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Tennessee vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 64-42
22-21 42-21
Position#23
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game61.0
vs
Position#230
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game65.7
Allowed / game53.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TennesseeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#50
L
81-85
81
85
-4
H09/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
L
56-73
56
73
-17
H15/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#152
W
83-49
83
49
+34
H22/03
NCAA
Texas
#112
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H24/03
NCAA
Creighton
#43
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H30/03
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A31/03
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#316
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H05/11
NCAA
Louisville
#26
W
77-55
77
55
+22
A09/11
NCAA
Montana
#53
W
92-57
92
57
+35
H14/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
103-68
103
68
+35
H17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-33
52-52
19-38
37-35
46-20
37-29
28-19
34-39
34-35
48-40
34-36
32-36
44-32
36-32
40-26
37-29
40-31
52-26
52-29
51-39
143.8Avg total
78.2Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.061.0149.0+27.0100%
Season at home (3)91.763.0154.7+28.7100%
Season away (1)77.055.0132.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.265.6143.8+12.670%
Last 5 (5)83.663.2146.8+20.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)84.176.0160.1+8.175%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)78.863.3142.1+15.582%
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#19
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H24/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A29/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
48-73
48
73
-25
A02/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H10/03
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
66-60 OT
66
60
+6
H15/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
65-73 OT
65
73
-8
H16/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
42-67
42
67
-25
H20/03
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#351
W
62-45
62
45
+17
H12/11
NCAA
Villanova
#138
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
16-26
28-28
27-23
45-45
18-40
30-33
38-24
34-33
29-35
28-22
29-29
29-29
14-27
28-40
35-26
30-30
32-16
30-29
31-26
39-34
121.9Avg total
60.6Scored
61.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)65.753.7119.3+12.0100%
Season at home (2)63.550.5114.0+13.0100%
Season away (1)70.060.0130.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)60.661.3121.9-0.760%
Last 5 (5)60.860.2121.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)56.160.4116.6-4.344%
vs Similar (12)64.365.0129.3-0.767%
vs Weaker (9)67.755.6123.2+12.189%
This opponent (Tennessee) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.7+6.71st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: +5.9+5.92nd half: -0.2-0.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.7+6.71st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: +5.9+5.92nd half: -0.2-0.2
TennesseeVirginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TennesseeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#50
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H09/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
L
19-38
19
38
-19
H15/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#152
W
46-20
46
20
+26
H22/03
NCAA
Texas
#112
W
28-19
28
19
+9
H24/03
NCAA
Creighton
#43
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H30/03
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A31/03
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#316
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H05/11
NCAA
Louisville
#26
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A09/11
NCAA
Montana
#53
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H14/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H17/11
NCAA
66.5Avg total
36.6Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.931.469.3+6.567%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.529.268.7+10.379%-
Last 30 away (11)35.335.270.5+0.145%-
Last 10 (10)36.629.966.5+6.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.030.872.8+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)39.536.275.8+3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)37.429.667.0+7.773%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#19
L
16-26
16
26
-10
H24/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A29/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
18-40
18
40
-22
A02/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H10/03
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H15/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H16/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
14-27
14
27
-13
H20/03
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#351
W
32-16
32
16
+16
H12/11
NCAA
Villanova
#138
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A15/11
NCAA
54.1Avg total
26.9Scored
27.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.526.255.7+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (18)30.323.453.8+6.961%-
Last 30 away (12)28.230.358.6-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)26.927.254.1-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)28.224.853.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)25.327.352.7-2.033%-
vs Similar (12)28.927.256.1+1.858%-
vs Weaker (9)34.423.858.2+10.778%-
This opponent (Tennessee) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tennessee wins
0
Virginia wins
No previous meetings.
Tennesseelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24HAustin Peay103-68
14/11/24HMontana92-57
09/11/24ALouisville77-55
05/11/24HGardner Webb80-64
31/03/24APurdue66-72
30/03/24HCreighton82-75
24/03/24HTexas62-58
22/03/24HSt. Peters83-49
15/03/24HMississippi St.56-73
09/03/24HKentucky81-85
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/24AVillanova70-60
12/11/24HCoppin State62-45
07/11/24HCampbell65-56
20/03/24HColorado State42-67
16/03/24HNC State65-73 OT
15/03/24HBoston College66-60 OT
10/03/24HGeorgia Tech72-57
02/03/24ADuke48-73
29/02/24ABoston College72-68
24/02/24HNorth Carolina44-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.091.777.0
Allowed / game61.063.055.0
Point differential+27.0+28.7+22.0
Avg total149.0154.7132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virginia
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game65.763.570.0
Allowed / game53.750.560.0
Point differential+12.0+13.0+10.0
Avg total119.3114.0130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn440100%87.259.2+28.0
2 Tennessee440100%88.061.0+27.0
3 Kentucky440100%94.268.5+25.8
4 Oklahoma440100%83.859.2+24.5
5 Mississippi St.440100%88.564.5+24.0
6 Georgia550100%87.066.6+20.4
7 Florida550100%87.267.8+19.4
8 Ole Miss550100%80.863.0+17.8
9 LSU440100%80.563.5+17.0
10 Vanderbilt550100%87.872.0+15.8
11 Texas54180%85.261.2+24.0
12 Texas A&M54180%78.861.6+17.2
13 Alabama54180%89.674.2+15.4
14 Missouri43175%86.865.2+21.5
15 Arkansas43175%74.863.2+11.5
16 South Carolina53260%78.470.2+8.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pittsburgh550100%88.259.6+28.6
2 Stanford550100%80.861.4+19.4
3 Notre Dame440100%83.564.5+19.0
4 NC State440100%83.064.2+18.8
5 Virginia330100%65.753.7+12.0
6 Wake Forest65183%73.867.8+6.0
7 SMU Mustangs54180%91.870.6+21.2
8 Clemson54180%80.864.6+16.2
9 Florida State54180%74.465.4+9.0
10 Duke43175%88.558.0+30.5
11 Miami (FL)43175%90.869.8+21.0
12 California43175%79.274.2+5.0
13 Syracuse43175%82.579.8+2.8
14 Boston College43175%69.567.5+2.0
15 North Carolina32167%95.374.3+21.0
16 Louisville32167%82.763.3+19.3
17 Virginia Tech53260%72.469.2+3.2
18 Georgia Tech42250%82.076.5+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee224264
Virginia212142
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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