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Texas State vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 63-71
28-29 35-42
Position#77
Record4-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game67.6
vs
Troy 🏆
USA
Position#304
Record4-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game69.4
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Texas State v Troy
11 Feb 2026
TEXA74
TROY62
25 Feb 2025
TEXA69
TROY74
01 Mar 2024
TEXA82
TROY79
31 Dec 2022
TEXA52
TROY55
30 Dec 2021
TEXA63
TROY78
06 Jan 2020
TEXA63
TROY71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#13
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H23/03
CIT
Abilene Christian
#52
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H26/11
NCAA
Hartford
#189
W
69-55
69
55
+14
H30/11
NCAA
Houston
#31
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A05/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#209
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H07/12
NCAA
Bethany
#494
W
117-65
117
65
+52
H15/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#110
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A20/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#91
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A21/12
NCAA
UALR
#59
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#253
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A04/01
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
40-44
0-0
41-43
0-0
30-36
0-0
31-20
0-0
33-24
0-0
36-31
0-0
29-28
0-0
31-40
0-0
34-37
0-0
37-40
0-0
55-36
0-0
62-29
0-0
28-29
0-0
36-38
0-0
38-35
0-0
31-46
0-0
39-28
0-0
29-44
0-0
41-34
0-0
29-33
142.5Avg total
73.0Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.167.6139.7+4.644%
Season at home (4)79.563.2142.8+16.275%
Season away (5)66.271.0137.2-4.820%
Last 10 (10)73.069.5142.5+3.540%
Last 5 (5)77.670.4148.0+7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.049.093.0-5.00%
vs Similar (6)64.366.5130.8-2.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)70.066.3136.3+3.767%
This opponent (Troy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#321
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A23/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#305
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A26/11
NCAA
Shorter
#492
W
104-53
104
53
+51
H30/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#237
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H05/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A12/12
NCAA
UT Chattanooga
#95
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
A15/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#205
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H20/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#150
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H21/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#317
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A03/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#271
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
22-43
38-29
34-36
32-44
44-22
60-31
32-32
39-31
28-30
32-25
41-36
32-37
38-24
39-35
45-39
20-31
33-31
30-48
42-37
20-42
140.2Avg total
70.8Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)70.869.4140.2+1.440%
Season at home (4)79.261.2140.5+18.075%
Season away (6)65.274.8140.0-9.717%
Last 10 (10)70.869.4140.2+1.440%
Last 5 (5)69.474.2143.6-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)70.666.2136.8+4.460%
vs Similar (3)63.779.3143.0-15.70%
vs Weaker (1)60.072.0132.0-12.00%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -1.1-1.1
Texas StateTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H23/03
CIT
Abilene Christian
#52
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H26/11
NCAA
Hartford
#189
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H30/11
NCAA
Houston
#31
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A05/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#209
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H07/12
NCAA
Bethany
#494
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H15/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#110
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A20/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#91
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A21/12
NCAA
UALR
#59
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A03/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#253
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A04/01
NCAA
69.8Avg total
36.7Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)34.530.865.3+3.862%-
Last 30 at home (8)34.230.865.0+3.550%-
Last 30 away (5)35.030.865.8+4.280%-
Last 10 (10)36.733.169.8+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.232.472.6+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)23.023.046.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (6)31.329.861.2+1.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)36.031.767.7+4.367%-
This opponent (Troy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#321
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A23/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#305
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A26/11
NCAA
Shorter
#492
W
44-22
44
22
+22
H30/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#237
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H05/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A12/12
NCAA
UT Chattanooga
#95
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A15/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#205
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H20/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#150
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H21/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#317
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A03/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#271
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A05/01
NCAA
68.9Avg total
35.9Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)35.933.068.9+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (4)39.829.269.0+10.575%-
Last 30 away (6)33.335.568.8-2.250%-
Last 10 (10)35.933.068.9+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)39.833.473.2+6.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.832.269.0+4.660%-
vs Similar (3)36.334.771.0+1.767%-
vs Weaker (1)22.043.065.0-21.00%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Texas State wins
0
Troy wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/20AArkansas State70-67
03/01/20AUALR68-72
21/12/19AGeorgia State69-81
20/12/19AGeorgia Southern64-67
15/12/19HBethany117-65
07/12/19HUTSA Roadrunners71-77
05/12/19AHouston60-68
30/11/19HHartford69-55
26/11/19HAbilene Christian61-56
23/03/19HFlorida International81-87
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/20ALouisiana Lafayette62-79
03/01/20ALouisiana Monroe63-79
21/12/19HAppalachian State65-70
20/12/19HCoastal Carolina77-59
15/12/19AUT Chattanooga80-84 OT
12/12/19AJacksonville State60-55
05/12/19HNorth Alabama71-63
30/11/19HShorter104-53
26/11/19AAlabama A&M Bulldogs66-80
23/11/19ASamford60-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW44%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game72.179.566.2
Allowed / game67.663.271.0
Point differential+4.6+16.2-4.8
Avg total139.7142.8137.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Troy
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL40%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%75%17%
Points / game70.879.265.2
Allowed / game69.461.274.8
Point differential+1.4+18.0-9.7
Avg total140.2140.5140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Georgia State119282%77.570.1+7.5
2 Coastal Carolina128467%80.273.5+6.8
3 Appalachian State106460%72.268.0+4.2
4 Arkansas State95456%66.469.9-3.4
5 Marshall116555%80.470.2+10.2
6 Georgia Southern116555%72.572.1+0.5
7 South Alabama105550%70.370.3+0.0
8 James Madison105550%76.379.2-2.9
9 Texas State94544%72.167.6+4.6
10 Troy104640%70.869.4+1.4
11 Louisiana Monroe104640%66.267.1-0.9
12 Louisiana Lafayette124833%71.573.8-2.3
13 Old Dominion103730%58.562.1-3.6
14 Southern Miss113827%66.675.5-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State283563
Troy294271
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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