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Virginia vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 44-54
16-26 28-28
Position#66
Record20-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game64.1
Allowed / game58.6
Virginia
USA
vs
North Carolina 🏆
USA
Position#19
Record20-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game71.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Virginia v North Carolina
24 Jan 2026
VIRG80
NORT85
24 Feb 2024
VIRG44
NORT54
09 Mar 2023
VIRG68
NORT59
10 Jan 2023
VIRG65
NORT58
13 Feb 2021
VIRG60
NORT48
08 Dec 2019
VIRG56
NORT47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#265
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A20/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
59-53 OT
59
53
+6
H25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
69-52
69
52
+17
A27/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H01/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A03/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
60-38
60
38
+22
H06/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A11/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H14/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H17/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
41-75
41
75
-34
A20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-29
42-37
27-15
20-32
41-13
28-39
38-23
27-30
34-26
32-39
29-17
31-21
34-30
46-46
31-35
32-39
21-22
28-25
16-36
25-39
122.6Avg total
62.7Scored
59.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)64.158.6122.7+5.674%
Season at home (17)67.352.2119.5+15.194%
Season away (10)58.769.4128.1-10.740%
Last 10 (10)62.759.9122.6+2.880%
Last 5 (5)58.662.0120.6-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)59.058.5117.5+0.550%
vs Similar (17)63.360.4123.7+2.965%
vs Weaker (9)67.955.9123.8+12.089%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#348
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A20/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H23/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A27/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A31/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H07/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A10/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A14/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
96-81
96
81
+15
H17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
46-29
40-41
34-31
42-35
33-34
52-30
36-41
39-27
37-37
36-37
45-35
48-49
34-43
42-37
40-41
35-31
42-42
37-44
50-39
46-42
155.9Avg total
81.4Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)82.871.4154.3+11.477%
Season at home (15)88.972.1161.1+16.887%
Season away (11)74.570.5145.0+4.164%
Last 10 (10)81.474.5155.9+6.970%
Last 5 (5)83.880.6164.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
vs Similar (7)78.173.4151.6+4.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)82.268.8151.0+13.582%
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: +4.4+4.4
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: +4.4+4.4
VirginiaNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#265
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A20/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
27-15
27
15
+12
H25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
41-13
41
13
+28
A27/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H01/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A03/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
29-17
29
17
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A11/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
21-22
21
22
-1
H17/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
16-36
16
36
-20
A20/02
NCAA
55.0Avg total
30.4Scored
24.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.025.156.1+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (20)32.522.655.0+9.980%-
Last 30 away (10)28.130.358.4-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)30.424.655.0+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)26.228.054.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)28.525.253.8+3.225%-
vs Similar (17)29.525.755.2+3.871%-
vs Weaker (9)35.024.059.0+11.078%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#348
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A20/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H23/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A27/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A31/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H03/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A10/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A14/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H17/02
NCAA
76.9Avg total
39.7Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.034.373.3+4.653%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.534.575.9+7.065%-
Last 30 away (13)35.734.269.8+1.538%-
Last 10 (10)39.737.276.9+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.082.2+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.044.083.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (7)37.633.471.0+4.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)39.434.273.6+5.259%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Virginia wins
3
North Carolina wins
DateGameScore
10/03/23Virginia v North Carolina68-59
25/02/23North Carolina v Virginia71-63
11/01/23Virginia v North Carolina65-58
11/03/22North Carolina v Virginia63-43
08/01/22North Carolina v Virginia74-58
13/02/21Virginia v North Carolina60-48
16/02/20North Carolina v Virginia62-64
08/12/19Virginia v North Carolina56-47
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/24AVirginia Tech41-75
17/02/24HWake Forest49-47
14/02/24HPittsburgh63-74
11/02/24AFlorida State80-76
06/02/24HMiami (FL)60-38
03/02/24AClemson66-65
01/02/24HNotre Dame65-53
27/01/24ALouisville69-52
25/01/24HNC State59-53 OT
20/01/24AGeorgia Tech75-66
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HVirginia Tech96-81
14/02/24ASyracuse79-86
10/02/24AMiami (FL)75-72
07/02/24HClemson76-80
03/02/24HDuke93-84
31/01/24AGeorgia Tech73-74
27/01/24AFlorida State75-68
23/01/24HWake Forest85-64
20/01/24ABoston College76-66
18/01/24HLouisville86-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL74%
HomeWWWLW94%
AwayWWWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271710
Win %74%94%40%
Points / game64.167.358.7
Allowed / game58.652.269.4
Point differential+5.6+15.1-10.7
Avg total122.7119.5128.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%59%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %4%6%0%
North Carolina
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW77%
HomeWWWLW87%
AwayWWLWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %77%87%64%
Points / game82.888.974.5
Allowed / game71.472.170.5
Point differential+11.4+16.8+4.1
Avg total154.3161.1145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2721678%80.467.7+12.7
2 North Carolina2620677%82.871.4+11.4
3 Virginia2720774%64.158.6+5.6
4 SMU Mustangs2719870%77.566.2+11.3
5 Clemson2618869%78.971.4+7.5
6 Wake Forest2718967%79.669.7+9.9
7 Pittsburgh2617965%75.067.2+7.8
8 Syracuse28181064%76.375.0+1.3
9 NC State27171063%76.071.4+4.6
10 Virginia Tech26151158%74.669.6+5.0
11 Boston College27151256%76.073.5+2.4
12 Florida State26141254%76.574.8+1.7
13 Miami (FL)28151354%76.672.9+3.6
14 Stanford26121446%77.076.1+0.9
15 California27121544%75.176.2-1.1
16 Georgia Tech27111641%70.475.2-4.8
17 Notre Dame27101737%63.165.6-2.5
18 Louisville2781930%72.678.6-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia162844
North Carolina262854
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