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Zadar vs Alkar Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 04 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game94.3
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record2-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game82.7
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 10· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Other2026-27
Meetings · Zadar v Alkar
04 Dec 2026
ZAD v ALKA
upcoming
14 Dec 2025
ZAD83
ALKA49
28 Sep 2024
ZAD94
ALKA47
11 Oct 2023
ZAD106
ALKA73
04 Dec 2022
ZAD90
ALKA66
29 Oct 2021
ZAD92
ALKA90
13 Mar 2021
ZAD102
ALKA66
06 Oct 2020
ZAD91
ALKA63
31 Oct 2019
ZAD116
ALKA93
14 Nov 2018
ZAD99
ALKA71
19 Jan 2018
ZAD93
ALKA62
23 Apr 2017
ZAD101
ALKA67
04 Apr 2015
ZAD77
ALKA63
06 Apr 2014
ZAD78
ALKA64
11 May 2013
ZAD92
ALKA76
21 Jan 2012
ZAD97
ALKA51
03 May 2011
ZAD76
ALKA61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alkar win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
87-56
87
56
+31
84avg 79
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#15
L
63-78
63
78
-15
47avg 79
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
W
84-73
84
73
+11
87avg 79
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
87-61
87
61
+26
77avg 79
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
W
95-70
95
70
+25
84avg 79
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
105-71
105
71
+34
108avg 79
A30/10
Premijer liga
Dubai
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
no box
A02/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
51-67
51
67
-16
no box
A05/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#5
W
109-80
109
80
+29
no box
H09/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
H14/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-10
21-12
21-18
18-16
21-22
13-18
14-21
15-17
16-24
18-19
23-14
27-16
26-17
21-15
19-17
21-12
26-16
14-19
27-12
28-23
14-16
30-15
29-18
32-22
21-16
17-19
20-23
17-31
13-12
16-17
9-14
13-24
28-19
29-23
26-22
26-16
27-23
26-10
11-16
17-25
155.6Avg total
83.7Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.367.0161.3+27.3100%
Season at home (3)92.366.7159.0+25.7100%
Season away (4)95.867.2163.0+28.5100%
Last 10 (10)83.771.9155.6+11.870%
Last 5 (5)84.276.2160.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.081.5159.5-3.550%
vs Similar (5)67.274.8142.0-7.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)87.170.4157.5+16.778%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Cibona
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
64avg 67
H27/09
Premijer liga
Zrinjski Mostar
#17
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
86avg 67
A30/09
ENBL
Samobor
#12
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
96avg 67
A04/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
L
73-88
73
88
-15
66avg 67
H10/10
Premijer liga
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
82-93
82
93
-11
76avg 67
A14/10
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#7
L
78-83
78
83
-5
71avg 67
A18/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
64avg 67
H25/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
72avg 67
A30/10
Premijer liga
Donar Groningen
#8
L
80-92
80
92
-12
no box
H03/11
ENBL
Dubrovnik
#10
W
91-72
91
72
+19
no box
H08/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
25-23
10-23
25-15
13-18
18-21
21-22
24-15
21-17
16-22
26-16
21-29
23-22
23-21
18-26
9-19
20-22
26-32
16-16
20-23
21-20
26-28
16-17
15-18
24-20
23-16
16-21
12-19
17-26
16-20
20-19
22-20
25-22
15-28
24-25
16-17
24-21
30-14
23-17
14-20
167.0Avg total
81.9Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.782.7163.4-2.029%
Season at home (4)79.280.0159.2-0.825%
Season away (3)82.786.3169.0-3.733%
Last 10 (10)81.985.1167.0-3.230%
Last 5 (5)79.881.6161.4-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)71.280.9152.1-9.720%
vs Similar (6)80.382.2162.5-1.850%
vs Weaker (4)84.579.5164.0+5.075%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
ZadarAlkar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
48-22
48
22
+26
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#15
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A30/10
Premijer liga
Dubai
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A05/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#5
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H09/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H14/11
