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Texas State vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 52-55
22-20 30-35
Position#236
Record7-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game66.2
vs
Troy 🏆
USA
Position#115
Record8-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game66.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Texas State v Troy
11 Feb 2026
TEXA74
TROY62
25 Feb 2025
TEXA69
TROY74
01 Mar 2024
TEXA82
TROY79
31 Dec 2022
TEXA52
TROY55
30 Dec 2021
TEXA63
TROY78
06 Jan 2020
TEXA63
TROY71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#369
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A22/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A27/11
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A02/12
NCAA
Rice
#164
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H04/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A11/12
NCAA
Hardin-Baylor
#3
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H14/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
62-69
62
69
-7
H17/12
NCAA
University of Sciences
#398
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H21/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-22
34-33
34-26
44-39
29-28
36-44
28-23
37-32
30-40
41-43
33-24
38-41
24-36
41-35
34-39
28-30
41-29
46-43
25-32
28-25
134.0Avg total
67.6Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)66.766.2132.9+0.550%
Season at home (7)69.667.1136.7+2.443%
Season away (7)63.965.3129.1-1.457%
Last 10 (10)67.666.4134.0+1.250%
Last 5 (5)67.666.8134.4+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)68.368.7137.0-0.333%
vs Similar (9)64.966.3131.2-1.467%
vs Weaker (14)67.661.9129.5+5.671%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A19/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A20/11
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#653
W
118-61
118
61
+57
H23/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A03/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A06/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H10/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A17/12
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H22/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-36
38-42
26-32
47-30
66-30
52-31
33-31
28-43
34-41
38-37
33-29
22-31
43-30
44-34
37-37
40-34
32-41
47-41
23-26
37-38
145.2Avg total
75.8Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.166.4144.4+11.757%
Season at home (6)90.061.7151.7+28.383%
Season away (8)69.169.9139.0-0.838%
Last 10 (10)75.869.4145.2+6.440%
Last 5 (5)71.668.2139.8+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.075.0145.0-5.050%
vs Similar (14)64.766.7131.4-2.036%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)73.165.1138.2+8.080%
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +3.2+3.2
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +3.2+3.2
Texas StateTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#369
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H26/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A27/11
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A02/12
NCAA
Rice
#164
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H04/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A11/12
NCAA
Hardin-Baylor
#3
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H14/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H17/12
NCAA
University of Sciences
#398
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H21/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H30/12
NCAA
60.2Avg total
30.3Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.429.762.1+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.330.765.0+3.547%-
Last 30 away (15)30.528.759.2+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)30.329.960.2+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)31.432.063.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)32.331.063.3+1.367%-
vs Similar (9)30.929.860.7+1.144%-
vs Weaker (14)32.929.562.4+3.457%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A19/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A20/11
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#653
W
66-30
66
30
+36
H23/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A29/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A03/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A06/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H10/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A17/12
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H22/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A30/12
NCAA
69.8Avg total
36.5Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.531.165.6+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.229.165.4+7.164%-
Last 30 away (16)33.132.865.8+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)36.533.369.8+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)33.632.666.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.030.562.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (14)31.431.162.5+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)34.730.465.1+4.360%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Texas State wins
2
Troy wins
DateGameScore
26/02/22Troy v Texas State61-66
31/12/21Texas State v Troy63-78
07/01/20Texas State v Troy63-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/22HLouisiana Monroe53-57
21/12/22HUniversity of Sciences87-72
17/12/22HSam Houston St.62-69
14/12/22HHardin-Baylor65-71
11/12/22AUT Arlington71-65
04/12/22HRice71-83
02/12/22ALamar65-55
27/11/22AHawaii65-72
26/11/22HSouthern Utah78-65
22/11/22ACalifornia59-55
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/22ASouthern Miss60-64
22/12/22HMercer79-82
17/12/22ASE Louisiana77-71
10/12/22HTennessee Tech87-64
06/12/22ASan Diego State55-60
03/12/22ASiu Edwardsville72-78
29/11/22AArkansas61-74
23/11/22HSouthern-New O.118-61
20/11/22AMontana73-62
19/11/22ASt. Thomas (Minn.)76-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeLLLWL43%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%43%57%
Points / game66.769.663.9
Allowed / game66.267.165.3
Point differential+0.5+2.4-1.4
Avg total132.9136.7129.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Troy
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL57%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%83%38%
Points / game78.190.069.1
Allowed / game66.461.769.9
Point differential+11.7+28.3-0.8
Avg total144.4151.7139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%83%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss1513287%77.961.3+16.6
2 Marshall1512380%82.168.5+13.6
3 James Madison1511473%89.765.3+24.5
4 Louisiana Lafayette1410471%81.672.4+9.2
5 Old Dominion149564%67.864.8+3.0
6 Georgia Southern159660%68.162.7+5.3
7 Arkansas State159660%68.565.1+3.4
8 Troy148657%78.166.4+11.7
9 Georgia State148657%67.663.0+4.6
10 Coastal Carolina137654%77.468.2+9.2
11 Texas State147750%66.766.2+0.5
12 Appalachian State157847%75.365.3+9.9
13 South Alabama146843%69.667.8+1.8
14 Louisiana Monroe156940%71.669.7+1.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State223052
Troy203555
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