
90-103
90
103
-13
86avg 89
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
110-90
110
90
+20
107avg 89
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
91-99
91
99
-8
no box
A08/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
119-110
119
110
+9
no box
H14/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
29-19
20-21
31-30
25-26
21-32
29-37
35-18
29-28
27-21
19-22
35-33
24-27
27-13
38-27
12-28
30-22
31-19
23-23
31-28
31-17
22-26
25-33
24-32
24-26
23-33
24-23
19-21
20-22
30-21
32-19
28-28
20-23
20-16
30-30
21-30
19-27
28-11
41-42
31-30
205.1Avg total
105.3Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)104.8100.1204.9+4.662%
Season at home (4)108.5102.2210.8+6.275%
Season away (4)101.098.0199.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)105.399.8205.1+5.560%
Last 5 (5)102.4102.0204.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)89.1102.6191.7-13.429%
vs Similar ◀ (11)91.392.4183.6-1.145%
vs Weaker (11)105.794.7200.5+11.073%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
Basket ZaragozaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H26/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#2
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A27/09
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H04/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#13
W
52-28
52
28
+24
A10/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A24/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H31/10
ACB
Unicaja
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H08/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A14/11
ACB
87.4Avg total
46.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.743.085.7-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.740.985.6+3.767%-
Last 30 away (15)40.745.185.9-4.427%-
Last 10 (10)46.341.187.4+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)47.042.489.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.346.887.2-6.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.741.485.1+2.464%-
vs Weaker (4)46.237.583.8+8.875%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#31
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#9
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#17
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#18
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#10
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A08/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H14/11
ACB
94.8Avg total
50.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.145.091.0+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.744.392.0+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)44.645.690.2-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)50.544.394.8+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)47.444.491.8+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.349.089.3-8.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.745.989.6-2.236%-
vs Weaker (11)51.142.193.2+9.082%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.6
53.5%
55.8%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.1
39.1%
36.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws25.819.1
74.0%
76.0%19.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.123.4
61.4%
55.8%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.914.3
44.8%
36.4%42.9
🏀 Free throws21.616.6
76.9%
76.0%16.6
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Zaragoza
LWWLWWLWWL
Breogan
WLWLLWWWLW
#7
League position
#6
-0.9
Net rating
+11.0
101.0
Offensive rating
114.3
101.9
Defensive rating
103.4
55.6%
Effective FG%
64.1%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
15.4%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.1%
3-point %
44.8%
62.2%
Assist %
59.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 114.3Defence101.9 · 103.4Shooting55.6% · 64.1%3-point %39.1% · 44.8%Ball care15.4% · 15.2%Free throws0.40 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Basket Zaragoza   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Basket Zaragoza wins
4
Breogan wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AJoventut Badalona94-99
08/11/26HUnicaja96-91
31/10/26HBasquet Girona107-78
24/10/26ABarcelona81-99
18/10/26HForca Lleida109-98
10/10/26ALeyma Coruna92-71
04/10/26HValencia82-97
27/09/26ATenerife81-80
29/05/26ABreogan95-94
26/05/26HValencia86-98
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSan Pablo Burgos119-110
08/11/26ABarcelona91-99
01/11/26AObradoiro CAB110-90
25/10/26HUnicaja90-103
17/10/26AMoraBanc Andorra102-108
10/10/26HBasquet Girona115-92
03/10/26AManresa101-95
27/09/26HJoventut Badalona110-104
19/09/26ADziki Warszawa110-113
17/09/26AManchester Basketball105-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game92.898.587.0
Allowed / game89.191.087.2
Point differential+3.6+7.5-0.2
Avg total181.9189.5174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW62%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game104.8108.5101.0
Allowed / game100.1102.298.0
Point differential+4.6+6.2+3.0
Avg total204.9210.8199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+21.0
2 Tenerife86275%87.179.6+7.5
3 Valencia75271%99.188.0+11.1
4 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
5 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2.9
6 Breogan85362%104.8100.1+4.6
7 Basket Zaragoza85362%92.889.1+3.6
8 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-0.6
9 Basquet Girona74357%90.797.3-6.6
10 Unicaja73443%88.786.1+2.6
11 Murcia73443%90.193.3-3.1
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-6.3
13 Leyma Coruna73443%91.999.9-8.0
14 Joventut Badalona83538%90.590.4+0.1
15 San Pablo Burgos82625%91.493.0-1.6
16 Forca Lleida71614%92.9105.6-12.7
17 Manresa71614%86.6102.3-15.7
18 MoraBanc Andorra81712%86.496.5-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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