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Arkansas State vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 58-61
24-28 34-33
Position#278
Record9-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game65.1
vs
Position#236
Record9-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game64.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Arkansas State v Texas State
10 Jan 2026
ARKA83
TEXA82
25 Jan 2025
ARKA80
TEXA65
11 Jan 2024
ARKA85
TEXA82
12 Jan 2023
ARKA58
TEXA61
22 Jan 2022
ARKA67
TEXA60
22 Feb 2021
ARKA52
TEXA57
04 Jan 2020
ARKA67
TEXA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H02/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A07/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A10/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H15/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#348
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H20/12
NCAA
UALR
#322
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H22/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
72-84
72
84
-12
H31/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
45-63
45
63
-18
A06/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-20
28-18
35-27
32-45
27-44
28-36
24-26
44-35
27-31
45-34
31-39
46-36
29-16
31-41
36-47
36-37
18-29
27-34
27-31
27-35
128.9Avg total
62.8Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)66.365.1131.4+1.253%
Season at home (10)73.463.2136.6+10.280%
Season away (7)56.167.7123.9-11.614%
Last 10 (10)62.866.1128.9-3.350%
Last 5 (5)61.669.0130.6-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)61.869.1130.9-7.333%
vs Similar ◀ (11)63.967.5131.5-3.645%
vs Weaker (9)71.361.6132.9+9.878%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#339
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A02/12
NCAA
Rice
#164
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H04/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A11/12
NCAA
Hardin-Baylor
#3
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H14/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
62-69
62
69
-7
H17/12
NCAA
University of Sciences
#398
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H21/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H30/12
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H31/12
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A06/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-23
37-32
30-40
41-43
33-24
38-41
24-36
41-35
34-39
28-30
41-29
46-43
25-32
28-25
22-20
30-35
27-27
36-35
36-21
28-37
130.0Avg total
65.3Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)65.564.8130.3+0.653%
Season at home (8)67.465.6133.0+1.838%
Season away (9)63.864.1127.9-0.367%
Last 10 (10)65.364.7130.0+0.650%
Last 5 (5)63.860.8124.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)64.063.5127.5+0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (9)64.966.3131.2-1.467%
vs Weaker (11)65.962.2128.1+3.764%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: -0.3-0.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: -0.3-0.3
Arkansas StateTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
30-20
30
20
+10
H02/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A07/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A10/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H15/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#348
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H20/12
NCAA
UALR
#322
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H22/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
29-16
29
16
+13
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H31/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
18-29
18
29
-11
A06/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A07/01
NCAA
59.4Avg total
28.4Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.731.962.6-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.931.564.4+1.441%-
Last 30 away (13)27.832.460.2-4.531%-
Last 10 (10)28.431.059.4-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)28.232.460.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)27.935.163.0-7.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)30.031.661.6-1.636%-
vs Weaker (9)33.329.362.7+4.067%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#339
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A02/12
NCAA
Rice
#164
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H04/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A11/12
NCAA
Hardin-Baylor
#3
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H14/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H17/12
NCAA
University of Sciences
#398
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H21/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H30/12
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
22-20
22
20
+2
H31/12
NCAA
James Madison
#69
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A06/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A07/01
NCAA
59.1Avg total
30.0Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.029.060.0+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.429.762.1+2.650%-
Last 30 away (16)29.828.458.2+1.456%-
Last 10 (10)30.029.159.1+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)30.225.856.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.326.857.2+3.567%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)30.929.860.7+1.144%-
vs Weaker (11)30.429.559.8+0.955%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Arkansas State wins
4
Texas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23ATroy54-66
06/01/23ASouth Alabama45-63
31/12/22HLouisiana Monroe72-84
30/12/22AOld Dominion60-57
22/12/22HUALR77-75
20/12/22HAlabama State72-65
15/12/22HSoutheast Missouri State68-61
10/12/22AAir Force55-80
07/12/22ACentral Arkansas67-72
02/12/22HMiss. Valley St.58-38
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23ASouth Alabama64-58
06/01/23AJames Madison63-62
31/12/22HTroy52-55
30/12/22HLouisiana Monroe53-57
21/12/22HUniversity of Sciences87-72
17/12/22HSam Houston St.62-69
14/12/22HHardin-Baylor65-71
11/12/22AUT Arlington71-65
04/12/22HRice71-83
02/12/22ALamar65-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL53%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %53%80%14%
Points / game66.373.456.1
Allowed / game65.163.267.7
Point differential+1.2+10.2-11.6
Avg total131.4136.6123.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Texas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW53%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%38%67%
Points / game65.567.463.8
Allowed / game64.865.664.1
Point differential+0.6+1.8-0.3
Avg total130.3133.0127.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss1714382%76.162.0+14.1
2 Marshall1713476%81.769.1+12.6
3 Louisiana Lafayette1713476%81.371.6+9.6
4 Troy1812667%75.464.4+11.0
5 James Madison1711665%86.565.5+21.0
6 Georgia Southern1811761%69.164.6+4.5
7 Old Dominion1710759%68.666.3+2.4
8 Arkansas State179853%66.365.1+1.2
9 Texas State179853%65.564.8+0.6
10 Appalachian State189950%73.865.1+8.7
11 Coastal Carolina168850%75.168.5+6.6
12 Georgia State178947%66.364.2+2.1
13 South Alabama167944%68.466.1+2.3
14 Louisiana Monroe1871139%70.769.7+1.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State243458
Texas State283361
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