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Zadar vs Mega Basket Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 07 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record3-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game75.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#16
Record2-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game92.7
EuropeABA LeagueRound 10· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Domestic2026
Meetings · Zadar v Mega Basket
07 Dec 2026
ZAD v MEG
upcoming
14 Nov 2025
ZAD88
MEG73
02 Dec 2024
ZAD65
MEG68
06 Feb 2024
ZAD74
MEG71
17 Oct 2022
ZAD96
MEG90
04 Apr 2022
ZAD81
MEG85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
87-56
87
56
+31
84avg 79
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#15
L
63-78
63
78
-15
47avg 79
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
W
84-73
84
73
+11
87avg 79
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
87-61
87
61
+26
77avg 79
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
W
95-70
95
70
+25
84avg 79
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
105-71
105
71
+34
108avg 79
A30/10
Premijer liga
Dubai
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
no box
A02/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
51-67
51
67
-16
no box
A05/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#5
W
109-80
109
80
+29
no box
H09/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
H14/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-10
21-12
21-18
18-16
21-22
13-18
14-21
15-17
16-24
18-19
23-14
27-16
26-17
21-15
19-17
21-12
26-16
14-19
27-12
28-23
14-16
30-15
29-18
32-22
21-16
17-19
20-23
17-31
13-12
16-17
9-14
13-24
28-19
29-23
26-22
26-16
27-23
26-10
11-16
17-25
155.6Avg total
83.7Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.175.9151.0-0.743%
Season at home (3)85.069.7154.7+15.3100%
Season away (4)67.880.5148.2-12.80%
Last 10 (10)83.771.9155.6+11.870%
Last 5 (5)84.276.2160.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.081.5159.5-3.550%
vs Similar (5)67.274.8142.0-7.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)87.170.4157.5+16.778%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
103avg 76
H06/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
L
85-89
85
89
-4
81avg 76
A13/04
ABA League
Split
#18
W
95-72
95
72
+23
87avg 76
H20/04
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
98-89
98
89
+9
87avg 76
A26/04
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
59-83
59
83
-24
23avg 76
A05/10
ABA League
Zadar
#13
W
88-82
88
82
+6
80avg 76
H11/10
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
L
62-96
62
96
-34
46avg 76
A18/10
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#15
W
94-88
94
88
+6
87avg 76
A24/10
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
no box
H02/11
ABA League
Dubai
#1
L
87-98
87
98
-11
no box
H09/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
26-31
27-16
14-18
22-21
19-30
24-16
20-22
22-17
24-27
26-13
23-15
26-17
29-26
16-23
27-23
18-22
15-20
12-21
14-20
19-20
23-16
18-24
28-22
16-24
21-19
12-30
13-23
23-26
20-27
27-16
24-19
14-30
30-20
25-25
25-19
16-26
17-27
28-28
26-17
177.9Avg total
87.5Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.392.7175.0-10.333%
Season at home (3)93.096.3189.3-3.333%
Season away (3)71.789.0160.7-17.333%
Last 10 (10)87.590.4177.9-2.950%
Last 5 (5)87.094.6181.6-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)81.293.8174.9-12.623%
vs Similar (15)89.487.3176.7+2.160%
vs Weaker (2)84.584.0168.5+0.550%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
ZadarMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
48-22
48
22
+26
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#15
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A30/10
Premijer liga
Dubai
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A05/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#5
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H09/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H14/11
ABA League
76.6Avg total
42.4Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.435.676.9+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.734.278.9+10.593%-
Last 30 away (16)38.436.875.2+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)42.434.276.6+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.234.078.2+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.534.079.5+11.5100%-
vs Similar (5)32.036.468.4-4.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.035.578.6+7.578%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H06/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A13/04
ABA League
Split
#18
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H20/04
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A26/04
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A05/10
ABA League
Zadar
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H11/10
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A18/10
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#15
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A24/10
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H02/11
ABA League
Dubai
#1
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H09/11
ABA League
87.8Avg total
41.5Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.047.089.0-5.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.345.589.8-1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)39.748.588.3-8.813%-
Last 10 (10)41.546.387.8-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.847.086.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.548.087.5-8.515%-
vs Similar (15)44.546.390.8-1.740%-
vs Weaker (2)39.046.585.5-7.550%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.4
58.5%
57.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.5
34.7%
33.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.912.5
74.0%
73.2%12.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.1
54.1%
57.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.27.9
29.0%
33.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws25.318.5
73.1%
73.2%18.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WWLLWWWWLW
Mega Basket
LLWLWLWWLW
#13
League position
#16
+21.3
Net rating
-3.1
102.8
Offensive rating
92.8
81.5
Defensive rating
95.9
55.5%
Effective FG%
49.5%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
13.7%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.40
34.7%
3-point %
29.0%
60.2%
Assist %
60.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 92.8Defence81.5 · 95.9Shooting55.5% · 49.5%3-point %34.7% · 29.0%Ball care13.7% · 15.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Zadar   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Zadar wins
7
Mega Basket wins
DateGameScore
11/10/26Mega Basket v Zadar88-82
12/12/25Mega Basket v Zadar90-89
14/11/25Zadar v Mega Basket88-73
30/03/25Mega Basket v Zadar75-74
02/12/24Zadar v Mega Basket65-68
06/02/24Zadar v Mega Basket74-71
05/11/23Mega Basket v Zadar91-81
23/01/23Mega Basket v Zadar80-77
17/10/22Zadar v Mega Basket96-90
04/04/22Zadar v Mega Basket81-85
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPartizan81-74
09/11/26HKvarner109-80
05/11/26ASpartak Subotica51-67
02/11/26ADubai75-89
30/10/26ADubrovnik105-71
25/10/26HPerspektiva Ilirija95-70
23/10/26HDinamo Zagreb87-61
18/10/26ASplit84-73
16/10/26AVienna Basket63-78
12/10/26ACedevita Junior87-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HDubai87-98
02/11/26HSpartak Subotica104-109 OT
24/10/26AVienna Basket94-88
18/10/26APerspektiva Ilirija62-96
11/10/26HZadar88-82
05/10/26APartizan59-83
26/04/26ABorac Mozzart98-89
20/04/26HSplit95-72
13/04/26AStudentski Centar85-89
06/04/26HKK Krka Novo mesto103-98 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%100%0%
Points / game75.185.067.8
Allowed / game75.969.780.5
Point differential-0.7+15.3-12.8
Avg total151.0154.7148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game82.393.071.7
Allowed / game92.796.389.0
Point differential-10.3-3.3-17.3
Avg total175.0189.3160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubai770100%94.080.7+13.3
2 Partizan76186%88.077.0+11.0
3 Crvena zvezda65183%93.283.5+9.7
4 Buducnost75271%89.481.9+7.6
5 Cedevita Olimpija64267%85.580.0+5.5
6 KK Bosna64267%90.587.3+3.2
7 Siroki Brijeg74357%85.985.0+0.9
8 Spartak Subotica74357%83.082.3+0.7
9 Slovan Bratislava63350%82.284.5-2.3
10 Borac Mozzart63350%84.790.2-5.5
11 Igokea73443%85.985.6+0.3
12 Cluj-Napoca73443%85.786.3-0.6
13 Zadar73443%75.175.9-0.7
14 Cibona73443%86.088.1-2.1
15 Vienna Basket62433%80.583.2-2.7
16 Mega Basket62433%82.392.7-10.3
17 FMP Beograd72529%79.983.1-3.3
18 Perspektiva Ilirija72529%75.379.6-4.3
19 KK Krka Novo mesto71614%74.083.6-9.6
20 Studentski Centar6060%81.093.8-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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