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Ukmerges Stekas vs Telsiai Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-92 (OT)
10-16 19-24 23-23 25-14 17-15
Position#8
Record3-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#1
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game78.7
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Telsiai
17 Dec 2026
UKME v TELS
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
UKME94
TELS91
24 Oct 2024
UKME94
TELS92
06 Jan 2024
UKME70
TELS76
15 Dec 2022
UKME80
TELS83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Telsiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
67-80
67
80
-13
57avg 71
H29/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
92-64
92
64
+28
86avg 71
H06/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
85-88
85
88
-3
80avg 71
A08/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
80-81
80
81
-1
70avg 71
H10/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
81-71
81
71
+10
71avg 71
H03/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
93-73
93
73
+20
86avg 71
A05/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
88-95
88
95
-7
74avg 71
H10/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
67-85
67
85
-18
53avg 71
A12/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
81-75
81
75
+6
74avg 71
A17/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
85-101
85
101
-16
68avg 71
A19/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
17-18
19-23
15-22
24-15
23-18
31-9
14-22
30-29
24-21
14-18
17-20
15-22
23-25
18-18
24-16
22-22
20-18
18-7
21-24
22-26
28-16
21-11
22-20
16-15
26-23
17-31
29-26
16-23
14-20
18-24
19-18
14-22
19-16
21-14
27-23
21-27
16-33
22-18
26-23
163.2Avg total
81.9Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.583.3165.8-0.850%
Season at home (2)84.583.0167.5+1.550%
Season away (4)81.583.5165.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)81.981.3163.2+0.640%
Last 5 (5)82.885.8168.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)75.079.0154.0-4.00%
vs Similar (16)79.678.2157.8+1.450%
vs Weaker (12)83.875.5159.2+8.283%
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TelsiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTelsiai
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
79-65
79
65
+14
67avg 78
A29/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
92-100 OT
92
100
-8
no box
H13/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
no box
A16/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
71-73
71
73
-2
58avg 78
H19/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
85-67
85
67
+18
85avg 78
H03/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
76-63
76
63
+13
64avg 78
A05/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 78
H10/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
100-108 OT
100
108
-8
78avg 78
A12/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
73-64
73
64
+9
67avg 78
A17/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
107-94
107
94
+13
105avg 78
H19/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
22-16
21-16
20-15
24-26
20-30
15-11
24-16
21-24
17-11
20-19
17-21
19-13
19-19
18-21
15-20
25-17
18-16
21-12
21-22
14-16
15-16
24-13
23-18
16-25
22-13
19-21
24-17
17-21
21-21
25-16
26-31
18-20
10-15
20-7
25-22
19-18
25-23
31-25
32-28
163.8Avg total
84.5Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.078.7165.7+8.383%
Season at home (3)91.079.0170.0+12.0100%
Season away (3)83.078.3161.3+4.767%
Last 10 (10)84.579.3163.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)87.481.0168.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)73.870.4144.2+3.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)86.175.3161.4+10.876%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
Ukmerges StekasTelsiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H29/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H06/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A08/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H10/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H03/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A05/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H10/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A12/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A17/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
37-60
37
60
-23
A19/10
NKL
83.2Avg total
40.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.380.0-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.938.777.6+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)40.542.082.5-1.553%-
Last 10 (10)40.642.683.2-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.444.282.6-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)37.043.580.5-6.50%-
vs Similar (16)40.441.381.8-0.950%-
vs Weaker (12)39.238.577.7+0.758%-
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TelsiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A29/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H13/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A16/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H19/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H03/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A05/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H10/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A12/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A17/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H19/10
NKL
75.6Avg total
37.8Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.136.376.3+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.335.277.5+7.175%-
Last 30 away (14)37.537.575.0+0.043%-
Last 10 (10)37.837.875.6+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.437.673.0-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)34.034.468.4-0.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.336.677.9+4.664%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.5
53.2%
52.5%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.28.6
28.5%
32.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.812.5
70.2%
70.5%12.5
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Telsiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Telsiai: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.5
53.3%
52.5%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.0
35.1%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.516.8
74.7%
70.5%16.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
LWLLWWLLWL
Telsiai
WWLWWWLLLW
#8
League position
#1
+0.8
Net rating
+13.4
107.2
Offensive rating
114.6
106.4
Defensive rating
101.2
48.7%
Effective FG%
53.1%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
14.9%
Turnover %
14.4%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.36
28.5%
3-point %
35.1%
58.5%
Assist %
52.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 114.6Defence106.4 · 101.2Shooting48.7% · 53.1%3-point %28.5% · 35.1%Ball care14.9% · 14.4%Off. rebounds33.0% · 30.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Telsiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ukmerges Stekas wins
4
Telsiai wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24ARytas 285-101
17/10/24ADelikatesas Joniskis81-75
12/10/24ANeptunas 267-85
10/10/24HVytis VDU88-95
05/10/24APlunges Olimpas93-73
03/10/24HZalgiris Kaunas 281-71
10/03/24HDelikatesas Joniskis80-81
08/03/24ADelikatesas Joniskis85-88
06/03/24HDelikatesas Joniskis92-64
29/02/24HDelikatesas Joniskis67-80
Telsiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24HDelikatesas Joniskis107-94
17/10/24ANeptunas 273-64
12/10/24AVytis VDU100-108 OT
10/10/24HPlunges Olimpas81-76
05/10/24AZalgiris Kaunas 276-63
03/10/24HJurbarkas85-67
19/03/24HKretinga71-73
16/03/24AKretinga81-83 OT
13/03/24HKretinga92-100 OT
29/02/24AZalgiris Kaunas 279-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game82.584.581.5
Allowed / game83.383.083.5
Point differential-0.8+1.5-2.0
Avg total165.8167.5165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Telsiai
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game87.091.083.0
Allowed / game78.779.078.3
Point differential+8.3+12.0+4.7
Avg total165.7170.0161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas76186%82.779.7+3.0
2 Telsiai65183%87.078.7+8.3
3 Omega-Tauras75271%81.975.1+6.7
4 Neptunas 275271%76.670.9+5.7
5 Suduva-Mantinga64267%87.779.7+8.0
6 Vytis VDU64267%96.590.2+6.3
7 Vilkaviskis74357%85.481.0+4.4
8 Zalgiris Kaunas 274357%80.179.0+1.1
9 BC Olimpas Palanga63350%78.571.5+7.0
10 Kretinga63350%84.883.5+1.3
11 Ukmerges Stekas63350%82.583.3-0.8
12 Silute62433%79.080.0-1.0
13 Rytas 262433%78.585.5-7.0
14 Plunges Olimpas71614%71.183.4-12.3
15 Alytaus Alytus71614%74.388.9-14.6
16 Delikatesas Joniskis7070%73.686.7-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Ukmerges Stekas101923251794
Telsiai162423141592
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