ABA League
76.6Avg total
42.4Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.435.676.9+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.734.278.9+10.593%-
Last 30 away (16)38.436.875.2+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)42.434.276.6+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.234.078.2+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.534.079.5+11.5100%-
vs Similar (5)32.036.468.4-4.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.035.578.6+7.578%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H27/09
Premijer liga
Zrinjski Mostar
#17
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A30/09
ENBL
Samobor
#12
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A04/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H10/10
Premijer liga
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A14/10
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A18/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H25/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A30/10
Premijer liga
Donar Groningen
#8
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H03/11
ENBL
Dubrovnik
#10
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H08/11
Premijer liga
86.0Avg total
42.4Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.740.177.8-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.437.676.0+0.847%-
Last 30 away (15)37.042.779.7-5.720%-
Last 10 (10)42.443.686.0-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.087.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)35.539.975.4-4.420%-
vs Similar (6)39.540.580.0-1.067%-
vs Weaker (4)45.840.886.5+5.050%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.4
58.5%
54.8%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.5
34.7%
34.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.912.5
74.0%
71.7%12.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.621.1
56.1%
54.8%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.4
31.8%
34.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.413.0
67.0%
71.7%13.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WWLLWWWWLW
Alkar
WLLLLLLWWL
#1
League position
#8
+21.3
Net rating
-6.7
102.8
Offensive rating
93.5
81.5
Defensive rating
100.3
55.5%
Effective FG%
52.7%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
13.7%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.7%
3-point %
31.8%
60.2%
Assist %
58.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 93.5Defence81.5 · 100.3Shooting55.5% · 52.7%3-point %34.7% · 31.8%Ball care13.7% · 15.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Zadar   ■ Alkar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Zadar wins
0
Alkar wins
DateGameScore
04/04/26Alkar v Zadar58-69
09/03/26Alkar v Zadar54-77
14/12/25Zadar v Alkar83-49
23/03/25Alkar v Zadar44-63
15/12/24Alkar v Zadar61-71
28/09/24Zadar v Alkar94-47
17/03/24Alkar v Zadar65-73
20/12/23Alkar v Zadar70-84
11/10/23Zadar v Alkar106-73
06/03/23Alkar v Zadar83-100
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPartizan81-74
09/11/26HKvarner109-80
05/11/26ASpartak Subotica51-67
02/11/26ADubai75-89
30/10/26ADubrovnik105-71
25/10/26HPerspektiva Ilirija95-70
23/10/26HDinamo Zagreb87-61
18/10/26ASplit84-73
16/10/26AVienna Basket63-78
12/10/26ACedevita Junior87-56
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HDubrovnik91-72
03/11/26HDonar Groningen80-92
30/10/26ADinamo Zagreb75-85
25/10/26HSplit75-76
18/10/26ACedevita Junior78-83
14/10/26ASpartak Pleven82-93
10/10/26HSkrljevo73-88
04/10/26ASamobor95-91 OT
30/09/26AZrinjski Mostar92-87 OT
27/09/26HCibona78-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.392.395.8
Allowed / game67.066.767.2
Point differential+27.3+25.7+28.5
Avg total161.3159.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alkar
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game80.779.282.7
Allowed / game82.780.086.3
Point differential-2.0-0.8-3.7
Avg total163.4159.2169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar770100%94.367.0+27.3
2 Cibona880100%90.976.1+14.8
3 Split86275%81.976.1+5.8
4 Dinamo Zagreb85362%77.281.2-4.0
5 Kvarner74357%88.983.9+5.0
6 Skrljevo84450%83.283.6-0.4
7 Cedevita Junior84450%79.888.9-9.1
8 Alkar72529%80.782.7-2.0
9 Zabok82625%77.683.0-5.4
10 Dubrovnik82625%77.889.5-11.8
11 Dubrava71614%74.685.0-10.4
12 Samobor81712%76.683.9-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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