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Boston College vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 68-72
23-27 45-45
Position#169
Record15-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#66
Record20-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game63.4
Allowed / game58.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Boston College v Virginia
31 Jan 2026
BOST66
VIRG73
28 Feb 2024
BOST68
VIRG72
22 Feb 2023
BOST63
VIRG48
09 Jan 2021
BOST49
VIRG61
07 Jan 2020
BOST60
VIRG53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston College winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CollegeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#19
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H20/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A27/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H07/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A10/02
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H14/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H17/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A21/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-34
35-42
33-44
38-32
23-23
38-35
37-30
43-45
31-37
31-26
32-36
33-44
39-47
50-30
41-41
44-36
43-43
33-41
26-38
44-43
147.2Avg total
72.5Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.073.5149.5+2.456%
Season at home (16)77.971.4149.3+6.669%
Season away (11)73.176.6149.7-3.536%
Last 10 (10)72.574.7147.2-2.240%
Last 5 (5)77.079.8156.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.781.8153.5-10.217%
vs Similar ◀ (17)74.473.2147.6+1.147%
vs Weaker (7)80.467.0147.4+13.4100%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#94
W
59-53 OT
59
53
+6
H25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
69-52
69
52
+17
A27/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H01/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A03/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
60-38
60
38
+22
H06/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A11/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H14/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H17/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
41-75
41
75
-34
A20/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-15
20-32
41-13
28-39
38-23
27-30
34-26
32-39
29-17
31-21
34-30
46-46
31-35
32-39
21-22
28-25
16-36
25-39
16-26
28-28
118.3Avg total
59.6Scored
58.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)63.458.4121.8+5.071%
Season at home (18)66.052.3118.3+13.789%
Season away (10)58.769.4128.1-10.740%
Last 10 (10)59.658.7118.3+0.970%
Last 5 (5)55.465.2120.6-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)56.057.6113.6-1.640%
vs Similar ◀ (16)62.560.7123.2+1.862%
vs Weaker (9)67.955.9123.8+12.089%
This opponent (Boston College) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.7-3.71st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -4.1-4.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.7-3.71st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -4.1-4.1
Boston CollegeVirginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boston CollegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#19
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H20/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A24/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
D
23-23
23
23
+0
A27/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H31/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H07/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Louisville
#348
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H14/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H17/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A21/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A24/02
NCAA
70.9Avg total
33.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.836.271.0-1.427%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.834.770.5+1.239%-
Last 30 away (12)33.238.571.7-5.38%-
Last 10 (10)33.637.370.9-3.710%-
Last 5 (5)36.241.077.2-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.738.773.3-4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)35.235.871.0-0.624%-
vs Weaker (7)33.935.068.9-1.129%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#94
W
27-15
27
15
+12
H25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
41-13
41
13
+28
A27/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H01/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A03/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
29-17
29
17
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A11/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
21-22
21
22
-1
H17/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
16-36
16
36
-20
A20/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
16-26
16
26
-10
H24/02
NCAA
53.0Avg total
28.7Scored
24.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.325.255.5+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (20)31.422.654.0+8.875%-
Last 30 away (10)28.130.358.4-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)28.724.353.0+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)23.629.853.4-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)26.025.451.4+0.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)29.025.854.8+3.269%-
vs Weaker (9)35.024.059.0+11.078%-
This opponent (Boston College) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Boston College wins
4
Virginia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24ANC State70-81
21/02/24AFlorida State76-84
17/02/24HMiami (FL)85-77
14/02/24HLouisville89-77
10/02/24ADuke65-80
07/02/24HFlorida State62-63
31/01/24HSyracuse80-75
27/01/24ANotre Dame61-58
24/01/24AVirginia Tech71-76
20/01/24HNorth Carolina66-76
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24HNorth Carolina44-54
20/02/24AVirginia Tech41-75
17/02/24HWake Forest49-47
14/02/24HPittsburgh63-74
11/02/24AFlorida State80-76
06/02/24HMiami (FL)60-38
03/02/24AClemson66-65
01/02/24HNotre Dame65-53
27/01/24ALouisville69-52
25/01/24HNC State59-53 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston College
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL56%
HomeLWLWW69%
AwayLWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %56%69%36%
Points / game76.077.973.1
Allowed / game73.571.476.6
Point differential+2.4+6.6-3.5
Avg total149.5149.3149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%31%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%6%0%
Virginia
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL71%
HomeWWLWL89%
AwayWWWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281810
Win %71%89%40%
Points / game63.466.058.7
Allowed / game58.452.369.4
Point differential+5.0+13.7-10.7
Avg total121.8118.3128.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%56%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2822679%80.567.4+13.1
2 North Carolina2822679%81.570.4+11.1
3 Clemson2820871%78.470.8+7.6
4 Virginia2820871%63.458.4+5.0
5 SMU Mustangs2819968%77.166.7+10.5
6 Syracuse29191066%76.674.9+1.7
7 Wake Forest28181064%79.069.7+9.3
8 Pittsburgh28181064%74.667.1+7.5
9 NC State28171161%76.272.1+4.1
10 Boston College27151256%76.073.5+2.4
11 Virginia Tech28151354%74.170.4+3.7
12 Florida State28151354%76.575.1+1.4
13 Miami (FL)30151550%76.473.2+3.1
14 California29131645%75.076.2-1.2
15 Stanford27121544%76.976.4+0.4
16 Georgia Tech28121643%70.775.2-4.5
17 Notre Dame28111739%63.465.6-2.2
18 Louisville2882029%72.178.8-6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boston College234568
Virginia274572
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