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Breogan vs Bilbao Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 10 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game104.8
Allowed / game100.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record4-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game92.6
SpainACBRound 11· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Breogan v Bilbao
10 Dec 2026
BRE v BIL
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
BRE100
BIL99
25 Jan 2025
BRE76
BIL71
30 Mar 2024
BRE68
BIL80
22 Oct 2022
BRE86
BIL70
12 Mar 2022
BRE86
BIL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#31
W
105-84
105
84
+21
100avg 90
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#9
L
110-113
110
113
-3
106avg 90
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
110-104
110
104
+6
106avg 90
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#16
W
101-95
101
95
+6
95avg 90
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
115-92
115
92
+23
114avg 90
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
L
102-108
102
108
-6
92avg 90
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#10
L
90-103
90
103
-13
86avg 90
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
110-90
110
90
+20
107avg 90
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
91-99
91
99
-8
no box
A08/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
119-110
119
110
+9
no box
H14/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
29-19
20-21
31-30
25-26
21-32
29-37
35-18
29-28
27-21
19-22
35-33
24-27
27-13
38-27
12-28
30-22
31-19
23-23
31-28
31-17
22-26
25-33
24-32
24-26
23-33
24-23
19-21
20-22
30-21
32-19
28-28
20-23
20-16
30-30
21-30
19-27
28-11
41-42
31-30
205.1Avg total
105.3Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)104.8100.1204.9+4.662%
Season at home (4)108.5102.2210.8+6.275%
Season away (4)101.098.0199.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)105.399.8205.1+5.560%
Last 5 (5)102.4102.0204.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)89.1102.6191.7-13.429%
vs Similar (11)91.392.4183.6-1.145%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)105.794.7200.5+11.073%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#14
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
90avg 81
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#27
W
92-79
92
79
+13
90avg 81
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
96-87
96
87
+9
88avg 81
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
97-86
97
86
+11
94avg 81
H14/10
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
84-119
84
119
-35
75avg 81
A18/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
88-76
88
76
+12
83avg 81
H25/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#6
L
100-103
100
103
-3
98avg 81
A28/10
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 81
A01/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
L
87-92
87
92
-5
no box
A07/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#6
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
H10/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
27-24
22-23
24-22
28-21
22-14
22-21
20-23
19-20
25-25
30-25
22-17
27-21
15-14
26-26
29-25
13-36
22-26
22-27
27-30
15-22
27-18
23-17
23-19
26-24
22-19
24-31
28-29
27-23
11-21
29-17
14-17
25-19
19-27
23-20
20-26
22-18
23-21
19-14
19-22
180.8Avg total
90.9Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)92.092.6184.6-0.657%
Season at home (3)97.085.0182.0+12.0100%
Season away (4)88.298.2186.5-10.025%
Last 10 (10)90.989.9180.8+1.060%
Last 5 (5)87.884.8172.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)78.392.9171.1-14.614%
vs Similar (9)89.283.7172.9+5.678%
vs Weaker (14)91.684.4176.1+7.271%
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
BreoganBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#31
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#9
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#16
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#10
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A08/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H14/11
ACB
94.8Avg total
50.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.145.091.0+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.744.392.0+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)44.645.690.2-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)50.544.394.8+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)47.444.491.8+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.349.089.3-8.70%-
vs Similar (11)43.745.989.6-2.236%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)51.142.193.2+9.082%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#14
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#27
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/10
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A18/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H25/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A28/10
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#13
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A07/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H10/11
Champions League
86.8Avg total
43.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.384.4-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.640.383.9+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)40.744.385.0-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.586.8-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.442.485.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.146.481.6-11.30%-
vs Similar (9)42.641.083.6+1.656%-
vs Weaker (14)45.441.186.4+4.364%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.123.4
61.4%
55.8%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.914.3
44.8%
36.4%42.9
🏀 Free throws21.616.6
76.9%
76.0%16.6
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.5
52.6%
55.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.8
36.8%
36.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws26.619.3
72.6%
76.0%19.3
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
WLWLLWWWLW
Bilbao
WLWLWLWWWL
#6
League position
#8
+11.0
Net rating
+0.5
114.3
Offensive rating
99.9
103.4
Defensive rating
99.4
64.1%
Effective FG%
53.8%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
15.2%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.40
44.8%
3-point %
36.8%
59.9%
Assist %
66.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 99.9Defence103.4 · 99.4Shooting64.1% · 53.8%3-point %44.8% · 36.8%Ball care15.2% · 13.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Breogan   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Breogan wins
6
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
14/03/26Bilbao v Breogan100-90
21/12/25Breogan v Bilbao100-99
25/01/25Breogan v Bilbao76-71
29/09/24Bilbao v Breogan90-72
30/03/24Breogan v Bilbao68-80
09/12/23Bilbao v Breogan68-76
10/05/23Bilbao v Breogan83-66
22/10/22Breogan v Bilbao86-70
12/03/22Breogan v Bilbao86-94
16/12/21Bilbao v Breogan83-75
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSan Pablo Burgos119-110
08/11/26ABarcelona91-99
01/11/26AObradoiro CAB110-90
25/10/26HUnicaja90-103
17/10/26AMoraBanc Andorra102-108
10/10/26HBasquet Girona115-92
03/10/26AManresa101-95
27/09/26HJoventut Badalona110-104
19/09/26ADziki Warszawa110-113
17/09/26AManchester Basketball105-84
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HAlba Berlin83-75
07/11/26ABasquet Girona87-92
01/11/26AJoventut Badalona81-78
28/10/26AAlba Berlin100-103
25/10/26HMoraBanc Andorra88-76
18/10/26AReal Madrid84-119
14/10/26HSlavia Prague ERA NBK97-86
11/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos96-87
06/10/26AIgokea92-79
04/10/26ALeyma Coruna101-104 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW62%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game104.8108.5101.0
Allowed / game100.1102.298.0
Point differential+4.6+6.2+3.0
Avg total204.9210.8199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game92.097.088.2
Allowed / game92.685.098.2
Point differential-0.6+12.0-10.0
Avg total184.6182.0186.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+21.0
2 Valencia86275%100.689.1+11.5
3 Tenerife86275%87.179.6+7.5
4 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
5 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2.9
6 Breogan85362%104.8100.1+4.6
7 Basket Zaragoza85362%92.889.1+3.6
8 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-0.6
9 Basquet Girona74357%90.797.3-6.6
10 Unicaja73443%88.786.1+2.6
11 Murcia73443%90.193.3-3.1
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-6.3
13 Joventut Badalona83538%90.590.4+0.1
14 Leyma Coruna83538%92.5101.2-8.8
15 San Pablo Burgos82625%91.493.0-1.6
16 Manresa82625%88.0101.0-13.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra81712%86.496.5-10.1
18 Forca Lleida81712%92.8104.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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