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Ukmerges Stekas vs Telsiai Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 94-91 (OT)
13-22 16-20 26-21 26-18 13-10
Position#16
Record6-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game90.6
vs
Position#10
Record16-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game83.4
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Telsiai
17 Dec 2026
UKME v TELS
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
UKME94
TELS91
24 Oct 2024
UKME94
TELS92
06 Jan 2024
UKME70
TELS76
15 Dec 2022
UKME80
TELS83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Telsiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
79-80
79
80
-1
68avg 74
A06/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
75avg 74
H11/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
81avg 74
A13/12
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
74-79
74
79
-5
62avg 74
A20/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
103-111 OT
103
111
-8
91avg 74
A22/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
64-71
64
71
-7
51avg 74
H03/01
NKL
Silute
#12
L
83-99
83
99
-16
69avg 74
A08/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
84-81
84
81
+3
80avg 74
A11/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
79-113
79
113
-34
no box
A15/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
54-91
54
91
-37
no box
H17/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
20-20
18-16
29-22
36-25
18-17
15-28
19-23
19-18
25-20
15-24
20-17
19-20
10-18
11-21
34-20
15-29
29-17
22-29
29-20
7-21
24-16
22-17
11-17
20-27
16-23
22-21
25-28
16-30
26-18
17-20
25-13
22-22
14-33
17-32
26-26
12-25
11-27
16-19
15-20
171.1Avg total
80.1Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.990.6171.6-9.724%
Season at home (11)79.087.5166.5-8.536%
Season away (14)82.493.1175.5-10.614%
Last 10 (10)80.191.0171.1-10.920%
Last 5 (5)72.891.0163.8-18.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)80.890.5171.4-9.725%
vs Similar (5)80.488.6169.0-8.220%
vs Weaker (1)97.072.0169.0+25.0100%
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TelsiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTelsiai
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
69avg 79
H04/12
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
60-75
60
75
-15
49avg 79
A11/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
92-72
92
72
+20
101avg 79
A18/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
86-83
86
83
+3
74avg 79
H20/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
94-82
94
82
+12
92avg 79
H03/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
89-107
89
107
-18
77avg 79
A08/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
65-87
65
87
-22
52avg 79
H10/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
89-75
89
75
+14
83avg 79
A13/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
H15/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
82-91
82
91
-9
no box
A17/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
24-23
22-18
13-29
21-20
9-19
11-16
19-20
19-23
28-16
19-16
26-17
21-16
25-21
20-19
20-27
20-23
24-20
24-27
26-12
21-32
23-26
21-26
24-23
14-21
18-18
14-24
19-24
22-23
24-19
20-21
23-12
20-19
15-21
26-19
20-24
20-19
18-25
17-26
27-21
165.7Avg total
81.7Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.383.4167.7+1.062%
Season at home (13)85.886.0171.8-0.262%
Season away (13)82.980.8163.7+2.262%
Last 10 (10)81.784.0165.7-2.340%
Last 5 (5)81.288.6169.8-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.489.6169.0-10.122%
vs Similar (15)88.179.4167.5+8.787%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)83.877.8161.7+6.083%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
Ukmerges StekasTelsiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A06/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H11/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A13/12
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A20/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A22/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H03/01
NKL
Silute
#12
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A08/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A11/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A15/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
23-52
23
52
-29
H17/01
NKL
81.9Avg total
37.1Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.745.685.3-5.927%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.944.786.6-2.846%-
Last 30 away (17)38.046.484.4-8.412%-
Last 10 (10)37.144.881.9-7.720%-
Last 5 (5)33.648.482.0-14.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)38.745.684.3-7.025%-
vs Similar (5)43.245.889.0-2.620%-
vs Weaker (1)47.045.092.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TelsiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H04/12
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A11/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A18/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H03/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A08/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H10/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A13/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H15/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A17/01
NKL
82.5Avg total
40.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.281.5+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.441.183.6+1.356%-
Last 30 away (14)40.139.179.2+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.982.5-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.044.683.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.243.181.3-4.933%-
vs Similar (15)43.939.783.5+4.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)39.737.276.8+2.550%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.922.8
51.9%
54.5%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.2
33.6%
32.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.011.1
61.7%
69.3%11.1
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Telsiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Telsiai: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.7
56.7%
54.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.4
34.9%
32.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.914.5
72.9%
69.3%14.5
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
LLWLLLLWLL
Telsiai
LLWLLWWWLL
#16
League position
#10
-8.6
Net rating
+1.9
99.7
Offensive rating
108.8
108.3
Defensive rating
106.9
51.4%
Effective FG%
54.9%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
16.3%
Turnover %
14.4%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.6%
3-point %
34.9%
54.2%
Assist %
58.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 108.8Defence108.3 · 106.9Shooting51.4% · 54.9%3-point %33.6% · 34.9%Ball care16.3% · 14.4%Off. rebounds27.2% · 25.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Telsiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ukmerges Stekas wins
6
Telsiai wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HSuduva-Mantinga54-91
15/01/26AKretinga79-113
11/01/26APlunges Olimpas84-81
08/01/26ASilute83-99
03/01/26HZalgiris Kaunas 264-71
22/12/25ARytas 2103-111 OT
20/12/25AMazeikiai74-79
13/12/25ANeptunas 293-92 OT
11/12/25HVytis VDU88-93
06/12/25ABC Olimpas Palanga79-80
Telsiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AKedainiu SC82-91
15/01/26HAlytaus Alytus81-83
13/01/26AKretinga89-75
10/01/26HNeptunas 265-87
08/01/26AVytis VDU89-107
03/01/26HOmega-Tauras94-82
20/12/25HVilkaviskis86-83
18/12/25APlunges Olimpas92-72
11/12/25AMazeikiai60-75
04/12/25HSuduva-Mantinga79-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL24%
HomeLWLLL36%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %24%36%14%
Points / game80.979.082.4
Allowed / game90.687.593.1
Point differential-9.7-8.5-10.6
Avg total171.6166.5175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (2)33% (6)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Telsiai
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL62%
HomeLWWLL62%
AwayLWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%62%62%
Points / game84.385.882.9
Allowed / game83.486.080.8
Point differential+1.0-0.2+2.2
Avg total167.7171.8163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%15%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)71% (7)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2824486%89.474.8+14.6
2 Vytis VDU2619773%87.582.6+4.8
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 22618869%86.084.7+1.3
4 Kedainiu SC27171063%89.085.6+3.3
5 Telsiai26161062%84.383.4+1.0
6 Vilkaviskis27151256%83.379.0+4.2
7 Jurbarkas25131252%76.876.7+0.1
8 Rytas 227141352%84.381.7+2.6
9 Neptunas 226131350%78.378.0+0.3
10 Mazeikiai26121446%83.181.8+1.3
11 Kretinga26121446%85.886.7-0.8
12 Silute27121544%86.089.6-3.6
13 BC Olimpas Palanga26111542%79.983.8-3.9
14 Omega-Tauras27111641%85.989.5-3.6
15 Ukmerges Stekas2561924%80.990.6-9.7
16 Plunges Olimpas2662023%80.486.4-6.0
17 Alytaus Alytus2752219%78.085.3-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Ukmerges Stekas131626261394
Telsiai222021181091
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