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Ukmerges Stekas vs Telsiai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 70-76
16-22 14-20 19-17 21-17
Position#5
Record12-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game76.3
Ukmerges Stekas
Lithuania
vs
Telsiai 🏆
Lithuania
Position#2
Record21-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game72.0
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Telsiai
17 Dec 2026
UKME v TELS
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
UKME94
TELS91
24 Oct 2024
UKME94
TELS92
06 Jan 2024
UKME70
TELS76
15 Dec 2022
UKME80
TELS83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Telsiai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
68-76
68
76
-8
61avg 69
H30/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
62-54
62
54
+8
53avg 69
H02/12
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
70-82
70
82
-12
55avg 69
A06/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
78-64
78
64
+14
70avg 69
H09/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
99-85
99
85
+14
101avg 69
H12/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
80-82
80
82
-2
73avg 69
H14/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
81-75
81
75
+6
78avg 69
A16/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
66avg 69
H21/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
79-75
79
75
+4
76avg 69
A23/12
NKL
Silute
#14
W
79-58
79
58
+21
76avg 69
A04/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
19-16
23-27
7-16
23-17
12-18
4-12
23-7
14-14
17-26
17-18
22-24
19-19
18-15
23-13
18-17
25-18
21-19
21-24
32-24
24-23
20-22
16-24
20-13
22-23
14-27
27-9
18-16
15-20
21-20
20-20
15-14
24-25
19-21
16-10
20-19
21-11
19-18
22-10
17-19
149.2Avg total
76.7Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.176.3151.4-1.250%
Season at home (12)78.174.8152.8+3.358%
Season away (12)72.177.9150.0-5.842%
Last 10 (10)76.772.5149.2+4.260%
Last 5 (5)78.072.8150.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)67.479.6147.0-12.20%
vs Similar (12)75.278.2153.4-2.950%
vs Weaker (13)83.976.7160.6+7.269%
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TelsiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTelsiai
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
71-66
71
66
+5
62avg 82
H30/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
77-84
77
84
-7
72avg 82
A02/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
82-65
82
65
+17
81avg 82
A05/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
97-69
97
69
+28
100avg 82
H07/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
98avg 82
A14/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
111-78
111
78
+33
120avg 82
H16/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
63-59
63
59
+4
54avg 82
H19/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
95-67
95
67
+28
87avg 82
A21/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
73-66
73
66
+7
63avg 82
H23/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
86-72
86
72
+14
82avg 82
H04/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
20-17
10-17
24-16
25-22
17-16
15-22
20-24
20-14
18-21
21-9
23-21
28-9
22-24
18-17
29-19
26-20
26-19
22-19
20-18
29-18
25-14
27-22
30-24
18-12
18-14
15-17
12-16
19-20
21-23
30-15
25-9
24-18
16-11
24-17
9-20
24-17
20-28
26-13
16-14
155.1Avg total
84.9Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)84.172.0156.2+12.184%
Season at home (13)83.969.8153.7+14.292%
Season away (12)84.374.5158.8+9.875%
Last 10 (10)84.970.2155.1+14.790%
Last 5 (5)85.668.4154.0+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.074.0149.0+1.0100%
vs Similar (5)74.075.4149.4-1.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)84.870.3155.1+14.588%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
Ukmerges StekasTelsiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H30/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H02/12
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A06/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H09/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H12/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H14/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A16/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H21/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A23/12
NKL
Silute
#14
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A04/01
NKL
77.5Avg total
38.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.177.7+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.836.378.1+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)37.340.077.3-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.977.5-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.081.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.439.475.8-3.020%-
vs Similar (12)37.739.477.1-1.833%-
vs Weaker (13)42.536.579.0+6.177%-
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TelsiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H30/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A02/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H07/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A14/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H16/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H19/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A21/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H04/01
NKL
78.6Avg total
43.3Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.935.076.9+6.977%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.332.475.7+10.988%-
Last 30 away (14)40.337.978.2+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)43.335.378.6+8.080%-
Last 5 (5)42.835.077.8+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.030.075.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar (5)38.433.672.0+4.880%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.535.578.0+7.075%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.6
51.4%
51.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.0
33.5%
33.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.111.9
69.6%
70.3%11.9
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Telsiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Telsiai: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.623.7
58.4%
51.9%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.9
36.2%
33.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.913.8
69.3%
70.3%13.8
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
WWLWLWWLWL
Telsiai
WWWWWWWWLW
#5
League position
#2
+6.7
Net rating
+20.7
105.8
Offensive rating
114.9
99.1
Defensive rating
94.2
50.9%
Effective FG%
57.0%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
15.2%
Turnover %
16.3%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.5%
3-point %
36.2%
71.4%
Assist %
66.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 114.9Defence99.1 · 94.2Shooting50.9% · 57.0%3-point %33.5% · 36.2%Ball care15.2% · 16.3%Off. rebounds26.4% · 27.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Telsiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ukmerges Stekas wins
3
Telsiai wins
DateGameScore
11/11/23Telsiai v Ukmerges Stekas75-58
15/12/22Ukmerges Stekas v Telsiai80-83
20/10/22Telsiai v Ukmerges Stekas78-74
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24ASilute79-58
23/12/23AVytis VDU79-75
21/12/23HDelikatesas Joniskis71-74
16/12/23AKretinga81-75
14/12/23HBC Olimpas Palanga80-82
12/12/23HVilkaviskis99-85
09/12/23HNeptunas 278-64
06/12/23AKauno Atletas70-82
02/12/23HJurbarkas62-54
30/11/23HSuduva-Mantinga68-76
Telsiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24HNeptunas 286-72
23/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas 273-66
21/12/23AKretinga95-67
19/12/23HSuduva-Mantinga63-59
16/12/23HJurbarkas111-78
14/12/23AVilkaviskis94-76
07/12/23HRytas 297-69
05/12/23ADelikatesas Joniskis82-65
02/12/23AVytis VDU77-84
30/11/23HBC Olimpas Palanga71-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeWWWLL58%
AwayLLWWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%58%42%
Points / game75.178.172.1
Allowed / game76.374.877.9
Point differential-1.2+3.3-5.8
Avg total151.4152.8150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Telsiai
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %84%92%75%
Points / game84.183.984.3
Allowed / game72.069.874.5
Point differential+12.1+14.2+9.8
Avg total156.2153.7158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%54%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)80% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2421388%86.472.4+14.0
2 Telsiai2521484%84.172.0+12.1
3 BC Olimpas Palanga2520580%81.871.6+10.2
4 Jurbarkas25141156%79.978.7+1.2
5 Vytis VDU24131154%85.283.0+2.2
6 Vilkaviskis25131252%81.883.3-1.5
7 Zalgiris Kaunas 224121250%75.273.2+2.0
8 Ukmerges Stekas24121250%75.176.3-1.2
9 Delikatesas Joniskis24111346%76.983.8-6.9
10 Kauno Atletas2491538%75.979.7-3.8
11 Kretinga2591636%77.581.6-4.1
12 Rytas 22581732%81.289.4-8.1
13 Silute2561924%76.882.9-6.1
14 Neptunas 22532212%75.885.4-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas1614192170
Telsiai2220171776
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